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NCAA wk 13

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by gemini20152015:

Mega, good to see you back fam. Hope you enjoyed the vacay.


thanks ! GL this wk 




 
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Posted: #27
Thank God Mega is back!! All us Crack pipe addicts were smoking carpet waiting for you to come back!!! Happy holidays to you and your family! Now, lets end this year strong
 
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Posted: #28
Mega-  

Glad you made it back safely.  Hope Jamaica's finest herbal offerings haven't clouded your capping process for rivalry week!

 
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Posted: #29
A week without your analysis is like a week without masterbating. It just didn't feel right. Yeah I went there MEGA. I hope you had fun in Jamica because you're going to be working this week. (No Sexual Innuendo intended)
 
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Posted: #30
Seems as though "They Need This One to Be Bowl Eligible" Guy is coming for Thanksgiving, and he's bringing a whole bunch of friends. 

I like to think of myself as more of a "If You Were Any Good n the First Place, You Wouldn't Need to Beat Tulane to go to Some Bowl Nobody Ever Heard Of - So Why Would I lay Points With You?" Guy. 


 
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Posted: #31
Good to see you back.
 
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Posted: #32
Welcome back, MEGA! Managed to go 1-0 in your absence (Northwestern + 11 at Wiscy), but even a blind squirrel etc. Will feel much with the "MEGALOCKS security blanket" this week!
 
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Posted: #33
MEGA - 

Happy Turkey Week 


.
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by MaineRoad:

Seems as though "They Need This One to Be Bowl Eligible" Guy is coming for Thanksgiving, and he's bringing a whole bunch of friends. 

I like to think of myself as more of a "If You Were Any Good n the First Place, You Wouldn't Need to Beat Tulane to go to Some Bowl Nobody Ever Heard Of - So Why Would I lay Points With You?" Guy. 


I'm with you here, I don't bet that angle but I'll consider line value against those that do after they bump those lines 





.
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
Thursday 

South Florida OFF Central Florida

Megalocks line 24

Sagarin 23.5

Wow. What in the SAM HILL happened to UCF ? Despite your boy Steele calling for them to be a prime contender to win the East title - they are looking to us like one of the worst teams in FBS which is quite a statement considering we still have E Michigan around. ......0-11 and 164-408 points for / against margin - Not what you are looking for (HOT TAKE) when taking on one of the hottest teams in the NCAA right now in SFlo they are crushing and killing everything in their path right now playing really great football and despite the fact that this is a rivalry game - what we have found historically is that there is a fine line between - "huge upset we are gonna shock the world" and "we have the ability to destroy those punks and are gonna run up the score and enjoy doing it".....Not much to say on the stats we looked it all up as per our process and it is ugly for UCF we would need at least 35 to play UCF and probably still would pass. It just appears that they have quit and our prediction (HOT TAKE) is that if South Florida gets up early by DD they will get 50+ and cover easily....If they snooze early - MAYBE a cover but gonna lean USF at anything less than 28. The reason for the line not being up is the unknown status of UCF QB Holman who while not great - is the only thing between them and a real behind the woodshed beating. And you KNOW we always mock They Are Gonna kill Em Guy but have to call it like we see it.

Summary. 
Lean to USF and any number less than 28 regardless of who starts at QB for UCF. In other words - can support small potatoes degenerate action but nothing more. We will however be looking into a BETTE MIDDLER  when the line comes out. The backup UCF QBs are horrid so if this line comes out lower than 28 will take USF and then wait to take UCF + a higher number. For example maybe -27 and +28.5. 
 
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Posted: #37
Oops, typo--should have been "Will feel much BETTER" etc. (My first post in about a year, guess I could not handle the pressure, thus the typo.)
 
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Posted: #38
I won't even go for a middle S Fla by up to 31,,,48-17 type game OR WO worse 56-10 also comes to mind  Just my .02 BOL
 
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Posted: #39
Welcome back!


I know that aren't any request lines this week, but I have a special one....   You need to drop the greatest name in college football into the write-up for the Air Force game...   DB Weston Steelhammer!!!!


