Louisiana Tech@BYU OVER 59 (-110) 3.3 units to win 3 units
Both teams are averaging over 48 points per game this season. Although Louisiana Tech probably won’t come close to that number in this game, I still believe they will put up points. The Bulldogs have a solid backfield, and should be able to break out some nice runs to help extend drives and get into scoring position. The challenge for LA Tech will come when they are forced to pass. QB Luke Anothony looked pretty good against Houston, and I think he will do enough here to get his team into the end zone a few times.
On the other hand, I think BYU will have a field day against the Bulldogs defense. Louisiana Tech just gave up 38 points and 406 yards passing to Houston Baptist, who are a much lesser opponent than BYU. BYU has had one of the best offenses in the nation to start the year. They are averaging over 600 yards per game this season, while Louisiana Tech is giving up nearly 500 yards per game to teams that are not nearly as talented.. I think BYU will score at ease in this game.
The line opened at 54.5, and has moved all the way up to 59. Even taking into account the high number, I think this one will fly over. BYU should have no trouble scoring 40+, and Louisiana Tech is capable of putting up the rest, even against a tough defense.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
10/2
Louisiana Tech@BYU OVER 59 (-110) 3.3 units to win 3 units
Both teams are averaging over 48 points per game this season. Although Louisiana Tech probably won’t come close to that number in this game, I still believe they will put up points. The Bulldogs have a solid backfield, and should be able to break out some nice runs to help extend drives and get into scoring position. The challenge for LA Tech will come when they are forced to pass. QB Luke Anothony looked pretty good against Houston, and I think he will do enough here to get his team into the end zone a few times.
On the other hand, I think BYU will have a field day against the Bulldogs defense. Louisiana Tech just gave up 38 points and 406 yards passing to Houston Baptist, who are a much lesser opponent than BYU. BYU has had one of the best offenses in the nation to start the year. They are averaging over 600 yards per game this season, while Louisiana Tech is giving up nearly 500 yards per game to teams that are not nearly as talented.. I think BYU will score at ease in this game.
The line opened at 54.5, and has moved all the way up to 59. Even taking into account the high number, I think this one will fly over. BYU should have no trouble scoring 40+, and Louisiana Tech is capable of putting up the rest, even against a tough defense.
There was another post saying almost the same thing, but I can't find it. The guy lived on the campus of La Tech or close to it. Anyone know who posted that?
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There was another post saying almost the same thing, but I can't find it. The guy lived on the campus of La Tech or close to it. Anyone know who posted that?
Sure was Ryan. Also looked like Louisiana was going to get a garbage time touchdown in the last minute against the prevent 2nd string BYU defense. Then of course the QB throws a pick on a 3 man rush. Gotta move on to tomorrow I guess.
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Sure was Ryan. Also looked like Louisiana was going to get a garbage time touchdown in the last minute against the prevent 2nd string BYU defense. Then of course the QB throws a pick on a 3 man rush. Gotta move on to tomorrow I guess.
TCU@Texas UNDER 63 (-110) 3.3 units to win 3 units
The total has jumped 3 points from the opening 60. After the shootout win for the Longhorns, and 500 yards of offense for TCU in their first game, I’m not surprised.
The Longhorns defense didn’t actually look as bad as the 56 points given up would suggest. They looked good for many parts of the game, but ultimately gave up too many big plays. They won’t have to face 2 elite receivers this week like they did against Texas Tech. Luckily for them they should be able to shut down TCU's ground game. TCU averaged just 2.25 yards per carry to start their season. Offensively, TCU will most likely be looking to throw a lot. I think Texas will sit back more and drop 8 while looking to prevent any big plays, which should help the under. They also have a new DC this year. I don’t think he gets embarrassed again this week.
The Texas offense will score points no doubt, but I think TCU will be able to slow them down. TCU has a much better defense than most people realize because of that first game. The Longhorns have had a really good running game so far this year, whereas TCU got torched on the ground to start their season. Even if TCU does struggle to stop the run, the clock will move and the total is high enough for plenty of leeway.
At the end of the day 63 points is just too much. I think both of these defenses are being undervalued. This one will stay under.
