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OFFICIAL MATHEMATICAL FORMULA FOR WEEK 4

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Posted: #101
thnx  JOCKEY guys been doggin me for two weeks ,littl ugger
 
had 8 posts and now has 19 all against me
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by goallinebob:

results to date ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Votes to WIN ( 2pm west coast time)
 
uconn 5,,,,,,,-baylor 10
 
psu 2,,,,,,,,,,,temple 2
 
bc 0,,,,,,,,,,,cfu,,,,0  (need input)
 
nw,,,0,,,,,,,,,,,,ohio,,,1
 
cinn,,2,,,,,,,,,,,mia oh,,,,6
 
miss 5,,,,,,,,,,,vandy 2
,,
gtch,,,2,,,,,,,,,,miss st 7
 
byu,,,,4,,,,,,,,,,wyo,,,,0
 
lsu,,,2,,,,,,,,,,,,,aub,,,,5
 
alab,,6,,,,,,,,,,,,ark,,,,1
 
s miss,,,2,,,,,,,,marsh 5
 
hou,,,,,,3,,,,,,,,,,col st,,,,,3
 
rut,,,,,,1,,,,,,,,,,,,navy,,,,,5
 
unc,,,,2,,,,,,,,,,,,,vt,,,,,,,1 (need input)
 
pitt,,,,0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,iowa,,,,,0   (need input)
 
fsu,,,,0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,wake,,,,,,,,,,,,7 (1 ml)
 
mich st,,,,2,,,,,,,,,,,,nd,,,,,,6
 
oreg,,,,,0,,,,,,,,,boise,,,,,1  ( need input)
 
utah,,,3,,,,,,,,,,af,,,,,,,,,3  ( need to break tie)
 
tul,,,,,2,,,,,,,,,,nmex,,,,,4
 
ind,,,,3,,,,,,,,,ball 3 (2 ml)
 
purd,,,3,,,,,,,,cmu,,,,,3
 
akr,,,,4,,,,,,,,army,,,,,1
 
mia fl,,,,,,1,,,,,am,,,,,3
 
ecu,,,,,3,,,,,,,,,nc st,,,,,3
 
tx,,,,,,2,,,,,,,,,rice,,,,,3
 
utah st,,,,1,,,,,,idaho,,,,2
 
tcu,,,,,2,,,,,,,,smu,,,,,0
 
fla,,,,,,3,,,,,,,,tenn,,,,,,10
 
geo,,,,5,,,,,,,ariz st,,,,,,3
 
unlv,,,,1,,,,,,,,iowa st,,,,4 (1 ml)
 
stan,,,,1,,,,,,,sjs,,,,,,,,,12
 
utep,,,,,2,,,,,,,n mex st,,,,,,,4
 
ariz,,,,,0,,,,,,,,ucla,,,,,,,6
 
after going thru posts this is what i show so far
 
 


goallinebob: like the Bolded Ones!



-Emcee CHi-
 
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Posted: #103
New to posting but just wanted to let you know all your hard work is appreciated. Been watching this covers show for years now. Don't let the negative people bother you at all. You are good at what you do. Keep up the good work. Will look for your final picks later. Thanks again.  
 
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Posted: #104
goalinebob..
 
I have a mathematical probability method, too. I'll look at my games this weekend and see if our methods are complimentary.
 
GL.
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by snowjocky:

PENN ST,,,,,,, -28.5   Yes average score in  50 to 14
MISS,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 6.5    no vandy to win s/u
BYU,,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 28.5  yes  Wyoming no defense
LSU,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 2.5    yes Auburn no offense
ALAB,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 9.5    no Hogs at home
S/ MISS,,,,,,,,,,- 9.5     no each team has ginven up 9 TD's
HOUST,,,,,,,,,, - 6.5     yes lot better on offense
RUTG,,,,,,,,,,,, - 6.5     no bad on both sides of the ball
UNC,,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 2.5     no VT has won all 4 meetings
IND,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 3.5    yes lot better defense
AKRON,,,,,,,, - 10.5    yes better offense , defense about even
MIA FL,,,,,,,,,, - 3.5     no freshy QB, A&M to get even
UTEP,,,,,,,,,,,,  - 6.5   no both teams bad on both sides of the ball
ARIZ,,,,,,,,,,,,,, - 2.5    yes fliped a coi

