I patiently await the next crack pipe play.
In the meanwhile, Stanford was a logical choice. I also took
Syracuse +7.5 (bought 1/2 point)
Nevada -6.5
Northwestern +2
Georgia 14.5 Missouri (46)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 12.5
Think we are getting just a bit of perceived value on the dog....Especially given the quality of their D....But not sure if the QB play is gonna be good enough....You guys know we have zero problem betting FR qB - redshirt or not - but the supporting cast around QB Lock is just not enough right now to help him win tough games like this on the road - of course unless GA plays the way they did the last 2 games- given up 38 pts last 2 games trucked by Bama and then somehow gave up a million passing yds to Vols wtf....BUT all can be fixed - Georgia still has Florida to come and it is not a longshot to think that Georgia can still get to the SEC title game - of course losing Chubb hurts big time.....and not sure about the depth issues...but win or go home time situation for Georgia.....Wildcard is that we really like the Mizz D and their HC never count these guys out....LY GA won 34-cack.
Summary - lean Mizz at 14.5 or better if you want degenerate action but game not going to make the card.
mega
Georgia 14.5 Missouri (46)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 12.5
Think we are getting just a bit of perceived value on the dog....Especially given the quality of their D....But not sure if the QB play is gonna be good enough....You guys know we have zero problem betting FR qB - redshirt or not - but the supporting cast around QB Lock is just not enough right now to help him win tough games like this on the road - of course unless GA plays the way they did the last 2 games- given up 38 pts last 2 games trucked by Bama and then somehow gave up a million passing yds to Vols wtf....BUT all can be fixed - Georgia still has Florida to come and it is not a longshot to think that Georgia can still get to the SEC title game - of course losing Chubb hurts big time.....and not sure about the depth issues...but win or go home time situation for Georgia.....Wildcard is that we really like the Mizz D and their HC never count these guys out....LY GA won 34-cack.
Summary - lean Mizz at 14.5 or better if you want degenerate action but game not going to make the card.
mega
Mississippi St 13 L Tech (60.5)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 10.5
Miss St has done a very admirable job this year with a ton of new starters - of course having Dak at QB never hurts as well as a really good HC and the DC has done a nice job.....As much as we like taking dogs - esp good ones with the SEC games upcoming for Miss St - we fear the matchup - Miss St strength is passing - LT weakness appears to be defending the pass - #85 is pass D efficiency and only played one QB (a great one tho) with a pulse.....Don't look now - but there is a DRISKEL in the house - have used this joke too many times already - but back in the old days - when Driskel was at Florida- 9/10 threads in the forum would be about him....Florida fans loved him.....But he is playing well now a nice fit playing easier competition....Think he will help his team score some points in this one.....#16 ranked passing attack could do a bit of damage....LT stud RB Dixon looks like he is ready to go......Last note - but we always like to point out when the DOG has a lookahead spot - and they have an important conf run after this game can still get to the title game soooooooooooo not sure they wanna get beat up just be careful if taking points realize that they could just pack it in so to speak if miss st gets a hot start.
Summary - no leanage.
mega
Mississippi St 13 L Tech (60.5)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 10.5
Miss St has done a very admirable job this year with a ton of new starters - of course having Dak at QB never hurts as well as a really good HC and the DC has done a nice job.....As much as we like taking dogs - esp good ones with the SEC games upcoming for Miss St - we fear the matchup - Miss St strength is passing - LT weakness appears to be defending the pass - #85 is pass D efficiency and only played one QB (a great one tho) with a pulse.....Don't look now - but there is a DRISKEL in the house - have used this joke too many times already - but back in the old days - when Driskel was at Florida- 9/10 threads in the forum would be about him....Florida fans loved him.....But he is playing well now a nice fit playing easier competition....Think he will help his team score some points in this one.....#16 ranked passing attack could do a bit of damage....LT stud RB Dixon looks like he is ready to go......Last note - but we always like to point out when the DOG has a lookahead spot - and they have an important conf run after this game can still get to the title game soooooooooooo not sure they wanna get beat up just be careful if taking points realize that they could just pack it in so to speak if miss st gets a hot start.
Summary - no leanage.
mega
Ole Miss 10.5 Memphis (70)
Megalocks line 10
Sagarin 9
Line looked a bit low to us when we first saw it - but then - we ran the numbers through the MEGALOCKS SUPERCOMPUTER COMPLEX and out popped a "10".....Sagarin ratings in that ballpark too.....When we looked deeper we realized that although they did beat Bama - turnovers or not - their schedule is still ranked #104 and the meat of it is still well ahead of them - so not sure how much to praise these guys yet although we still have them rated highly.....In a situation like this lookahead - on the road - playing a star QB - Lynch 70% 10 td 0 int - it is not the type of situation that we want to be laying points on hope that they are really really good....Memphis D is just rotten - no other way to say it - Ole Miss is going to score. HOT TAKE.....Think the smart way to go with this game is to take the Ole Miss TT over if anything because they are explosive and Memphis pass D is an afterthought.....FWIW Memphis has won 12 straight games.