Best trend- The total has gone under in 4 of Texas' last 5 games against TCU.
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10/3
TCU@Texas UNDER 63 (-110) 3.3 units to win 3 units
The total has jumped 3 points from the opening 60. After the shootout win for the Longhorns, and 500 yards of offense for TCU in their first game, I’m not surprised.
The Longhorns defense didn’t actually look as bad as the 56 points given up would suggest. They looked good for many parts of the game, but ultimately gave up too many big plays. They won’t have to face 2 elite receivers this week like they did against Texas Tech. Luckily for them they should be able to shut down TCU's ground game. TCU averaged just 2.25 yards per carry to start their season. Offensively, TCU will most likely be looking to throw a lot. I think Texas will sit back more and drop 8 while looking to prevent any big plays, which should help the under. They also have a new DC this year. I don’t think he gets embarrassed again this week.
The Texas offense will score points no doubt, but I think TCU will be able to slow them down. TCU has a much better defense than most people realize because of that first game. The Longhorns have had a really good running game so far this year, whereas TCU got torched on the ground to start their season. Even if TCU does struggle to stop the run, the clock will move and the total is high enough for plenty of leeway.
At the end of the day 63 points is just too much. I think both of these defenses are being undervalued. This one will stay under.
Best trend- The total has gone under in 4 of Texas' last 5 games against TCU.
Oklahoma State@Kansas UNDER 54 (-110) Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units.
This one is pretty simple. Oklahoma State starter Spencer’s Sanders is still questionable with an injured ankle. I don’t think he plays in this game, but even if he does it won’t be for long. This Oklahoma State offense isn’t the same squad it used to be, they aren’t going to put up giant numbers. They didn’t look great against a mid tier West Virginia defense last week. One thing they have done well is run the ball. They will be going up against a Kansas defense that has had a tough time stopping it. Expect the Oklahoma state offense to keep the ball on the ground most of the game, which will eat lots of clock. I just don’t think they want to rely on their freshman backup QB when they are so effective at running. We could see some stalled drives if the Cowboys are forced into any 3rd and long situations.
Kansas is going to have massive trouble against this underrated Oklahoma State defense. This defense made both Tulsa and West Virginia look way worse than they actually are. They have been able to put tons of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and wreak havoc in the backfield. Kansas has shown no signs of having ANY pass protection so far this year, and it's only going to get worse here. Offensively, the Jayhawks best bet for moving the football against this defense will be in the run game. They still have star running back Pooka Williams Jr, and Velton Gardner has been effective when called upon to spell him. If Oklahoma State can play turnover free football, I don’t see Kansas getting into the end zone more than once. Even if Kansas gets in the end zone a few times, it will come off of long drives with lots of 3rd down conversions, and lots of time off the clock.
This is by far my favorite play this Saturday. The total opened at 54.5 and has moved down to 54. This game shouldn’t even threaten touching the 50’s. Pound the under.
Best trend- The total has gone under in all of Oklahoma State's last 6 games.
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10/3
Oklahoma State@Kansas UNDER 54 (-110) Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units.
This one is pretty simple. Oklahoma State starter Spencer’s Sanders is still questionable with an injured ankle. I don’t think he plays in this game, but even if he does it won’t be for long. This Oklahoma State offense isn’t the same squad it used to be, they aren’t going to put up giant numbers. They didn’t look great against a mid tier West Virginia defense last week. One thing they have done well is run the ball. They will be going up against a Kansas defense that has had a tough time stopping it. Expect the Oklahoma state offense to keep the ball on the ground most of the game, which will eat lots of clock. I just don’t think they want to rely on their freshman backup QB when they are so effective at running. We could see some stalled drives if the Cowboys are forced into any 3rd and long situations.
Kansas is going to have massive trouble against this underrated Oklahoma State defense. This defense made both Tulsa and West Virginia look way worse than they actually are. They have been able to put tons of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and wreak havoc in the backfield. Kansas has shown no signs of having ANY pass protection so far this year, and it's only going to get worse here. Offensively, the Jayhawks best bet for moving the football against this defense will be in the run game. They still have star running back Pooka Williams Jr, and Velton Gardner has been effective when called upon to spell him. If Oklahoma State can play turnover free football, I don’t see Kansas getting into the end zone more than once. Even if Kansas gets in the end zone a few times, it will come off of long drives with lots of 3rd down conversions, and lots of time off the clock.
