Appreciate the kind words and always enjoy when you drop in. Nothing but positivity!
Bridge,
You need a road trip to Iowa, Indiana, or west Michigan! ...... they can't be that far away from your area. Good luck on the Redbirds action!
Laroja,
I wasn't ready and missed the Hawaii week 1 opener. Some folks here got a really good number, but I'm too much of a line snob that I'm not taking +13.5 now. That said, seems like Hawaii or no play to me. They appear to have this game circled for Week 1 and Week 0 will be very vanilla per HC Chang. UCLA with Foster as HC is going to be interesting. He seems uncomfortable with the HC role in his interviews from what I've been told & little I've watched on my own. Not sure that media interface demeanor matters, but I don't know how well the organization is going to run overall with the HC and coordinators they have in place. RSW win total being bet down, but again I'm a little late to the party.
Huss,
Like Duck said, it opened at FD at -27.5 and got hit hard. Looked like they took it off the board within 1-2 days. When it finally came back I saw a -35 or -35.5 for like a day and then it went to -37.5. It stayed there for awhile. Last couple days at -38.5 now. Other shop has been -38 straight through.
jnethy,
Yep, Bet Any Sports. And thanks jpot34 for responding. And pretty much all books over +21 now as the Tedford news took a little time to affect the market for this game line. I can't see a ton of points in this one. What, 24-28 points without much passing offense for UM and 10-14 points for Fresno State (depends if the Wink M. blitz gets home or gets beat for a big play or two). The UM defense could manhandle teams that can't blitz protect, but could get burned against teams that can. Just watch for that this year in matchup reviews.
1
JEFFMARKETCAP,
Appreciate the kind words and always enjoy when you drop in. Nothing but positivity!
Bridge,
You need a road trip to Iowa, Indiana, or west Michigan! ...... they can't be that far away from your area. Good luck on the Redbirds action!
Laroja,
I wasn't ready and missed the Hawaii week 1 opener. Some folks here got a really good number, but I'm too much of a line snob that I'm not taking +13.5 now. That said, seems like Hawaii or no play to me. They appear to have this game circled for Week 1 and Week 0 will be very vanilla per HC Chang. UCLA with Foster as HC is going to be interesting. He seems uncomfortable with the HC role in his interviews from what I've been told & little I've watched on my own. Not sure that media interface demeanor matters, but I don't know how well the organization is going to run overall with the HC and coordinators they have in place. RSW win total being bet down, but again I'm a little late to the party.
Huss,
Like Duck said, it opened at FD at -27.5 and got hit hard. Looked like they took it off the board within 1-2 days. When it finally came back I saw a -35 or -35.5 for like a day and then it went to -37.5. It stayed there for awhile. Last couple days at -38.5 now. Other shop has been -38 straight through.
jnethy,
Yep, Bet Any Sports. And thanks jpot34 for responding. And pretty much all books over +21 now as the Tedford news took a little time to affect the market for this game line. I can't see a ton of points in this one. What, 24-28 points without much passing offense for UM and 10-14 points for Fresno State (depends if the Wink M. blitz gets home or gets beat for a big play or two). The UM defense could manhandle teams that can't blitz protect, but could get burned against teams that can. Just watch for that this year in matchup reviews.
So I'm way behind on official pre-season adjustments for PR#s, but those two teams that I just played on for Game of The Year plays I am nearly certain without actually running the numbers that they are my top 2 power rated teams to start the season.
I have not posted National Championship Futures that I started taking on June 19th , but FWIW here is what I have set up. It's chalky, but with this new playoff format I think the bluebloods will be right there most years with the necessary talent & depth to run the gauntlet.
If the following teams win it all:
Oregon: Win 0.75u (3 separate bets at +900, +800, & added a little more at +750 today -- best I can find currently)
Georgia: Win 0.6u (2 separate bets at +325 & added a little more today at +300)
Utah: Win 0.57u (2 separate bets at +7500 & earlier this week added at +7000 -- best I could find on Tuesday). Just want the leverage if they win B12 and get a 1st round bye to be able to hedge moving forward. ....side note, how crazy is it going to be if the wide open B12 representative is say UCF or Iowa State!?
Ohio State: Win 0.2u (1 bet in June on the Buckeyes, a little less interested in them now after further review, but still think the defense will be outstanding).
Ole Miss: Win 0.14u (1 bet in June at +2500, couldn't pass up that price at the time). Kiffin game management is crazy enough risk/reward wise that I put it in case they make a run.
Notre Dame: Lose "only" 0.22u (1 bet at +3300).
Texas: Lose "only" 0.3u (1 bet at +900). Market on Texas has been all over the place; better prices available now. Time will tell, but Texas probably better last year with the D-Line losses and now the RB injuries / depth problem at that position. I'm cooling on the Longhorns, just like the Buckeyes. Relatively speaking of course. Both still excellent teams obviously.