 

You really like Vandy to win Str8 up? You guys are good, but I have to disagree ont hat one. Gl withthem. Love that QB from Ole Miss I'd take him - a touchdown against vandy any day of the week

 
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Posted: #106
i agree, houston nutt is making a difference with the ole miss offense. vandy has played well, but is due for a let down i think. im takin ole miss and layin the pts too jack. and you right about snead, i think his name is, the ole miss qb.
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

i agree, houston nutt is making a difference with the ole miss offense. vandy has played well, but is due for a let down i think. im takin ole miss and layin the pts too jack. and you right about snead, i think his name is, the ole miss qb.

 

OM may have a good QB, but their defense is swiss cheese. Vandy has a enough offense with Nickson to stay within 7.

 
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Posted: #108
vandy has started 3-0, with a win on the road at miami, oh to open the season. ole miss should have beaten a very good wake forest team on the road last week. i have to think vandy's defense may not be as good as it looks on paper. both miami, oh and so. carolina, who they defeated to start the season are rather offensively challenged. i just cant see vandy getting their 4rth straight cover, in a game thats on the road in conference.
 
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Posted: #109
Baylor  Winner
 
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Posted: #110
akron
penn st
alabama
miami fla
purdue
tulsa
utah
michigan st
 
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Posted: #111
3 team teaser with ariz st.-tennessee-miss st.
 
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Posted: #112
so bob when does your final plays come out?  And should Troy be a ML play?  I can see it happening.  I give a vote to troy.
 
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Posted: #113
What a great WIN for not only the MATHEMATICAL FORMULA and the mountain of spread sheets but for all the individuals who assisted in their time and effort to post replys. Those well know to all and those first timers,you all need to be commended for a great JOB well done.
 
I honestly believe,,, you all need to make your own choice,,,,,,,,,,, as this thread has suggested, because you truly made and confirmed the plays just by looking at the VOTES
 
THE PLAYS ARE
 
SJS appears as the POD with 12 -1
MIA OH 6-2
NAVY 6-1
WAKE 7-1
AKRON 4-1
MISS St 7-2
BYU 4-0
ND 6-2
TENN 10-3
IOWA St 4-1
UCLA 6-0
 
 
STRONG LEANS
 
AUB 5-3
N MEX 4-2
TCU 2-0
GEO 5-3
A&M 3-1
N MEX ST 4-2
 
There have been numerous support from all posters regarding their personal picks and the reasons vary as each has their own view.
 
It is your final decision what plays to play ,and i think that is what all you should do as its your money and you know your abilities.
 
My computor sits here totally UNEMOTIONAL ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
and it just picked the first two WINNERS of many .
 
 you have selected some and omitted some which is just as it should be.Oh yeaa COMPUTOR says thanks for supporting its first two and its humming brightly.
 
I just want to personally thank everyone who participated and to tell you i am HONORED to assist you in your selections.
 
In closing my card is the top 11 picks and will play others but that is my own personal decision.
 
I hope you all will visit my NFL thread as computor has a great group of plays it is looking for decisions from you     
 
REMEMBER ,,,,next week ncaaf will be the BIGGEST group of DOG winners for the year ( 25) with approx 11 SU ML winners as HISTORY says,until then bet wisely and save a little for next week
as you gonna need some $$$$$$$$$$$$
 
ps theres a group of plays in NFL that has gone UNDEFEATED in the last 2 years 10-0 awaitjing your review.
 