This is by far my favorite play this Saturday. The total opened at 54.5 and has moved down to 54. This game shouldn’t even threaten touching the 50’s. Pound the under.
Best trend- The total has gone under in all of Oklahoma State's last 6 games.
Charlotte@Florida Atlantic OVER 60.5 (-110) Risking 3.3 units to win 3 units
This is one of the more low key games on the slate, but I see lots of value in it. Florida Atlantic will be playing their first game of the season here. They were solid defensively last year, but have had their defense torn apart. Over the offseason they lost 3 of their 4 defensive line starters, both starting cornerbacks, and 2 of 3 starting linebackers. In that group were their top 4 tacklers, and best defensive player overall. I think not only will the defense struggle because it is their first game of the season whereas Charlotte already has a game under their belt, but also because it will take some time for all of these new players to get on the same page. They will be facing a Charlotte offense that has an experienced QB. Charlotte also has a really good receiver by the name of Victor Tucker who should have his way in this game. When Charlotte goes to the run game, expect a bunch of missed tackles as this FAU defense tries to get their feet under them.
The Charlotte defense was really bad last year, and didn’t look good at all in their first game this year. To make matters worse, they may be without their best pass rusher, as well as one of their starting defensive tackles in this game. To be fair, they will be facing an FAU team that has a lot of unknowns in their passing game. One thing is for sure though, it is going to be almost impossible for Charlotte to stop the 3 headed monster in the Florida Atlantic backfield. FAU has a great running back committee. With 3 great running backs, they can all keep each other fresh and run all over this Charlotte defense. Expect lots of big runs that will eventually open up the passing game when FAU has the ball. I just can’t see Charlotte getting many stops here.
The line has moved up 1 point from 59.5 to 60.5. Although this game may not have lots of huge plays and quick scores, both defenses will struggle to get stops. The points should consistently flow in. Take the over.
Best trend- The total has gone over in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games.
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10/3
Charlotte@Florida Atlantic OVER 60.5 (-110) Risking 3.3 units to win 3 units
This is one of the more low key games on the slate, but I see lots of value in it. Florida Atlantic will be playing their first game of the season here. They were solid defensively last year, but have had their defense torn apart. Over the offseason they lost 3 of their 4 defensive line starters, both starting cornerbacks, and 2 of 3 starting linebackers. In that group were their top 4 tacklers, and best defensive player overall. I think not only will the defense struggle because it is their first game of the season whereas Charlotte already has a game under their belt, but also because it will take some time for all of these new players to get on the same page. They will be facing a Charlotte offense that has an experienced QB. Charlotte also has a really good receiver by the name of Victor Tucker who should have his way in this game. When Charlotte goes to the run game, expect a bunch of missed tackles as this FAU defense tries to get their feet under them.
The Charlotte defense was really bad last year, and didn’t look good at all in their first game this year. To make matters worse, they may be without their best pass rusher, as well as one of their starting defensive tackles in this game. To be fair, they will be facing an FAU team that has a lot of unknowns in their passing game. One thing is for sure though, it is going to be almost impossible for Charlotte to stop the 3 headed monster in the Florida Atlantic backfield. FAU has a great running back committee. With 3 great running backs, they can all keep each other fresh and run all over this Charlotte defense. Expect lots of big runs that will eventually open up the passing game when FAU has the ball. I just can’t see Charlotte getting many stops here.
The line has moved up 1 point from 59.5 to 60.5. Although this game may not have lots of huge plays and quick scores, both defenses will struggle to get stops. The points should consistently flow in. Take the over.
Best trend- The total has gone over in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games.
Auburn@Georgia UNDER 43.5 (-110) Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units
This game will feature 2 really good defenses. Auburn is going to have an incredibly tough time throwing against what is one of the best secondaries in all of college football. If they want any chance to win this game, they will need to get the ground game going. They didn’t show many signs of life against Kentucky where they struggled to run the ball. I just don’t know how Auburn is going to move the ball with any consistency in this game. I think they will have an incredibly tough time even reaching double digits, if they get there.
