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NCAA WEEK 13 **** How the Mickey Mouse Clubhouse can save your gambling life****

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Legend
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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by akaJohnAnthony:

Train Excellent write up
 
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Posted: #102
 
Legend
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Posted: #103

Quote Originally Posted by PerfectStorm:

Train.. What do u see in VOLS that I didn't see. Love MIZZU +3.5.
Thanks in advance
Mizzou b2b roadies and mauk has be shakey. Dobbs has added life to the Vols O, and their defense is solid (even though missing a couple key guys)....I like Tenn to pull away and win 30-17

 

 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by santafeken:

Animals have "instincts"

Human beings have "intuition"

Take your pick

No need to pick. I'm a freak of nature. A capping beast.

 1/2 human + 1/2 animal = 100% awesome

 

You know better ken

 
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Posted: #105

Quote Originally Posted by Doja45:

Haha sounds like a guy who's seen way too many "Cover's Bloodbath" threads during his 10 plus year tenure 

I agree with most everything you said, especially about not paying attention to the talking heads on espn. I do happen to believe stats and trends are important in "capping". That word is very over used on this forum.
 How can you analyze matchups without the stats? Trends are trends for a reason. History tends to repeat itself. Like knowing Notre Dame always has a hard time in East Lansing no matter how good or bad each team is that year.
But I do understand your point about trusting the line, and the nonsense about traps. I am a big believer in the Vegas does the capping, you try to find an edge in the matchups and conditions of the game. Conditions is more of a horse handicapping term, but playing the ponies will make you a better sports bettor.
Now I'm rambling.... Good stuff as always Train
If you follow the game at all, you already know the "important trends"...like b2b road games etc. Know that a team in a particular set of circumstances is 70-30 since 1980 doesnt help me at all and if it was a great tool, there would be many guys winning on trends alone with the intenet readily available. Stats will almost always lead you to the favorite because on paper they are the better team.....

 

bol sir

 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by thejhnny:

any thoughts on the ucla/usc game? 
One of the toughest games this weekend...would lean USC +4
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by AppSt52:

Train Great Stuff!!! All so True....

As a former College Football player I know exactly how it was in the locker room, on and off the field, chicks, parties and coaches who you trust but leave to go to other schools and leave the guys hanging.

Gamble so I can Gamble tomorrow!! EXACTLY

 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by Skak47:

Train,

You are the man.  Been following you this season, don't post much though.  This post struck home to me, as this is how I am now with 2 little ones and no time, except to watch games.  I always look to your column for insight and just wanted to say thanks, and keep the train rolling!  

Liking KState alot, have a lot of WVU alum in the family and enjoy rooting against them.  

Thanks for takin time to stop by brother.

 

K St

 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


You might be right about the beat down, but it won't matter in the rankings, it's Indiana.  The team they'll need to REALLY beat down to move up is Wisconsin.  Otherwise, they'll need some help or that Va Tech loss will haunt them.

The beat down wont do much, you are correct....however, NOT neating them down will (see TCU vs Kansas).....

Urban wants no part of a nailbiter this weekend.....

 

 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by bj1005:

Great post.  I have a three year old and we have been doing the "hot dog" dance for over a year.  I have the Goofy down pretty good.

Love Tennessee this week.  Glad we are on the same side. 

Hot diggity dog

 

 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

Who's the leader of the club that's made for you and me MICKEY MOUSE. Hey there Hi there Ho there your as welcome as can be MICKEY MOUSE.

GL Train from a grandpa who watches a lot of Mickey also
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Raising a little girl is like hitting a 50 team parlay ... EVERYDAY IS PRICELESS
 
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Posted: #113
Quote Originally Posted by BigEarnie:

Great post Train, I have 3 girls, one 8 and twins, 6.  I tapped out after the twins.  Friggin Dora the explorer.  I've seen em all.  The only caveat is that the Pixar movies are adult friendly, most are very funny.  Loved Gru and minions, laughed often during the Lego movie and all shrek's. 

GL this weekend, and take that mask off, you'll scare your kid.  