Field wins: lose 0.9u overall
0
So I'm way behind on official pre-season adjustments for PR#s, but those two teams that I just played on for Game of The Year plays I am nearly certain without actually running the numbers that they are my top 2 power rated teams to start the season.
I have not posted National Championship Futures that I started taking on June 19th , but FWIW here is what I have set up. It's chalky, but with this new playoff format I think the bluebloods will be right there most years with the necessary talent & depth to run the gauntlet.
If the following teams win it all:
Oregon: Win 0.75u (3 separate bets at +900, +800, & added a little more at +750 today -- best I can find currently)
Georgia: Win 0.6u (2 separate bets at +325 & added a little more today at +300)
Utah: Win 0.57u (2 separate bets at +7500 & earlier this week added at +7000 -- best I could find on Tuesday). Just want the leverage if they win B12 and get a 1st round bye to be able to hedge moving forward. ....side note, how crazy is it going to be if the wide open B12 representative is say UCF or Iowa State!?
Ohio State: Win 0.2u (1 bet in June on the Buckeyes, a little less interested in them now after further review, but still think the defense will be outstanding).
Ole Miss: Win 0.14u (1 bet in June at +2500, couldn't pass up that price at the time). Kiffin game management is crazy enough risk/reward wise that I put it in case they make a run.
Notre Dame: Lose "only" 0.22u (1 bet at +3300).
Texas: Lose "only" 0.3u (1 bet at +900). Market on Texas has been all over the place; better prices available now. Time will tell, but Texas probably better last year with the D-Line losses and now the RB injuries / depth problem at that position. I'm cooling on the Longhorns, just like the Buckeyes. Relatively speaking of course. Both still excellent teams obviously.
yeah, seems like a real solid play the more I studied it. Satterfield not afraid to run up the points on lower tier teams over the years. And Towson should be better on offense, and looks like worse on defense to start the year with inexperience on that side of the ball. And Cinci D-line missing at least one projected starter (transfer DE OFY) and I can’t tell for sure if Corleone is cleared for physical activity only or if he can actually play.
All, I was able to bump this play some at Over 53.5 -109. Call it 0.86u overall for the record.
0
blowoutgm and D-Town,
Thanks guys, good luck to you both this season.
blowout,
yeah, seems like a real solid play the more I studied it. Satterfield not afraid to run up the points on lower tier teams over the years. And Towson should be better on offense, and looks like worse on defense to start the year with inexperience on that side of the ball. And Cinci D-line missing at least one projected starter (transfer DE OFY) and I can’t tell for sure if Corleone is cleared for physical activity only or if he can actually play.
All, I was able to bump this play some at Over 53.5 -109. Call it 0.86u overall for the record.
Bumped: Illinois State / Iowa Under 42.5 -110 by a half unit (now 1.5u play).
Added: Iowa wins by 1-13 points +360. Small play for a little extra action.
I think Iowa will try to shorten this game. When the DC’s pain meds wear off he’s going to want to get the fck out of there and reload on some meds. And now interim coach too. Iowa wins “closer than the experts think” in a lower scoring game and gets in & out of Dodge as quickly as possible. And not sure if both QBs will play; if they do both play that’s one more reason to like the Under IMO when neither one of them gets much rhythm. I think they’ll let McNamara lose the job on the field over the course of a few games.
0
Bumped: Illinois State / Iowa Under 42.5 -110 by a half unit (now 1.5u play).
Added: Iowa wins by 1-13 points +360. Small play for a little extra action.
I think Iowa will try to shorten this game. When the DC’s pain meds wear off he’s going to want to get the fck out of there and reload on some meds. And now interim coach too. Iowa wins “closer than the experts think” in a lower scoring game and gets in & out of Dodge as quickly as possible. And not sure if both QBs will play; if they do both play that’s one more reason to like the Under IMO when neither one of them gets much rhythm. I think they’ll let McNamara lose the job on the field over the course of a few games.
Added: North Alabama -2.5 -110 (0.2u) LIVE ........ I get the feeling that the SE Missouri State QB is not coming back with an AC joint injury to the same shoulder that ended his 2023 season early. Backup is struggling a bit.
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Added: North Alabama -2.5 -110 (0.2u) LIVE ........ I get the feeling that the SE Missouri State QB is not coming back with an AC joint injury to the same shoulder that ended his 2023 season early. Backup is struggling a bit.
There is a mythical matchups section on FD. Points scored by one team vs. points scored by another team. I took Oregon -13.5 over Washington. 0.2u just to try this out.
Oregon vs. Idaho and Washington vs. Weber State
0
Some FCS vs. FCS lines are up:
Locked in:
Villanova -9.5 -115 (0.9u)
Montana State -23.5 -115 (0.9u)
Missouri State +15.5 -115 (0.5u)
And also added:
There is a mythical matchups section on FD. Points scored by one team vs. points scored by another team. I took Oregon -13.5 over Washington. 0.2u just to try this out.
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Good luck on the Redbirds action!
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