Georgia has a lot of new faces in this offense, and they are clearly going to need some time before everything starts clicking. I don’t even know who is in at quarterback in this game, but neither option is enticing. Auburn has a nice defensive line and an elite group of linebackers, I think they will use that to shut down the Georgia ground game and force them to throw the ball. If that happens, I don’t see Georgia having much success.
I think Georgia will do what they always do, control the clock and play off their defense. Don’t expect any turnovers from them either. Both offenses will have an incredibly tough time getting anything going. Because of this I am taking the under with 5 units.
Best trend- The total has gone under in all of Georgia's last 5 games at home.
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10/3
Auburn@Georgia UNDER 43.5 (-110) Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units
This game will feature 2 really good defenses. Auburn is going to have an incredibly tough time throwing against what is one of the best secondaries in all of college football. If they want any chance to win this game, they will need to get the ground game going. They didn’t show many signs of life against Kentucky where they struggled to run the ball. I just don’t know how Auburn is going to move the ball with any consistency in this game. I think they will have an incredibly tough time even reaching double digits, if they get there.
Georgia has a lot of new faces in this offense, and they are clearly going to need some time before everything starts clicking. I don’t even know who is in at quarterback in this game, but neither option is enticing. Auburn has a nice defensive line and an elite group of linebackers, I think they will use that to shut down the Georgia ground game and force them to throw the ball. If that happens, I don’t see Georgia having much success.
I think Georgia will do what they always do, control the clock and play off their defense. Don’t expect any turnovers from them either. Both offenses will have an incredibly tough time getting anything going. Because of this I am taking the under with 5 units.
Best trend- The total has gone under in all of Georgia's last 5 games at home.
10/3 Auburn@Georgia UNDER 43.5 (-110) Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units This game will feature 2 really good defenses. Auburn is going to have an incredibly tough time throwing against what is one of the best secondaries in all of college football. If they want any chance to win this game, they will need to get the ground game going. They didn’t show many signs of life against Kentucky where they struggled to run the ball. I just don’t know how Auburn is going to move the ball with any consistency in this game. I think they will have an incredibly tough time even reaching double digits, if they get there. Georgia has a lot of new faces in this offense, and they are clearly going to need some time before everything starts clicking. I don’t even know who is in at quarterback in this game, but neither option is enticing. Auburn has a nice defensive line and an elite group of linebackers, I think they will use that to shut down the Georgia ground game and force them to throw the ball. If that happens, I don’t see Georgia having much success. I think Georgia will do what they always do, control the clock and play off their defense. Don’t expect any turnovers from them either. Both offenses will have an incredibly tough time getting anything going. Because of this I am taking the under with 5 units. Best trend- The total has gone under in all of Georgia's last 5 games at home.
get this under gl
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Quote Originally Posted by undefined:
10/3 Auburn@Georgia UNDER 43.5 (-110) Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units This game will feature 2 really good defenses. Auburn is going to have an incredibly tough time throwing against what is one of the best secondaries in all of college football. If they want any chance to win this game, they will need to get the ground game going. They didn’t show many signs of life against Kentucky where they struggled to run the ball. I just don’t know how Auburn is going to move the ball with any consistency in this game. I think they will have an incredibly tough time even reaching double digits, if they get there. Georgia has a lot of new faces in this offense, and they are clearly going to need some time before everything starts clicking. I don’t even know who is in at quarterback in this game, but neither option is enticing. Auburn has a nice defensive line and an elite group of linebackers, I think they will use that to shut down the Georgia ground game and force them to throw the ball. If that happens, I don’t see Georgia having much success. I think Georgia will do what they always do, control the clock and play off their defense. Don’t expect any turnovers from them either. Both offenses will have an incredibly tough time getting anything going. Because of this I am taking the under with 5 units. Best trend- The total has gone under in all of Georgia's last 5 games at home.
I have the line right in the post there pal. 0-2 with 2 pushes so far. One of those losses was on a safety with time expiring. But go ahead and be toxic.
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I have the line right in the post there pal. 0-2 with 2 pushes so far. One of those losses was on a safety with time expiring. But go ahead and be toxic.
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