Summary. Lean Ole Miss TT over 40.5 max. Small chance it makes the final card will know later today.
mega
Ole Miss 10.5 Memphis (70)
Megalocks line 10
Sagarin 9
Line looked a bit low to us when we first saw it - but then - we ran the numbers through the MEGALOCKS SUPERCOMPUTER COMPLEX and out popped a "10".....Sagarin ratings in that ballpark too.....When we looked deeper we realized that although they did beat Bama - turnovers or not - their schedule is still ranked #104 and the meat of it is still well ahead of them - so not sure how much to praise these guys yet although we still have them rated highly.....In a situation like this lookahead - on the road - playing a star QB - Lynch 70% 10 td 0 int - it is not the type of situation that we want to be laying points on hope that they are really really good....Memphis D is just rotten - no other way to say it - Ole Miss is going to score. HOT TAKE.....Think the smart way to go with this game is to take the Ole Miss TT over if anything because they are explosive and Memphis pass D is an afterthought.....FWIW Memphis has won 12 straight games.
Summary. Lean Ole Miss TT over 40.5 max. Small chance it makes the final card will know later today.
mega
next play
Alabama -3.5 -115 (Sports Interaction)
Not going to buy this bad boy down to 3.....We have access to multiple books only one of them has 3.5....so if we take -3 at heavy juice that is just not something we want to get anyone in the habit of doing.
We have the line closer to 6 and Sagarin has it at 5.....We do NOT like playing against T AM we just love their HC and the QB is really good as well.....But what we do like is another situation in which Bama has one loss - T AM is undefeated - similar to the Alabama / Georgia game BUT we realize this is between two teams in the West soooooo a much bigger deal.....But we just like having the team with no outs on the road on a business trip ....The team that is coming together to be the team we thought - T AM will not be able to run the ball pretty much at all and that puts it into the hands of the passing game....Think Bama front 7 going to make it pretty tough on AM.....Allen can move around but Arkanasas held them to 13 before a late TD and 2 pt conversion followed by OT.....When you combine the Alabama D with their ability to run the ball (AM run D ranked #85) we think this is a really good matchup for Alabama once again.....Better D - Better run game - not to mention the emergence of WR Calvin Ridley. T AM can bring the heat but whenever you have a running game / screen game like Bama does - think Bama can minimize that chaos but it is a concern......We think Bama can smell a big run to the playoff (not that they will get there) but realistically - home to LSU should be the last big hurdle after this game......We like AM a lot - Sagarin rates them #13 - we have them #9 - just think the matchup favors Bama.
GL mega
next play
Alabama -3.5 -115 (Sports Interaction)
Not going to buy this bad boy down to 3.....We have access to multiple books only one of them has 3.5....so if we take -3 at heavy juice that is just not something we want to get anyone in the habit of doing.
We have the line closer to 6 and Sagarin has it at 5.....We do NOT like playing against T AM we just love their HC and the QB is really good as well.....But what we do like is another situation in which Bama has one loss - T AM is undefeated - similar to the Alabama / Georgia game BUT we realize this is between two teams in the West soooooo a much bigger deal.....But we just like having the team with no outs on the road on a business trip ....The team that is coming together to be the team we thought - T AM will not be able to run the ball pretty much at all and that puts it into the hands of the passing game....Think Bama front 7 going to make it pretty tough on AM.....Allen can move around but Arkanasas held them to 13 before a late TD and 2 pt conversion followed by OT.....When you combine the Alabama D with their ability to run the ball (AM run D ranked #85) we think this is a really good matchup for Alabama once again.....Better D - Better run game - not to mention the emergence of WR Calvin Ridley. T AM can bring the heat but whenever you have a running game / screen game like Bama does - think Bama can minimize that chaos but it is a concern......We think Bama can smell a big run to the playoff (not that they will get there) but realistically - home to LSU should be the last big hurdle after this game......We like AM a lot - Sagarin rates them #13 - we have them #9 - just think the matchup favors Bama.
GL mega
THREAD SUMMARY
Plays
Stanford -6.5
Alabama 3.5 -115
Table of Contents for Write-Ups
S Alabama / Arkansas St
Thursday games
Friday games
Hawaii / New Mexico (request line)
Florida St / Louisville (request line)
Big 10
SEC (in progress)
THREAD SUMMARY
Plays
Stanford -6.5
Alabama 3.5 -115
Table of Contents for Write-Ups
S Alabama / Arkansas St
Thursday games
Friday games
Hawaii / New Mexico (request line)
Florida St / Louisville (request line)
Big 10
SEC (in progress)
Sorry if we miss anyone..........
TheAction - thx GL
Win4ever - Not sure about that Marshall game gonna avoid - M not the same on the road tho. GL
MolonLabe
Vegas no worries I know we joke around in some in game threads
boomer
David N all timer
Warcam thx bro.....agree on Bama
SCC
Grind thanks buddy
Lakerz those plays look good GL
dntn
cranks go jays
bloodshot thanks !
bmoser - thx - will try and check out k st game running late this wk
WeytoVegas
ichan
ncdcbag - congrats on your big score
jck524 "Megalocks - We rid you of nasty debt through smart wagering tactics"
kman - lean to the over in byu game - only worry is BYU QB hobbling - GL
Sorry if we miss anyone..........
TheAction - thx GL
Win4ever - Not sure about that Marshall game gonna avoid - M not the same on the road tho. GL
MolonLabe
Vegas no worries I know we joke around in some in game threads
boomer
David N all timer
Warcam thx bro.....agree on Bama
SCC
Grind thanks buddy
Lakerz those plays look good GL
dntn
cranks go jays
bloodshot thanks !
bmoser - thx - will try and check out k st game running late this wk
WeytoVegas
ichan
ncdcbag - congrats on your big score
jck524 "Megalocks - We rid you of nasty debt through smart wagering tactics"
kman - lean to the over in byu game - only worry is BYU QB hobbling - GL
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