Week 10 60-39 ATS

Tonight I pass but I want to share a few things from odds shark 

At home Toledo is 10-0 vs EMU last 10

last 9 in Toledo EMU is 1-8 ATS.  

Support for Eastern Michigan because the last 2 games in Toledo were won by less than 7 points.  Its very possible for Eastern Michigan tonight but knowing that the team that wins usually covers I will back off.

Toledo has been one of the elite teams in the conference so its difficult not to respect them. 

Ball St. seems a bit high at +19.5

Akron has sucked so bad and yet the data has Ball St only favored 2 times at Akron (Ball St covered both, but those lines were -10,-7)

Im on Toledo and OVER....

Got under in Akron/Ballst

Took ohio +7 

Parlayed it all for a degen special 

very nice best wishes 

@JudgeBaylor

I’m with you on UNC already. 

I was suggesting the over was worth taking as well. 

Wow great work 

Best of luck Brother 

@steponaduck

 Don’t you expect VT to give max effort to try abs save Fuente’s job?

Are you a BC fan with increased familiarity with the program? Just curious. 

Thanks Double 

Best wishes 

I have no real team as a favorite.  I was born near Ann Arbor so I am always interested to see what Michigan does.  I am not passionate about Michigan though, just wish them well.  I dislike some Notre Dame fans, but much respect for the team.  

I expect VT to give max effort every week. 

BC was away the last 2 games and 3 games ago played a good NC State team.  I think NC State is better than this Hokie team.  The line is the same.  This is the way books adjust lines.  It subtle but it works for them and its really difficult to uncover.  In these type of games I select its hard to go on on the field stats. As far as BC, its a bit difficult to look at the stats and discover their value that my data supports, because they have only scored 27 points in the last 3 games and are 0-4 in conference. 

My data supports this play and many other "bad" teams, yet here I am.

Best wishes this week 

Thursday:

Friday:

Boston College +3

=-=-=-=-=-=-

Saturday:

Louisiana Tech +13.5

North Carolina -2.5

Georgia Tech +9.5

Indiana +20

Missouri +38

Temple +15

Navy +20.5 

TCU +6.5

West Virginia +3

Maryland +10

Purdue +3

Duke +21.5 

Like several of those Spottie - think Sparty stubs their toe this week and maybe goes into a tailspin - Good Luck with your plays - always great stuff that's much appreciated!!

@spottie2935

 Hello Spottie2935. I’m a new guy here but been picking losers for quite some time. I came across your post yesterday and how well you explained you method to another and was intrigued. I have followed a few on here however have not had good luck probably my fault. This is my first post and I hope you don’t mind if I follow your picks. I wanted to ask you if you recommended placing wagers early or prefer to wait for game day? I have placed early wagers in the past however been burned by line movements on occasions. Thanks 

Well its time to get on some winners. 

Welcome to follow me. 

In most cases an early bid will have a light advantage.  Most games do not have late scratches in College so early lines are not going hinder your progress.  There is no exact science.  Since you asked I would say early but if your a few hours from open then you might wait.  See I can't answer this hehe. 

Getting burned happen it happens to me when I post a line and it moves.  buy more or stay put.

Thanks much 

Yea agree on Sparty 

Best wishes this week

@spottie2935

 Thanks  spottie2935. Do you have different units for each game or same unit each game?

@jimmyc33030

 same units

I mean I get the red bandana game but they have gotten smoked last 2 years in that game including 2019 to a bad Florida state as favorites.. they say it’s motivation but they have stunk in previous years .. they already had a red bandana jersey day in September.. so this is their second celebration.. for such high praise BCs coach has been a flat out joke .. they have no means of scoring .. not a game I’m betting but couldn’t back betting the worst team in the ACC vs fuentes … 

bc has scored a grand total of 40 points in ACC and they have faced a couple horrific defenses giving up north of 30.. they scored 6 and 13 vs them … 

@spottie2935

 Also the nc state team you are referring too… comparing them to Va tech… well nc state ran BC out of the building 33-7 and that’s only because they took there foot off the gas lol …

I expect after I have done all this work and post my plays early so one can get an advantage on  good line that my renders would actually take the time and read my threads and or maybe take a look back at my other threads to find out this information.  Not being rude, just what I expect of my readers.  We all have high expectations no?

@supermanbets

 I have no argument for what has taken place on the field from past games.  In this case, BC shows up on a system from a database.  I have had some bad games, but not too many either. This could be one.  I lose 40% of my plays.  

I am not trying to predict games from past data, I pretty much say this every week.  I trust in what I do and the plays I make based upon the efforts of what I have discovered.  All the teams are listed and I like them all the same.  There are many that have opposite opinions.  No problem, and good luck 

Best wishes on your action.

I may add LSU before game time. 

I should say past data from player stats. Past data from situations and lines and my ratings. 

All of this i use and disclosed this info in my  many posts.

some rumblings that Jurkovec could be coming back (and possibly tomorrow night)...not sure if a real possibility, but would certainly be a nice boost to that BC bet.