I want to learn as much as I can about betting on the NCAAF!
What are the key factors, stats, ... that you think are the most important in NCAAF betting
Am very interested in your answers!
Most important factor for me is this
Weight of team A's O- Line vs team B's D-line and vise versa
QB and Recievers vs D-Backs
Running back vs D-Line and Line Backers
Ofcousre this doesnt always work right away, As some of these idiot teams Under Acheive Perfect example was Wisconson Last Year,
Almost every matchup except at QB had them favored to destroy teams and they under acheived the first 5 games of the season then they painfully proved me right when I stopped betting them
at UNLV | W 41-21 | -- |
San Jose State | W 27-14 | -- |
Arizona State | W 20-19 | -- |
Austin Peay | W 70-3 | -- |
at Michigan State | L 24-34 | -- |
Minnesota | W 41-23 | -- |
Ohio State | W 31-18 | -- |
at Iowa | W 31-30 | -- |
at Purdue | W 34-13 | -- |
Indiana | W 83-20 | -- |
at Michigan | W 48-28 | -- |
Northwestern | W 70-23 | -- |
Look at what they did when they decided to use all the ability they had, this was hurtfull in the fact that I was right as they were the most dominating team MATCHUP wise and underperformed.
Most important factor for me is this
Weight of team A's O- Line vs team B's D-line and vise versa
QB and Recievers vs D-Backs
Running back vs D-Line and Line Backers
Ofcousre this doesnt always work right away, As some of these idiot teams Under Acheive Perfect example was Wisconson Last Year,
Almost every matchup except at QB had them favored to destroy teams and they under acheived the first 5 games of the season then they painfully proved me right when I stopped betting them
at UNLV | W 41-21 | -- |
San Jose State | W 27-14 | -- |
Arizona State | W 20-19 | -- |
Austin Peay | W 70-3 | -- |
at Michigan State | L 24-34 | -- |
Minnesota | W 41-23 | -- |
Ohio State | W 31-18 | -- |
at Iowa | W 31-30 | -- |
at Purdue | W 34-13 | -- |
Indiana | W 83-20 | -- |
at Michigan | W 48-28 | -- |
Northwestern | W 70-23 | -- |
Look at what they did when they decided to use all the ability they had, this was hurtfull in the fact that I was right as they were the most dominating team MATCHUP wise and underperformed.
Another angle I love using is predicting who will have a good Point spread record and who wont, I do this using a very easy but controversial method.
I go back and look at every college team the last 6 years
If any team has had a losing year against the spread 5 of 6 years I will keep an eye on that team and try and pick my spots betting them to cover more often than not.
I do the same with teams that have covered the spread more in 5 of 6 years and those teams I pick my spots against.
I use the same method for totals I will post it a little later on and reap the rage of those who cannot accept change.
Another factor is public favorites, NEW FOR YOU PEOPLE, THEY COVER MORE OFTEN THEN NOT.
The one that dont cover more often than not ar 7 point or less HOME FAVORITES, Yes, the home dog is overrated, so danm overrated, Road dogs of 4 to 7 points have been money, especially the big games.
Thursday night football, I tell you the only thing that saved me last season is I play more totals than sides, because FAvorites FEASTED on the underdog on ESPNs Thursday night football, I expect that to change this season but friday night football was dog city I expect that to change a little as well.
For me, its about not falling in love with a certain team/teams/confrences, that team that made you a ton of money last year will bleed you this year and vise versa.
Another angle I love using is predicting who will have a good Point spread record and who wont, I do this using a very easy but controversial method.
I go back and look at every college team the last 6 years
If any team has had a losing year against the spread 5 of 6 years I will keep an eye on that team and try and pick my spots betting them to cover more often than not.
I do the same with teams that have covered the spread more in 5 of 6 years and those teams I pick my spots against.
I use the same method for totals I will post it a little later on and reap the rage of those who cannot accept change.
Another factor is public favorites, NEW FOR YOU PEOPLE, THEY COVER MORE OFTEN THEN NOT.
The one that dont cover more often than not ar 7 point or less HOME FAVORITES, Yes, the home dog is overrated, so danm overrated, Road dogs of 4 to 7 points have been money, especially the big games.
Thursday night football, I tell you the only thing that saved me last season is I play more totals than sides, because FAvorites FEASTED on the underdog on ESPNs Thursday night football, I expect that to change this season but friday night football was dog city I expect that to change a little as well.
For me, its about not falling in love with a certain team/teams/confrences, that team that made you a ton of money last year will bleed you this year and vise versa.
Just remember you're gambling on 17-21 yr old kids.
Parlays are sucker bets, that's all I did when I first started and came out big at times, but in the long run......don't bother.
Steele/Athlon and Blue Ribbon....study study study.
Pay attention to off-season news w/coaches injuries and scandals (helllllllllo OSU)
Choose your games wisely....starting out go for 4-5 games a weekend.
Never bet on Oklahoma on the road and always take the over with Tulsa/Houston
Have fun and win -
Just remember you're gambling on 17-21 yr old kids.
Parlays are sucker bets, that's all I did when I first started and came out big at times, but in the long run......don't bother.
Steele/Athlon and Blue Ribbon....study study study.
Pay attention to off-season news w/coaches injuries and scandals (helllllllllo OSU)
Choose your games wisely....starting out go for 4-5 games a weekend.
Never bet on Oklahoma on the road and always take the over with Tulsa/Houston
Have fun and win -
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