Week 10 official thread (including POY)

Navy -6’ 1H (-125) *POY* < 500

Army -13’ 1H (-110) < 330

Army -13’ 1H, Navy -6’ 1H (+231) < 150

Lean: Clemson -6’ 1H (-120) 

I’m EXTREMELY excited about these plays. BOLTA!

@JoseAlonso787

Stay hot Jose 

POY tailing

Good luck JA.  

Tailing the POY also, ty for posting and GL this weekend

@JoseAlonso787

 Alright brotha I just might tail you on your POY as Im struggling in CFB this year 

Lets get it 

Just seen the Army tt at 31…

@JoseAlonso787

 Brother, Bol.

The day is here. BOLTA! 

Army -6’ 1Q (-130) < 65

Oregon -7’ 1H (-110) < 220

@JoseAlonso787

Would you bet Army -14 for the same amount? I missed the boat on -13.5 and got stuck with a bad number. 

Feel any different with Daily out?

@JoseAlonso787

@JoseAlonso787

FYI, Stuckey from Action Network is on Rice +12:

The service academies don't usually fall victim to situational spots.

However, it's certainly possible Navy comes out a bit flat in front of an empty crowd in Rice Stadium the week after losing its first game of the season to Notre Dame, which all but ends its outside shot at a College Football Playoff berth.

I should first mention the quarterback news in this game since I'm taking a bit of a leap of faith, especially with Rice.

I'm assuming starting quarterback EJ Warner will return to the lineup this week after missing last week's loss to UConn with an injury. A true freshman got the start in his place, and the Owls offense was predictably lifeless.

After transferring in from Temple, Warner had started to play better in the new system before his minor injury.

That's actually true for the entire Rice team, which has trended in a positive direction following its bye week (sans last week, which you can essentially throw out the window without Warner) with a win over UTSA and a misleading final score loss to Tulane.

In that game against the Green Wave, which was tied in the fourth quarter, the Owls actually finished with more total yards but couldn't overcome a -5 turnover margin (0-5).

In those two contests, Warner threw for 618 combined yards, leading an offense that surprisingly has the third-highest passing rate in the country.

Speaking of turnovers, on the season, Rice has a -8 turnover margin and has scored on only 64% of its red zone trips (only Houston has a worse percentage), including just 11 touchdowns on 25 trips inside the 20-yard line.

Meanwhile, even after last week's disastrous result against Notre Dame, the Midshipmen rank in the top 10 nationally in red-zone scoring rate on both sides of the ball and still boast a +6 turnover margin.

There's no doubt that Rice has been quite unfortunate in a number of high-variance areas, while the opposite is true for Navy.

Like last week, the turnovers could also rear their ugly head again, especially if quarterback Blake Horvath's thumb injury is limiting in any way. In fact, Horvath also missed time last year with a thumb injury.

While he should play this week, it could certainly be an issue against a Rice defense that has already faced another service academy earlier this season and has faced a bevy of mobile quarterbacks.

There's also hope Rice can get its ground game going to help Warner out against a Navy defense that ranks 122nd in Rush Success Rate even with a strength of schedule that ranks 132nd in the country.

The pass defense numbers look very good, but keep in mind the Midshipmen also played a schedule filled with completely inept aerial attacks outside of Notre Dame and Memphis, which combined for 95 points.

I like backing bigger 2-6 underdogs that have shown signs of improvement.

This is really the Owls' last gasp at keeping their bowl hopes alive. Plus, this week, Rice might have some extra juice and new wrinkles under a new interim head coach after firing Mike Bloomgren earlier this week.

There's definitely a lot of uncertainty in this game with the coaching change and both quarterbacks dealing with injuries, but I couldn't pass up this line.

Projection: Rice +8.9

Pick: Rice +12 (Play to +10.5)

Army Qb has been ruled out!!!

@CSNURICH2004

 It’s fine. Not great, but fine

787 

@CalBear2009

Seems like you have a lot going on inside that brain of yours. Keep it simple. Navy