Big Ern, my man. I agree, most of the full length movies are pretty solid.

Gotta keep the mask on to toughen the little girl up....its a mean world. You are either eating livers with faca beans and chianti or you're in Buffalo Bills well putting lotion on.....

 

 
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Posted: #114
like any friday night games! i am liking san diego.st
 
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Posted: #115

Quote Originally Posted by crazy1464:

like any friday night games! i am liking san diego.st
Tough slate tonight. Lean all the road dogs, the Rice over, the AF under,,,,

Might have tiny plays for action,but nothing too exciting tonight.

 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by Gruhn:

UDML This week?
Its finished and in its own thread.
 
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Posted: #117
Good luck 69
 
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Posted: #118
Trust your eyes and go with your gut  BOL
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Train,
     Really like your opening thread; completely agree on some of the nonsense on sports channels that's not the actual games.  Our house is similar - two boys, age four and two and a baby girl two months.  So, between that, 2 hours a day round trip looking at the windshield and my obsession with college football, sleep is very overrated this time of year.

While I'm thinking about it, my apologies to all for very rarely doing a writeup and just posting plays.  More wins than losses especially the larger plays will have to speak for itself.  I always tell my wife just think if I had the time to completely do this "the right way."  A goal for retirement I suppose. It would be great to have 40+ hours a week dedicated to football capping, wouldn't it?

Back to the topic at hand:
4 year old:  Blaze & the Monster Machines
2 year old:  Team Umizoomi

BOL this week Train.  On a few of the same plays.

TD

I'm kinda lucky that I work evenings and have some down time to check out covers and watch games. Still, some weeks picks is all I put out as writeups more often than not are that helpful....I can make a case for betting either side (usually) that sounds pretty convincing.

I like your retirement goal.

 

bol td

 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by cfl_coach:

He Train, I love your picks and I usually follow you and boom boom to make some money every week.

Im just wondering thou.. You are usually fading Marshal every week and I wanted to know why??? they cover every week. Thats the one automatic college play I've made this year.. Marshal to cover.

Anyways Lets go!!!

Cause I'm a moron.

 

I got no other explanation

 

 

bol sir

 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by richig761:

I do agree on all of that, except for weather…

I have seen weather effect MANY football games. 

Do people read too much into SLIGHT weather shifts? Yes. However, high winds and heavy precipitation do alter game plans, etc…

And I 100% do agree with "it doesn't matter what other people think". If I had my money back from every time I let an "expert" or even some random dope talk me into or out of a bet that I lost… I'd be a lot better off.

I agree about the weather, but its impossible to predict or worry about when lines are released. Obviously closer to game time if its gonna be a blizzard or 50 mph winds, then yes, thats need to know info,,,

 

 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by Oktoberfestlax4:

Train,

What is your true feel for the Miz vs Vols game tomorrow night? Would love nothing more than to see the Dawgs in the SEC title game so I can make a quick trek over and watch it in person, but  do you think Pinkel will have your boys ready play against an improving Knoxville squad...

As always 

Georgia is going to the SEC title game....Lets just say Pinkel will make some "poor coaching decisions" and the Vols will win by double digits. The SEC cant really afford to have Mizzou in the title game 2 years in a row.....Not a conspiracy, just a fact.....

Mauk hasnt faired well vs decent defenses and MU on b2b road games will spell doom for my Tigers.....

 

 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:

thanks so much Train, I ended up with K St and the under, the under for huge and K st for small on the money line, without your input I would have taken WV ML and broke even

sick how you all but nailed the score

once again, thanks for your threads, only 2 losing weeks in college football this season thanks in part to your threads

keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #124

Quote Originally Posted by ByrdMane612:

Western Michigan ? Is there any reason why? I see that central michigan has the better team n qb.. This looks like a toss up to me. But I love to hear your take on this game, it will help me make my decision easier sir! Thank you and appreciate the work you put in each week buddy! 
WMU has a better offense and defense imo, and are only a dog because this is a road game....Their O has been rolling...I dont wanna sway you either way brother, its just a normal play for me

 

bol

 
 
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Top 10 Train?
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