Posted:
#1
There are many quality x's and o's cappers in covers land... much better than myself. Im a numbers guy.
I do believe that there is inherent value in knowing where the public money is, and where the books seem to be welcoming the heavy public action; or, seen another way, where the big money is going, offsetting the heavy public pounding of a certain side.
The following are some of the contrarian line movements Ive been watching for this opening week. There are a few others I will be keeping tabs on. I will deem these leans for now; but almost never (never say never) will I side with the public when the line moves against the current.
The % listed is the number of bets.
Wake @ Baylor: 87% on Wake (fave); Line has moved from -12.5 to -12.
Syr @ Northwestern: 73% on Northwstrn(fave); Line moved from -12 to -11.5
Memphis @ Miss.: 76% on Miss(fave) ; Line from -8 to -7.5
Miss St @ La Tech: 87% on Miss St (fave); Line from -8.5 to -7.5
Mich St @ Cal: 55% on Cal (fave); Line from -5.5 to -4 *
*usually 55% does not attract my attention, but the 1.5 point line movement (on less than a TD line to start with) certainly does.
As of now... Baylor and Michigan St. are leans; the other games I just dont know enough about to play them... yet.
Any X & O insights or other news on these games is appreciated.
I'll update any other peculiar line movements as we approach T minus 0.
GL all 
Lets make this a profitable season 
Lets make this a profitable season 0
That'd be research worthy of a Thesis for a PHD.
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