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TD FCS Playoffs

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Posted: #1
FCS quarterfinals this week:

Sam Houston State -9.5 (1u)
Northern Iowa +7. (0.5u)
UNI / NDSU Under 48.5 (0.25u)

TD
 
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Posted: #2
Also grabbed a 3-team 7.5 point teaser:

Jacksonville State -2.5
Northern Iowa +14.5
Sam Houston State -2

Risking 0.315u to win 0.4u

TD
 
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Posted: #3
Will track D2 & D3 playoffs in this thread as well.

Grand Valley State -3 (1u).  Just came out, may add to this.... When they let me.

TD
 
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Posted: #4
UW Whitewater / Mt. Union Over 58.5
 
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Posted: #5
And of course, the MEAC / SWAC degenerate special...

North Carolina A&T -1.5 (0.25u)

TD
 
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Posted: #6
NAIA national championship game...... Why not!?  You know, for the action:

Small:  Over 57

Smaller:  Southern Oregon +14

Smallest:  Southern Oregon ML +450

14 points in a title game with defending national champ as the Dog... Come on masseyratings, I mean 5dimes.  

Marian Ind playing great D in these playoffs.  Run D in particular.  Most points they allowed all season was 45 vs. St. Francis.  They allowed more points than rushing yards that day.  Only 38 rushing yards allowed.  They avenged that loss last week in the playoffs holding St. Francis to 14 points.
Southern Oregon 2014 All American QB is gone.  D gives up some points vs. decent opponents.  Southern Oregon last member of the old Columbia Football League to remain NAIA (most D3, some D2, a couple dropped football... I'm digressing).  So, going with the somewhat sentimental pick plus the points.  Hoping Southern Oregon throws the ball almost every play.

And for those of you that don't remember, yes, I miss the all black units and black helmets (no decals!). And yes, I've been to more NAIA football games than probably anyone on this board.  And no, I really don't know a damn thing about these two teams in 2015.


TD

 
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Posted: #7
That should read.... All black unis.  Autocorrect got me there.

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:


And for those of you that don't remember, yes, I miss the all black units and black helmets (no decals!).

 
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Posted: #8
D3: Mt. Union -8 (0.25u)

TD
 
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Posted: #9
Thanks for posting.  Charleston Southern down to third string QB this weekend.  They are giving 12 on the road to Jacksonville State the number one rated team.   Ill. State giving 12.5 to Richmond at Home.  Ill State owns the longest FCS home winning streak.  Any thoughts?
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner18:

Thanks for posting.  Charleston Southern down to third string QB this weekend.  They are giving 12 on the road to Jacksonville State the number one rated team.   Ill. State giving 12.5 to Richmond at Home.  Ill State owns the longest FCS home winning streak.  Any thoughts?

 boomersooner, just made a small play on Charleston Southern / Jacksonville State Under 50 (0.25u).  Jax State D should rebound after Chatt big running QB Huesman pounded them pretty good.  CS best chance to win is a close low scoring game like last week vs. the Citadel.  CS QB did play quite a bit as a R-FR when starting QB went down, so not totally inexperienced.

Got nothing on Richmond at Illinois State.  Richmond too inconsistent for me.  If they played W&M every week they'd be fine, but the competition just got a lot tougher.  Illinois State probably not as good as '14 runner up squad.  Roberson hasn't throw the ball great since coming back from a thumb injury earlier this year.  DBs and WRs better LY.  Power running game coming into form at the right time.

Enjoy the games.

TD
 
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Posted: #11
Forgot to mention, also bumped UNI/NDSU Under to 0.5u

Under 48.5 (0.25u) and now Under 49.5 (0.25u)

TD
 
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Posted: #12
 
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Posted: #13

Week 15 Consolidated Card:

Having fun this week on the action plays.  ’15 funding on cruise control to finish the year.

1 unit: 

Sam Houston State -9.5

Grand Valley State -3

0.5 units:

Northern Iowa +7

UNI / NDSU Under 48.5 (0.25u) & Under 49.5 (0.25u)

UW Whitewater / Mt. Union Over 58.5

0.4 units:

3 team 7.5 point teaser:

Jacksonville State -2.5, Northern Iowa +14.5, Sam Houston State -2  (risking 0.32u to win 0.4u)

0.3 units:

Southern Oregon / Marian Over 57

0.25 units:

Charleston Southern / Jacksonville State Under 50  LOSS - last minute add was a bad call.  Assuming SHSU wins, Over may be a good play next week.