 
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Posted: #40

Welcome back MEGA! Looking forward to this weeks picks!

It ain't over til it's over
 
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Posted: #41
welcome back Mega!! 
 
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Posted: #42
Bette Middddler...
 
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Posted: #43
Great to have ya back.

Hope you had lots of fun.
 
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Posted: #44
Welcome back Mega!1

I was hoping you would stay gone another week as I actually had enough replies in my weekly thread to make a page 2!!! lol- Just kidding buddy- Here's to hoping you are on some of the plays that I like as this week makes me nervous after bending my bookie over and sliding him the non-lubed salami last week!!  

Get em' this week buddy!!



 
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Posted: #45
i'm not a very good handicapper but i see the favorites winning about 80% of the games this week. lines seem low.
 
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Posted: #46
Any chance of a Tenn/ Vandy Summary looked as if Tenn held back on Misssouri and could have hung 30 on them. 
                                                                      Thanx for your write ups Meg
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by joe pockets:

Any chance of a Tenn/ Vandy Summary looked as if Tenn held back on Misssouri and could have hung 30 on them. 
                                                                      Thanx for your write ups Meg


There is such a thing called a index and it is not hard to find. I suggest you read the initial post on this thread. You might very well be surprised at what you may find by doing a little reading before asking questions that may have already been answered.

Not trying to slam you, but it is just a pet peeve of mine when people want to be spoon fed instead of doing a little research for themselves before asking a question. Good luck to you this week and through the rest of the season.
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

TUESDAY MACtion 

Bowling Green 21.5 Ball St 

We think we might play +21.5 and go for a BETTE MIDDDDLER  think this line has a much higher probability of going down a bit than up. -19.5 or -20 combined with +21.5 might be fun.


mega

Hope you had a nice vacation. BTW the Falcons were in similar situation LY (secured a MAC champs berth) and they lost SU their last 2 games (also to Toledo and then Ball ST). Last week they lost SU to Toledo while playing uninspired football. Ball ST are playing bad defense but somehow they have not lost by more than 14 points (including TY) at Home since 2011. BOL this week. 
 
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Posted: #49
First pick

Texas Tech +1.5



write-up next 
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

Thursday 

South Florida OFF Central Florida

Megalocks line 24

Sagarin 23.5

Wow. What in the SAM HILL happened to UCF ? Despite your boy Steele calling for them to be a prime contender to win the East title - they are looking to us like one of the worst teams in FBS which is quite a statement considering we still have E Michigan around. ......0-11 and 164-408 points for / against margin - Not what you are looking for (HOT TAKE) when taking on one of the hottest teams in the NCAA right now in SFlo they are crushing and killing everything in their path right now playing really great football and despite the fact that this is a rivalry game - what we have found historically is that there is a fine line between - "huge upset we are gonna shock the world" and "we have the ability to destroy those punks and are gonna run up the score and enjoy doing it".....Not much to say on the stats we looked it all up as per our process and it is ugly for UCF we would need at least 35 to play UCF and probably still would pass. It just appears that they have quit and our prediction (HOT TAKE) is that if South Florida gets up early by DD they will get 50+ and cover easily....If they snooze early - MAYBE a cover but gonna lean USF at anything less than 28. The reason for the line not being up is the unknown status of UCF QB Holman who while not great - is the only thing between them and a real behind the woodshed beating. And you KNOW we always mock They Are Gonna kill Em Guy but have to call it like we see it.

Summary. 
Lean to USF and any number less than 28 regardless of who starts at QB for UCF. In other words - can support small potatoes degenerate action but nothing more. We will however be looking into a BETTE MIDDLER  when the line comes out. The backup UCF QBs are horrid so if this line comes out lower than 28 will take USF and then wait to take UCF + a higher number. For example maybe -27 and +28.5. 

Mega,

Thanks for all your hard work and I hope you enjoyed Jamaica. Wanted to ask a favor? I tweeted you a couple weeks about being in a weekly pickem and having a list of games I have to pick. Could you post what side you would lean to if you had to pick? That would be a HUGE help to the degenerates who have to pick some games with tight lines! Thanks again!

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