NCAA wk 4

Tough one to get a handle on....49% QB vs 32% QB....Too pretty bad teams....We will say that at least Uconn has played 2 good teams - BYU ....and Boise - and the Boise game was 292-290 in total Y - Boise got 2 def TD ....so Uconn is not a team without merit....So Flo worries us....Beat Creampuff St - then lost to Maryland at home getting 6 turnovers still not enough - then got pile driven last wk at home to NC ST WTF now get 4th str home game.....Man what a crap fest....One thing we did notice is that last 2 games between these 2 - 13-10 and 13-6 - and yes these are different teams but makes us think an under might not be a horrible pick if the number comes out 50+ ? pass for now - will revisit but very unlikely this one makes the card - prob include uconn in fun ML dog wheel if line creeps up to 3+.....

#shitfest2014

#is this really the best we can do on friday nite?

May have to gouge my eyes out with an ice pick after watching that game

sportschat  thx man

Sparty 45 E Michigan

Make no mistake - E Michigan is pure filth....but 45 pts??? Man alive....Well Mich St has only scored 48+ once in the last 5 yrs vs FBS teams...we always assume anyone can get 3 pts....so you need 48-3 just to push....I mean - sure...i guess? Just seems like a ton of points - we have the fair line at 37/38....We took Wyoming against Oregon b/c Wy is an actual living breathing team with actual living organisms playing and coaching - EM just cant understand the stats - QBs yds per pass....#1 3.0 #2 3.2 #3 1.7  i have never seen stats that bad ever granted early in yr - but their leading receiver has a total of 71 yards in 3 games  They rank pretty much last in everything....I have to go back to my notes dont have them handy but also think a bunch of guys suspended for stealing stuff or a fight or something WTF...Mich St might just "happen" into 50+ points....gotta take a pass but do have slight leanage to taking 45+...Mich St well below .500 as home fav ATS and actually 3-11L14....bad record L10Y.....

Also happy that you swayed me on your barn burner of the year Ga. Southern! If it wasnt for them I might not have cashed in big last week!

Chad. Will look at that one tomorrow

Ok boys should have 10-12 games done tomorrow. 

I jumped on Auburn at -9. Auburn is in a position where it must solidify that they are for real and they know that they cant slip against a team whos gonna get up for them. At the end of the day the line seems right but K-State just isn't dynamic enough to beat an SEC team in this position. I figure they'll cover.

I only see this line moving up. 3 Tds!? Just keep in mind Spurrier is not the time to run it up to ridiculous amounts unless necessary. very rarely does he go over 50 against even the weakest. Even if Vandy makes a TD or two (doubtful against this now together defense) theyre not gonna kill themselves to score more. As long as they win. Also be careful with the look ahead. SoCar has Mizzou next week and I promise you both teams have that game circled.

It's a good grab at 3 TDs but anything even slightly more than that I would tread softly.

Good Luck this week.

Urban - thx for the heads up  Leaning Col for sure - need to look into that one. GL

Tricks - hope to get to those today - GL man 

Pitt 6 Iowa 

Definite lean to the home team here - however our number came out right here....6 / 6.5.....Pitt has rolled up 400+ in every game on offense and D has been good too...Win over BC looking better....Conner a beast at RB.....Definite lean to Pitt just have not found any intangible to push us over the edge....iowa lost to iowa st - but its not like that never happens - yes it was close vs ball st but they had a 455-219 yd edge....not saying just saying anyway just very close to playing pitt but maybe we really do not know how good iowa is....May take a taste of the total when we see it lean to the under if 48 or higher....pass for now

Wisc 25 B Green

Could not get the cash down fast enough on sunday as the line has been screaming higher and higher from 15/16ish all the way to 25...Now our intel has found that the BG team is very banged up - WR core decimated - key inj on D - all this may become apparent officially in injury reports later in the wk - in any event - with MAC play ahead - and playing a physical team like Wisc - this just looks like a recipe for disaster - having said that - We have the fair line even with the injuries closer to 18....Just will not back BG until we know how beat up they are or are not.....This just smells like a lie down an die game like kent vs ohio st last wk so despite the "value" possibility in BG - gonna pass as we dont like the situation - and wiscy has another cream puff on deck no lookahead....pass for now

 TRUE DAT 

we have the fair line closer to 12/13.....They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy may be on to something with duke as a HFav....8-1L9 ATS....Look good on offense - good on defense....think they may be underrated again despite all the injuries.....slight lean duke but spread is a bit rich for our liking based on our projections....tulane does have some talent - just not sure how this young squad is gonna travel to the ACC....pass for now

Syracuse 1 Maryland 

M has been a bit of a letdown so far - 6 turnovers and a close game vs USF....Gave up 40 LW at home to WV....7 count em 7 LB are on the injury report - yes its a lot of BS - just find it funny....M just 6-10 SU away under this HC....big 10 up next....cuse ? off a good one vs CM....but what does beating CM and Villanova (on a late dribble drive hoop and the harm )......289-34 rush vs CM....but ND next (??) not sure how good or bad cuse is - we have the fair line a a pick em - definite lean to cuse but was hoping to be catching points - pass for now

alabama 14.5 Florida

Last wk we laid out the case of a lean to S Carolina.....Action Figure Guy had it all on georgia - and not saying that was a bad pick - but sometimes it is beyond Xs and Os....Its a tricky game we handicappers have....MEGALOCKS gets fooled all the time - we just always try to sniff out any semblance of an intangible that might upset the apple cart....ultimately stayed away from SC did not get the 7 we wanted but had em in a ML parlay.....which thanks to rutgers - burned up 

This wk's discussion - we take a break from the K st / auburn Covers nuclear war to step into another hornets's nest.....do not have as strong of an opinion on this one.....

-14/-15 seems about right to us.....We do have a lean to Alabama - lets face it - they are sick good and have tons of recent experience as a program in games like this - maybe not so much at QB....but they have recent proven pedigree....QB looks fine to us....Tough game vs WV but were never in any danger.....2 blowouts....Now Gators...want to see how Bama plays in a real SEC game before we start laying down cash....But we have to side with Action Figure Guy - on paper - this game looks like a tough one for Florida - they were on our weasel list before last wk hiccup vs a maybe decent Kentucky team.....Also have to step back now on these guys....offense looks better - but part of us wonders about Bama torching them for big chunks in the passing game - is the D good enough???? hard to type that after watching Florida dominate for so long....They were 4-8 SU last yr - yes very banged up - so as much as we like florida this yr - just do not know what to expect.....14-15 pts does seem like a fair number if you like the Gators....bama one of those teams that we like to play more so on the road (well below .500 as HF since 2004) b/c they can kill people on the moon dont care where the game is.....hmmmmm after all that babble - just saying we do not have a good enough idea of what either team is all about yet - but would lean Bama......GL mega