Week 1 NCAAF.....

As always, these are current bettable lines.

Week 1 is always tough, unit sizes represent that.

GL all

1.  Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
2.  Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
3.  Akron +34 (1 unit)
4.  UCLA +3 (1 unit)
5.  USF +10 (2 units)
6.  ECU +21 (1.5 units)
7.  Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
8.  LSU +4 (2 units)
9.  GA +3.5 (2 units)

Sunday and Monday to come....

As always, up for discussion and comments.

GL

Even though week# 1 is usually chalk, i like alot of your dogs. Good luck this year. 

I disagree with a few of those, but I will single out baylor.  Nothing is more overrated right now than the "returning starters" mantra, and because of that everyone is leaving the TCU party.  Patterson has proven that his guys always fill in and dont miss a beat particularly at QB.  When Paschell had his mri everyone was on pins and needles because the truth is he is a very good QB and they are not sure after that.  The defense will be the same and completely confuse Griffen III like they did last year.

Meanwhile baylor has some losses that I dont think they can just patch up.  They lose Watkins and taylor both first round picks!!!!  Not only that but they suspend Gordon who was the deep threat for baylor.  So the way I see it is TCU wont miss much of a beat at all from last years team while baylor could be significantly worse that last years team.

1. Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
2. Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
3. Akron +34 (1 unit)
4. UCLA +3 (1.5 units)
5. USF +10 (2 units)
6. ECU +21 (1.5 units)
7. Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
8. LSU +4 (2 units)
9. GA +3.5 (2 units)

One change - UCLA goes up to 1.5 units.

Week 1 is always tough because of new players impact.  There is a wide variance on what an incoming player will do, and therefore a lot of interpretation and relying on second hand reports.

All I can tell you is that I had this game as a PKem, so at +4.5 in week 1 that is a 1 unit play, and if you caught it earlier at a higher line (which I did), it was a higher unit play.  But at the current line, it is worth a unit based on my line.

But I totally understand what you are saying in your writeup.

Nice looking card.  I agree with pretty much all of those except ECU and Syracuse.

Glad to see you on LSU, and Georgia. A couple of high profile matchups .... I can't wait

Best of luck

Against you on USF I think ND has an easy time with them.

On you with most of them. Like baylor ML myself. I'm not really into the whole returning starters mantra but game 1 of the season meaning soo much to a young team with a young player leading them spells trouble. Smart people have jumped the TCU ship for good reason and it's doubt, most people who don't know a damn thing are still gonna take TCU even though they have no idea what they are gonna get from that team in rivalry territory in the first game of the season. I think they come out motivated but at the same time I wouldn't be money on it. Gonna go small on baylor ML i think there value in a small play there as i had this as a pick basically as well.

Van, does your unit = the same amount of money for NCAAF as it does for soccer?

Easy now.    Van's new to this whole sports gaming thing.   Give the guy a little time and I'm sure he'll get the hang of it. 

BOL