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #114
DD thanks but no thanks
 
 
Guys with all the opinions running thru my head you all could be right and i hate slighting anyones picks.I just can'i tell you how impressed i am with all of you and the EFFORT you put foreward to me.THANK YOU SO VERY MUCH
 
see you in the NFL
 
 
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Posted: #115
early morning thoughts,apprec any and all thoughts pro and con on plays posted
 
THE PLAYS ARE
 
SJS appears as the POD with 12 -1
MIA OH 6-2,,,,,,,,,,can the bear cats beat them
NAVY 6-1,,,,,,,,,,,rutgers is in dissaray
WAKE 7-1,,,,,,,,,,,,everybody is on them
AKRON 4-1,,,,,,,,,,,,zips win today
MISS St 7-2,,,,,,,,,,,GT is suspect
BYU 4-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,WYO is horrid
ND 6-2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,up and comming will mich st falter
TENN 10-3,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,can they cover appears from all YES
IOWA St 4-1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,can they cover at UNLV
UCLA 6-0,,,,,,,,,,,,at home and need final thoughts
 
 
STRONG LEANS
 
AUB 5-3,,,,,,,,,,but there prev looks bad and LSU are Champs ???
N MEX 4-2,,,,,,,,
TCU 2-0,,,,, a lot of points?????????????
GEO 5-3,,,,,,,can they travel well,,,,,,,,,,
A&M 3-1,,,,,,,,,,,,,pay back time
N MEX ST 4-2,,,,,,,,,,some say both bad?????????
 
If anyone thinks i missed anything please say so as the morning is soon to arrive
 
 
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Posted: #116
few addit notes
 
penn st will joe pa allow point spread to get out hand with 2 penn st grads at temple running program, LOYALTY win but not cover
 
Arkansas waiting for AUBURN and look ahead for auburn with georgia???????????????
 
 
want each guy to post his best 6 plays for the day ,i want to put a parlay together,damnn with this much work i need to win a few bucks for paper and electricity
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #117
nice
 
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Posted: #118
So if SJS is the POD with 12 votes, that makes it a public fav.  Since, we the sports bettors are the public and  the public doesn't know anything, don't we bet against the public?
 
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Posted: #119

Here's who I think will cover now for you Bob (one is a change from my posts)

Miss St      Penn St

ND             BYU

AF              LSU

Tenn           Alabama

Arz St         S.Miss

SJS            Houston

Indiana        Akron

Miami          Arizona

 
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Posted: #120
OK Bob, after sleeping on this, here are my reactions to your latest posts and my best 6 plays for saturday. first my reactions to your last post...how can auburn look ahead past LSU? after the lackluster start arkansas has gotten off to, how can they look past anybody as well?
Using the current lines at scores and odds...here are my plays for today for today: have included more than 6 since some didnt make the final list.
Va. Tech + 3 1/2  ( I know this game didnt make the final list ) the fact this line opened at 1 1/2 and is now up to 3 1/2 makes me think even more strongly that tech is the play. supporting trends: UNC is 2-8 ATS as a fav of 6 pts or less the last 10 games. Va. Tech is 10-1 ATS their last 11 on the road vs an opponenet with revenge.
Wake Forest + 5. I like the fact this line has moved up a little as well during the week. Wake has beaten a pretty athletic Baylor team on the road and held on to beat a much improved Ole Miss squad at home last week...Fla. St. has warmed up with 2 cupcakes. Wake is 9-1 ATS their last 10 vs the 'Noles and won the last 2 outright as dogs.
Navy + 5 1/2 another line moving up. Rutgers cant cover at home, so now they are a chalk on the road? I think Navy's triple option attack gives the Scarlet Knights fits.
Akron -10 This is just an anti-Army play mainly, as i dont see Army being able to win, so they probably wont cover.
Ball St. + 3 My instincts tell me the smaller school wants to win this intrastate matchup worse then the big school, and with nate Davis under center, they just might.
Miss St. + 7 1/2 The extra hook makes the Bulldogs an attractive play here. Also, their last 8 games in this role, Miss St. is 7-1 as non conference road dogs.
I really like a money line parlay with Va. Tech and Wake. Will also parlay more of these using the spread, and bet them all individually.
 
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Posted: #121
i dont do parlays as much.. but this seems to be the right time, so here is my 3 teamer.. Love this Thread i will make my move to the NFL after my games play today.. BOL to everyone.

Parlay / D93A8... 2008-09-20 01:29 $40.00 $278.32 -- Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Wyoming @ BYU) BYU Point Spread -28.5 (-110) 2008-09-20 15:00


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Florida @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 8 (-110) 2008-09-20 15:30


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Rutgers @ Navy) Navy Point Spread 6 (-110) 2008-09-20 15:30


Placed


Wyoming, is just that bad.. BYU from last weekends game, looked very good and played very well.. its a Home game, even better to amp there spirits up!

