nostradamus week 1

what's going on fellas....yep.back for another year after flailing around most of last season and making only 5-6 units if I recall....still 18 of last 20 in the black...err yeah humbly speaking that's pretty tough, lost most of our first 10 years in the 80-90's.. fortunately didn't have much cash then to lose....really just enjoy doing it and then over the years offshore '401Ks' have accumulated more than the one at work......spending 2-3 hours a day over the past month or so checking out the team write-ups and website for info mostly week 1 matchups based on early 5D numbers....looks like heritage has a couple numbers posted...and then stopped.... so not long before they and BM have the rest up....been a few since we've put together a really great year so we're refocused and looking forward to this one...forum wise things have declined over the years here however still some really knowledgeable cappers and good info here,  have 10-12 good mix of chalk and dogs we'll be getting down on when numbers up at our books, best of luck this season all

Much respect Nos aka half-man half-amazing 

QB - what's happening, good to see you back bud

Oklahoma St 48 Tulsa 20 - like the OSU advantage at QB....have to believe in the back of their mind still remember CMU game and willing to finish strong in the 4th....Tulsa outscored 50-27 over last couple years vs. ranked...new QB and offense probably needs sharp game similar to 52-38 loss at OU in '15 to get under number

Arizona St 55 NM St 20 - NM St mostly shredded against decent teams average 57-17 over the last couple years against big 5 and NM next up...offense is decent and probably needs great game to be similar to LY 62-42 against KY...and ASU defense was suspect...ok horrible although did face a bunch of NFL level QBs and new DC Bennett known for quick improvement...like ASU upgrade at QB and both looked good in the spring and expecting good things from WR Humphrey

Notre Dame 37 Temple 10 - seem to recall at one point LY Owls going on crazy 11-0 ATS run....although defense was good still allowed 30+ to 3 of 4 decent offenses faced and loses some talent...and QB looks pretty unsettled and not the best place to figure things out....expecting ND to come out strong after 4-8 season and eventually grind Owls into the ground

Texas 45 Maryland 17 - obvious Herman will want to put up good showing in opener...like the advantage at QB and running game...Terps have some talent..err maybe..however gave up a lot of yards and points to decent teams last year and overmatched in this spot

Ohio St 44 Indiana 14 - Indiana has actually played OSU pretty tough over the past few years....Bucks probably come out ready after finishing LY with 31-0...Hoosiers defense improved last year not at this level though...expect Wilson to improve OSU offense...not to mention some insight on opponent and talented defense to shut them down

USC 45 W Mich 10 - although USC WR are young and WMU defense still has some talent, huge QB advantage...expecting Broncos to bounce some after great season, coaching change, new QB and losing ridiculously talented WR Davis (1500 yds)...expecting somewhat similar matchup to 38-12 loss at OSU in '15 other than facing better QB

Memphis 51 ULM 14...ULM mostly killed against nonconference FBS over last couple years average 47-12 and not seeing any reason Memphis offense averaging 46 ppg at home last year should not put up similar here

So Carolina 23 NC St 20 - not seeing much separating these two much less five points worth...SC seems to have found their QB with Bentley...return of LB Moore to defense should provide some leadership...also tackles...assuming he's not suspended for beating up people...NCS not beating many decent teams by TD+ over the past couple years

NW 37 Nevada 20 - expecting new Wolfpack offense to be improved under Mumme, Cornwell and good skill players...NW not known for running things up...with Purdue (by 28) the only FBS win by more than this number over the past 3 seasons,,,hell no surprise if this one even goes down to the wire

UCF 28 Fla Int 17 - err yeah not a lot of FIU tickets over the years...however feeling like Davis brings some good coaching and motivation...and coming off 53-14 killing last year should add to it....expecting some closer to 15-14 matchup the year before...FIU with good core of players returning and in state rivalry

Illinois 27 Ball St 26 - Illinois no great history of winning by double digits...like the Ball St experience advantage at QB and talented Gilbert should do some damage running...biggest concern is having some playmakers emerge in young and thin WR...still though BSU beaten by more than 10 only twice last year and hung around with much better Indiana team

Middle Tenn 23 Vandy 21 - expecting MTSU to be fairly juiced after LY 47-24 loss despite 495-344 yardage advantage...likely something closer to 17-13 matchup in '15 other than higher scoring...MTSU solid QB advantage...dores lose tackling machine Cunningham....number of Vandy road wins by TD+ against FBS over past 3 years....none

what's happening fellas....always good to see some long timers along with excellent handicapping and insights....

LH - good to see you bud....some good points there....yeah that KU loss probably the worst in program history...seems like they pretty much packed it in on Strong the last couple games....wouldn't take them with no coaching change so guess we're putting a lot on new coach...and coordinators...and some talent at skill positions...MD pretty soft on D, a lot will depend on QB play....Johnson 9.1 YPC impressive though and some skill position talent if QB is decent

adding......

Stanford -31 (-115) (0.75)

Rutgers +31.5 (0.75)

Stanford 48 Rice 7 - yeah worst case could be similar to last year's 41-17 where the tree basically was sleeping most of the way (after holding Owls to zero first downs in the 1Q)..seems less likely that will happen in opener...10-37 passing and somehow 160+ rushing yards....Stanford offense improved down the stretch last year and looking for better QB play and RBs/OL (373 rushing LY) to roll over undersized D......so probably 550-600 total yards...not seeing much at QB for Owls....particularly against this level

Washington 40 Rutgers 16 - probably could use a few cold ones to pull the trigger on a RU team that got rolled against the better teams LY....still though with rare long east coast trip and losing Ross and matching up decent in last year's game and seems like unlikely spot for UW to hammer the whole way..also expecting improved QB play and Grant's return and some other skill additions to move it some

wraps things up for awhile.....keeping eye on 3-4 good FBS-FCS matchups and possible couple of team totals later....plenty of reading and work to be done on 30-40 more teams....