Posted:
#1
horrible in ncaa and great in nfl last week...
so, starting a new thread in ncaa for some good karma :)
system #1: line -3.5 to +27, revenging last season double digit dog road loss of 7 or more if they scored 28 or more in that loss: 107-51-1 ats which is good for 67.77% over almost 30 years. washington state is the last team to score 20 or more against this stanford team. granted they did it in garbage time, but stil, their offense is good enough to score 20+ again this season. washington state is underrated, as their ats record tells us. they are 4-1 ats this season and 10-3 ats in last 13 games they played. they played three games in a row on the road this season and stil covered 2 of those three and had a chance to win all three games outright, if it wasnt for fourth quarter collapses at sdsu and at ucla. stanford is playing great football and stil flying under the radar for one simple reason. traditional powerhouses like lsu, alabama, oklahoma are doing well and they are stealing the spotlights. it is very hard for a west coast team like stanford to get in top 2 or 3 when these sec teams + oklahoma are unbeaten. stanford has to keep on winning regardless and to wait for their chance. they can beat washington state by 10 or by 50, and it will change nothing at this point. washington state +21 is my first play this week.
system #2 underdogs that scored more than 35 in last two games, allowed 26 or less in last game and 15 or less in game before are 91-38 ats since 1982, good for 70.5%. three teams were in this situation this season and all three played very well, covering all three times. wmu lost by only 3 at illinois, covering easily as 14 pts dogs, temple lost by 4 against psu after leading the entire game and stil overed the +7.5 line, and finally smu won outright against tcu as a 12 pts dog. michigan looks improved this season especially on defense. i believe that michigan state was overrated last season and they look even less impressive this season. also, michigan seems to have more options on offense this season than last season, and they also have a much better coach. brady hoke is probably one of the most underrated coaches in college football. the players stil have to execute on the field, so this is why people stil dont trust in michigan. play #2 is michigan +3
so, starting a new thread in ncaa for some good karma :)
system #1: line -3.5 to +27, revenging last season double digit dog road loss of 7 or more if they scored 28 or more in that loss: 107-51-1 ats which is good for 67.77% over almost 30 years. washington state is the last team to score 20 or more against this stanford team. granted they did it in garbage time, but stil, their offense is good enough to score 20+ again this season. washington state is underrated, as their ats record tells us. they are 4-1 ats this season and 10-3 ats in last 13 games they played. they played three games in a row on the road this season and stil covered 2 of those three and had a chance to win all three games outright, if it wasnt for fourth quarter collapses at sdsu and at ucla. stanford is playing great football and stil flying under the radar for one simple reason. traditional powerhouses like lsu, alabama, oklahoma are doing well and they are stealing the spotlights. it is very hard for a west coast team like stanford to get in top 2 or 3 when these sec teams + oklahoma are unbeaten. stanford has to keep on winning regardless and to wait for their chance. they can beat washington state by 10 or by 50, and it will change nothing at this point. washington state +21 is my first play this week.
system #2 underdogs that scored more than 35 in last two games, allowed 26 or less in last game and 15 or less in game before are 91-38 ats since 1982, good for 70.5%. three teams were in this situation this season and all three played very well, covering all three times. wmu lost by only 3 at illinois, covering easily as 14 pts dogs, temple lost by 4 against psu after leading the entire game and stil overed the +7.5 line, and finally smu won outright against tcu as a 12 pts dog. michigan looks improved this season especially on defense. i believe that michigan state was overrated last season and they look even less impressive this season. also, michigan seems to have more options on offense this season than last season, and they also have a much better coach. brady hoke is probably one of the most underrated coaches in college football. the players stil have to execute on the field, so this is why people stil dont trust in michigan. play #2 is michigan +3
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