Tennessee should cover easily, Florida has Great Defense but being away on the road, i think it should shake them up a bit. Ten. in my opinion is better offensively than florida, only thing they have to get over is Florida's D line, but being at home this should boost there confidence..

Rutgers, i just dont see taking navy out.. In all honesty this season so far, i think Navy has a better gameplan and team, the rutgers i used to watch last season, just isnt together right now.  unless Rutgers can stop Navy from Running the ball, i just dont see Rutger with a chance in this game.. Only thing i see is, Rutgers trying to get out of there Losing streak, but Navy will counter being at home and want that 2nd win !! Navy has a crappy D, but Rutgers in the passed games played i think is worse Offensivly and Defensevly ..

BOL to everyone.. see you all back on the grind, for some NFL fun...
 
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Posted: #122
here is my 6 teamer i actually through on last night, with some lose change i had lying around.. these are basically picked using the first instinct method :)  BOL!

NCAA Football/G- (New Mexico St. @ UTEP) New Mexico St. Point Spread 7.5 (-110) 2008-09-20 21:00


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (San Jose St. @ Stanford) San Jose St. Point Spread 8 (-110) 2008-09-20 21:00


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Miami Ohio @ Cincinnati) Miami Ohio Point Spread 12 (-110) 2008-09-20 19:30


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Rutgers @ Navy) Navy Point Spread 6 (-110) 2008-09-20 15:30


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Florida @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 8 (-110) 2008-09-20 15:30


Placed
NCAA Football/G- (Wyoming @ BYU) BYU Point Spread -28.5 (-110) 2008-09-20 15:00


Placed

 
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Posted: #123
coupee...you think tenn will cover EASILY? then you make the comment fla has a great defense..being on the road will have less effect on the defense, as defense is more of a constant. offense requires more timing and coordination, so being on the road may effect the offense, but i dont think it hurts the defesne all that much. tenn is better offensively that fla, in your opinion?.....you ever hear of tim tebow and percy harvin? i cant even tell you the name of tenn. qb or any other skill player on offense. im not saying tenn wont cover, and a lot of people in this form agree with you....but your logic is flawed, and this game is a no play for me.
 
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Posted: #124
 
Morning Bob, Great Day to be a Gambler...
 
I posted my picks.  Take a look.  I have another controversial card.  Love to hear the thoughts from the group.
 
 
Even though we differ on several plays, I'll be pulling for the system.  I think we are 1 or 2 weeks shy of dogs taking the cake.  Not to give away some biblical secret, but year over year in weeks 5 and 6 I make big money playing ranked teams, getting points, on the road.
 
GL.
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by goallinebob:

early morning thoughts,apprec any and all thoughts pro and con on plays posted
 
THE PLAYS ARE
 
SJS appears as the POD with 12 -1
MIA OH 6-2,,,,,,,,,,can the bear cats beat them
NAVY 6-1,,,,,,,,,,,rutgers is in dissaray
WAKE 7-1,,,,,,,,,,,,everybody is on them
AKRON 4-1,,,,,,,,,,,,zips win today
MISS St 7-2,,,,,,,,,,,GT is suspect
BYU 4-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,WYO is horrid
ND 6-2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,up and comming will mich st falter
TENN 10-3,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,can they cover appears from all YES
IOWA St 4-1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,can they cover at UNLV
UCLA 6-0,,,,,,,,,,,,at home and need final thoughts
 
 
STRONG LEANS
 
AUB 5-3,,,,,,,,,,but there prev looks bad and LSU are Champs ???
N MEX 4-2,,,,,,,,
TCU 2-0,,,,, a lot of points?????????????
GEO 5-3,,,,,,,can they travel well,,,,,,,,,,
A&M 3-1,,,,,,,,,,,,,pay back time
N MEX ST 4-2,,,,,,,,,,some say both bad?????????
 
If anyone thinks i missed anything please say so as the morning is soon to arrive
 

My plays are the following single bets 1 unit each, plus a 6-team parlay for $2 to pay $92.

SJSU

UGA

Auburn/LSU UNDER

ISU

WFU

Miami O

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