Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
thanks guys
love talking football with you freaks - Now to find some winners 
thanks guys
love talking football with you freaks - Now to find some winners
bigjdjr - nice insight on fla st 
GL this wk
GL this wk zelo - ya i think line move down a reaction to the police blotter news - frankly - at -4 i would probably take fla st or nothing. GL
sooner - ga southern is soooo good we like em GL
first play
STAB YOURSELF IN THE FACE GAME OF THE WEEK 
Kansas +36.5 (5 dimes)
A wise man once said - "He who struggles two weeks in a row should look to play the Jayhawks on the road at Baylor"....Or maybe that was a really stupid person - we always get the story wrong.
Nobody will like it - and cannot argue - just saying what we are playing. Baylor is 22-4 L26 home ATS.
Why might 36.5 be too many points?
1. Kansas D is not that bad - especially against the pass - experienced - #2 in conference in red zone D. D has only given up 28 41 10 23 33 27 34. New HC has got them motivated think you can throw out early games with Fat Charlie as HC. D has gotten better over last few yrs and yes it may still be pretty bad - but you cannot deny they are not getting blown away and Baylor will not go up and down the field all day at will....we hope.
2. Kansas o way better since HC change. Installed new QB - the porn star - Michael Cummings - not bad last 2 games 288Y and 235 2 TD....Yes we know Baylor is great but just need to cover 36.5 not win SU. run game does enough - have some weapons at WR and TE.
3. They do not turn the ball over a lot. #30 in t/o margin.
4. Baylor have Sooners next.
5. Baylor D statistically very good but have given up 58 41 28 before and to nobody like Kansas - but point is when you are trying to cover 36.5 you do not need to do much.
6. Petty is only 54.7% completions at QB for Baylor? It is actually the Baylor run game we think we dominate and that in theory shortens the game.
7. Baylor #125 in #penalties. One or two drive killing ones and this cover is looking good.
Now any of those points can be debated but as you know from reading our BS - its the collection of all of the above + perceived value in the line that made us bite. This KU team much better than the piece of dung with Fat Charlie coaching and a qb worse than me.
Our recommendation is that you should probably fade this pick 
but we are playing it. This would not be the first time a huge write-up led to a #totalshitpick. We are not trying to convince anyone with 17 paragraphs - just like to talk capping football.
but we are playing it. This would not be the first time a huge write-up led to a #totalshitpick. We are not trying to convince anyone with 17 paragraphs - just like to talk capping football.Too many pts think we are getting an extra TD or so. Have the fair line at 28. Sagarin 35.5 tho.
GL mega
INSTANT CLASSIC. Very funny write-up Mega. Thanks for the chuckle! I like the pick also but, I am concerned about Kansas scoring some points to cover.
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just having fun guys - hope maybe you got a chuckle....Have a great day will check in later.
Should probably just pass on every game then say "told ya so" on Sunday. 
dont ask
.....Wanted -29.5....then it went 31 and we said F it....Scary thing - it is a gut feel - think the spread is too high - sagarin disagrees - but think this is a great spot for AM even tho a lookahead to Auburn - they are off murderers row of miss miss st and bama - this will feel good....And ULM struggling to score - 14 14 18 L3G - D is ok tho....Sadly missed the boat on this one cant chase the line up here.....HC is <500 as home fav ATS.
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