UGA -6.5

UGA appears to be a very popular wager. Going to other sites, very few give Bama a chance. No way that terrible O line holds off the best front seven in yrs ,right...is the definite consensus.

@GamblinDAWG

 Your only hope was that Bama came in the favorite. 92 straight games a fav now getting 6.5 to a team that can’t beat Saban. See you guys in the playoffs!!

@Hodge205

Why would Bama come in as the favorite when they've looked like the clearly worse team at the worst possible time during the season? UGA far and away better on both the OL and DL, Bama's only chance is to hit a couple big plays early, otherwise they'll be completely worn down by the 4th Q. Could get ugly... I'd play it all the way to UGA -9.5; the spread is staying around a TD because the books are making money on Bama's reputation from year's past.

Is Robinson definitely out? Understand no good backups.

Pulled a muscle in the Auburn game. College coaches keep things under wrap and Saban wouldn't confirm anything in his Monday presser. Pulled muscles don't heal that quickly so even if he does play, he won't be 100%. Trey Sanders is the only scholarship RB that is healthy and he hasn't exactly been the picture of health this year. And statistically, Sanders isn't close to Robinson.

Thx. You thinking their offense thus could be rather one dimensional?

@fts1409

 I think it’s going to be heavily one dimensional.

Further, 11 sacks last two games.  Young looks to have a long night. See where total has dropped five pts. 

@TheBallDontLie

 Right. They have four common opponents.  Georgia beat them all by 24+. Alabama beat them by 2, 2, 7, and 28.  

I agree with you longhorn

Here is how I look at the game

First off Bama is off an awful performance but they escaped Auburn with a win. Love taking a quality team off a rare bad game

when u get into numbers, Georgia allows a ridiculous 6.6 pts per game and 79 yards rushing a game. 

bama also 80 yards rushing per game. I think this is very important bc Geoegia shouldn’t be able to run all over the Tide’s stout run D. Which should make the game close throughout and Bennett will actually have to make key throws on third and 7 etc 

Georgia D has not faced an offense like Bama. I am sure Saban is challenging his offensive line to step up this week after what the Auburn front did to them 

Bryce young 40TD 4INT and bama is good running the football too. Two great WR etc 

the difference here is it’s not like Georgia has better athletes then bama or are bigger than them etc 

factor in 80% of the bets are on uga at -6.5 and I feel bama at +6.5, +7 (which it might go to Saturday) is a tremendous bet

when do u get a team like bama as a touchdown underdog?

First game as an underdog in 6 years or whatever. I think people are just sick of Bama and Georgia has been impressive all year but these are even teams

the best thing that could have happened to bama was a close game last week

if they had beaten auburn 49-10 I wouldn’t feel as confident in them as I do now 

If Bama plays there “A” game they will win outright by DD

historically betting on powerhouse teams as underdogs is a winning formula 

Georgia is a machine this year no doubt but if the game is close late who do u trust more Bennett and Kirby or Young and Saban?

again the biggest factor IMO why bama is a great bet is the run defense which gives up 1 more yard per game then the vaunted Georgia D

Now Georgia can go out and run for 250 yards if they do they will win by 20 but based on the analytics these are fairly even teams and +6.5 +7 is a gift 

bama averages 60 yards per game more on offense and gives up only around 60 more yards per game then this great Georgia d overall 

@weathersharp

 Bryce sacked in the 2nd qtr and Bryce sacked in the 3rd.  Not sure if the OL 1st string was in for both sacks.

81% wagers at vegasinsider on UGA. Everyone I talk to sold on UGA winning. I am in Ga.  My gut telling me go w Saban and Young vs ks and Bennett. Further,UGA has not faced adversity all season. How will they respond if some shite hits the fan ? How could u not prefer Young in that scenario. Gotta make a critical difference in a game like this.  Even the Uber driver talking about Bamas bad OL on the right side....lol!

Talk about cherry picking some stats... let's look at more advanced analytics that actually tell the story a little better. Despite this vaunted Alabama offense that everyone is clamoring about, UGA actually has a higher yards per rush, yards per pass, yards per play, and offensive efficiency. Yet 99% of this forum is talking about Bama O vs UGA D. The Bama D will struggle to stop Stetson Bennett and the weapons of UGA. Especially the TEs who they won't have an answer for.

Bama is good at running the football? I guess you haven't kept track of Brian Robinson. You don't just fix an offensive line in 5 days; they've given up 35 sacks on the year to UGA's 8.

Bama rush defense is a mirage. Their pass defense ranks behind traditional powerhouses like UTEP and Troy and for at least half of their games, they get into big leads or shoot outs. Therefore causing teams to abandon the run.

Alabama has 23 passes of over 30yds, UGA has 21. But UGA averages 12 less pass attempts per game.

In terms of opponent yards per play, Alabama only played 1 top-25 defense in Tx A&M. They lost that game. The next best defense? Florida at #39... Bama only won by 2.

The best thing that could have happened was a close game? When does "tested" and "adversity" turn into "exposed". Was Alabama tested in 5 different games?

I'm showing 78% of bets and 83% of money on UGA so not a ton of discrepancy but it is a liability for the books. We've seen a 2.5 point move towards UGA, lots of folks now buying a half a point to get Bama +7. Books may be watching right now because they know if they cross 7, money will come pouring in on Bama. 

The key to this game to me is the Alabama running game, not Bryce Young. If they can't get anything going on the ground, the UGA D will have it's ears pinned back and have free reign to make defensive calls without fear of the running game. UGA has the edge at every position except QB, WR, and OLB. Saban is the GOAT but UGA has the better overall staff.

Gonna do a two team tease for the heck of it. Ala +13.5 and Iowa +18.  Perhaps Iowa's D can keep it reasonable in what has to be a significant let down spot for M. I was certainly wrong bout the Osu game.

Bull Dogs has a shut down defense and the Tides don't this year. 

Bama backers are delusional...they believe the past equals the present and Saban can't lose...they are about to find out that he can lose...Georgia just has a better team this season...My only concern is whether or not Kirby Smart has matured as a coach...If he can match wits and preparation with Saban, this game will be a blowout for Georgia...But, that's a big if....

All kirby has to do is just stay the HELL out of the way, just like their QB. 

...Bama commits alot o penalties...oline pretty shaky.....Ga early and often here, of course they will go for the jugular....

GL!!

Interesting stat: 3% of UGA drives end with zero or negative yards ranking 2nd in the country, Bama is at 11% ranking 64th

Betting against Bama, idk about that fam.  I'm either betting Bama +7 buy a half point or nothing.

Georgia hasn't beaten Bama since forever.  If they win, it will take everything they got in a tight one.

Dawgs crush Bama!!

This is the week where the favorites should beat the ATS.

If Bennett screws up, KS gonna get a ton of grief for not going with Daniels earlier on. Certainly more pressure on him and UGA here...imo.   How will he respond to any adversity??