North Carolina A&T -1.5

Southern Oregon +14

Army / Navy 1st half Under 25.5

ML & ML parlay:

Southern Oregon +450 (0.1u to win 0.45u)

Added: 5 team ML parlay

Grand Valley State -270 12pm

Mt. Union -335 12pm

North Carolina A&T -135 12pm

Northwest Missouri State -1500 3:30pm

Linfield +300  3:30pm

Pays just over 12:1  (0.05u to win 0.61u)

TD

 
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Posted: #14
FCS semifinals:

Richmond / North Dakota State Under 56.5 (1u) & Under 56 (0.25u)

Richmond +14 (0.5u)

D2 Championship:

Shepherd / Northwest Missouri State Under 51.5 (0.5u)

**and don't get me started on how bad GVSU looked most of the game vs. Shepherd & their backup QB.  Super Region 1 teams pretty bad historically in the semi-finals round.  Shepherd with a much lower SOS than other teams still playing the last couple weeks.  Now the D2 title game has a 24 point fav.

D3 Championship:
Mt. Union -3 (0.25u)

TD
 
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Posted: #15
Added:

Richmond +7.5 1st half (0.25u)
NDSU team total Under 17.5 1st half (0.5u)

TD
 
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Posted: #16
Snuck in a D3 Under 57 play just before kickoff.  Windy, cold night.


TD
 
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Posted: #17
& a real small FCS ML parlay:

Richmond 1st half ML +325
Sam Houston State ML +260

Pays just over 14:1

TD
 
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Posted: #18
Vintage NDSU physical beat down in progress.  Largest play: Under 56.5 looks good, but added 1st half plays tonight hurt.  

2nd half Under play pending as ndsu will eat clock and play defense with the big lead.

TD
 
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Posted: #19
Under 24 2nd half NDSU / Richmond (0.75u)

TD
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Vintage NDSU physical beat down in progress.

2nd half Under play pending as ndsu will eat clock and play defense with the big lead.


NDSU with an 18 play, 87 yards, 10:02 drive in the 2nd half.  Love how dependable this team is with a lead at half.
 
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Posted: #21

Week 15, 16 FCS, D2, D3 Consolidated Card:

In typical TD fashion, >=1u plays are 2 - 1.  All others leave me even for the last two weeks.  Today’s 12/19 plays pending.

1.25 units:  1 -0

Richmond / North Dakota State Under 56.5 (1u) & Under 56 (0.25u)  WIN

1 unit:  1 - 1

Sam Houston State -9.5  WIN

Grand Valley State -3  LOSS

0.75 units:  1 - 0

Richmond / North Dakota State Under 24 2nd half  WIN

0.5 units:  1 - 4

Northern Iowa +7  LOSS

UNI / NDSU Under 48.5 (0.25u) & Under 49.5 (0.25u)  WIN

UW Whitewater / Mt. Union Over 58.5  LOSS

Richmond +14 LOSS

NDSU first half team total Under 17.5 LOSS

Shepherd / NW Missouri State Under 51.5  12/19


 
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Posted: #22

0.4 units:  1 - 0

3 team 7.5 point teaser:

Jacksonville State -2.5, Northern Iowa +14.5, Sam Houston State -2  (risking 0.32u to win 0.4u)  WIN

0.3 units:

Southern Oregon / Marian Over 57  12/19

0.25 units: 1 - 4

Charleston Southern / Jacksonville State Under 50  LOSS

Army / Navy 1st half Under 25.5  LOSS

Richmond 1st half +7.5 LOSS

Mt. Union -3  WIN

Mt. Union / St. Thomas Under 57 LOSS

North Carolina A&T -1.5  12/19

Southern Oregon +14  12/19

0.1 units: 3 - 0

UNI 1st half +3.5 WIN

UNI ML 1st half +170  WIN

UNI / NDSU 1st half Under  24  WIN

Small ML & ML parlays:

Southern Oregon +450 (0.1u to win 0.45u)  12/19

5 team ML parlay (0.05u)  LOSS

Grand Valley State -270 12pm

Mt. Union -335 12pm

North Carolina A&T -135 12pm

Northwest Missouri State -1500 3:30pm

Linfield +300  3:30pm

 

2 team ML parlay  (0.05u) LOSS

Richmond 1st half  +325

Sam Houston State +260

 
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Posted: #23
BOL buddy......................
 *that NDSU 2H under WAS.......damm near a lock
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

BOL buddy......................
 *that NDSU 2H under WAS.......damm near a lock

Yeah, it really was.  I was already down about 0.9u at halftime with 1.25u riding on the full game under.  Last thing I wanted was some fluke BS in the 2nd half and lose 3u on a game like this.  Kept it relatively light at 0.75u.

Just trying to cruise thru bowl season.  Learned my lesson last year, just got crushed on some bad beats the week of 12/24-12/31.

Will be mostly looking in-game & 2nd half.  Like your input that teams don't magically "find it" at half time.  They either show up or they don't for the entire game.

BOL.    And great work in your thread.  

TD
 
 
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Posted: #25
Just FYI to all 5dimes is offering in-game on the D2 title game.  A little surprised by this.  Took Under 52.5 for another 0.75u.  Watched the entire Shepherd game last week.  Don't see them scoring much on NW Mo.  Shepherd D is the strength of that team and NW Mo St may not score the projected 38 pts.  38-14 were the team totals btw.

TD
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