week 11

sorry boys - just emerged from rough weekend

A&M -1'

Wyoming +14'

Baylor +6

E Caro +6

Minny +7

Ga St +10'

Ohio +7'

Rutgers +7'

Troy +7

Air Force -1'

Tulane +3

leans / waiting

N Ill     Oreg St    Cuse    Mia, O    Texas    ULM    App St    B Coll ?    W Virg    Cal ??    Irish    Wazzu ??    Iowa St ??

Don't think any line movement matters much - back later .........

With ya on Rutgers and most likely Air Force

surprised you like UNI

there he is .......

always consider NI at least .... tough team / tough QB ....... that can RUN

      >> won 5/6 .....QB is getting hot (L2 50-84 - 880 - 10.5/att - 6/0)

              * meanwhile Ball St pass D falling apart (L3 allowed 81-106 /76% / 904 yds)

I'll probably pass here - BSU is tougher on the road, as is NI typically - value is probably with NI tho / line should be closer to P

@bookieassassin

 georgia tech ???????

Got my Aggies win total over hanging on for dear life, this ones been circled all season so happy to see them on your list this week good luck BA 

I’m looking to be talked out of betting big on Notre Dame -5.5. Weird year for Notre Dame and the books. Most years they are over rated but this year they are under rated. I don’t know why and I don’t really care long as I get a bet that cashes and Notre Dame has been good to me this year. They are playing Virginia who has an absolutely outstanding QB with gaudy numbers. Brennan Armstrong has amassed 3500 passing yards and thrown for 28 TDs in just 9 games. But he left the game two weeks ago with what he thought was broken ribs. Last week was a bye week and he says he is feeling better. Coach Mendnhall says he will play if he can. Of course he said that the guy throws for almost 400 yards a game. I don’t think he is playing or if he does he will be ineffectual. Hence my strong play. What does Bookie Assassin think?

LZ - 1st thing that would be bother me (some) - is that they have struggled in their only 2 true road games. Down 8 or so late in the 4th at VT ... Criminoles taking them to OT (won both by 3).

Virginia off a bye (Bronco does well) - and tough as hell at home .... winning 17/20 SU - covering 14 (12-2 run).

Match-up looks favorable tho - as that Cav D, esp run D is really bad - (8.4/rush - 6 TD for BYU ffs). Irish should run all day - keep Cav O off the field. Stay away, or in-game for me - maybe wait and see if QB plays, or how he looks?

       >> Irish D weakens / O gets stronger ..... Cav D doesn't even go on the field 2H (allow 6.5/rush - 7.4 3Q)............

Gladio - really like that one, worried I was gonna have to lay 3' +....... Aggie O should FINALLY! be able to move the ball / stay on schedule - Aggie D is playing awesome ...........

WINNERS - wassup buddy, how you feeling?...... naw that's Georgia STATE ..... covered 6/row and tough on the road.....lost by 10 at AUBURN (almost beat 'em).....by 4 at ULL. CCaro QB / heart of the team is out... beat GSU 51-0 last year, so spot IMO looks favorable. Don't love it - just nice value play........

     > if you meant you like Georgia Tech - stay away for me, maybe lean BC

I'll go small on -

Ohio / EM 2H over 31

just for grins - did a PR top 20, using : Vegas / Bill C / Sagarin / ESPN

    * counted Vegas 3X / Bill C twice

1 Georgia 100.0

2 Alabama 97.9

3 Ohio St 96.2

4 OU 89.8

5 Michigan 88.2

6 Texas A&M 87.8

7 Wisky 87.8

8 Penn St 86.7

9 N Dame 85.8

10 Cinn 85.4

11 Clemson 85.2

12 Pitt 85.1

13 Oregon 85.0

14 Auburn 84.8

15 Iowa St 84.6

16 Okie St 84.3

17 Ole Miss 84.2

18 Florida 84.1

19 Utah 83.6

20 Iowa 83.3

      * Baylor   Mich St   Ark   Ariz St    Tenn    Minny

@bookieassassin

Re:  just for grins - did a PR top 20, using : Vegas / Bill C / Sagarin / ESPN

    * counted Vegas 3X / Bill C twice

BA, you don't run your own #s!??  

Glad to see you emerge this week!  I'm finally able to focus a little more on college football the last couple weeks.  Makes a difference.... image that.

Hope you're doing well and good luck this week!    

@bookieassassin

 thanks for making the time to keep me yn your "loop" , nice nice and then some! cleared up geo tech.....agreed  no interest, neither! feeling good , your winners are surely helping, thank you, B,A.

adding a small / HUNCH play, juiced a bit

C Michigan -2

TD - gotta start over pretty much (this summer! ha) .... way too many changes past few years / don't have the energy to make weekly adjustments.....BOL this week ...........

Good man WINNERS ..........

adding

Wazzu +14

Ducks in @ Wash / @ Utah sammich ......Wazzu off a BYE (Zona St win previously) / Zona on deck

    $ Wazzu owns the Ducks, covering 9/10....5/row in Eugene

adding

Clemson / UCrap 1H over 29'

    *figure Clemson covers that alone / UConn scores it's a LOCK ha

added small

Toledo / BG 1H under 26

BGreen D actually pretty tough early ... only 3TD allowed all year in 1Q....figure Rockets take awhile to wake up here...

  >> BG 1H +6' / 1Q +3' not bad

@bookieassassin

 thank you for this outstanding "first half selection", B.A. !!!! I love this play ! am in already! again, thank you and may we win together! thx for the compliment ,also! re:clemson over 29.5 first half vs u. conn. I am extremely comfortable, knowing your great history of picking "first half winners", thank you B.A.

B.A 

Surprised to not see you on the Pokes, covered 5 in a row, D is legit + just TT on deck. Like them a lot

Any thoughts on So Car/Mizzou? My eyes tell me SC is getting better and MU isnt....Some might think letdown after the Florida win....but I dont.....

BA

Any thoughts on So Car/Mizzou? My eyes tell me SC is getting better and MU isnt....Some might think letdown after the Florida win....but I dont.....

BA

adding Pitt TT OVER

>> 39' now, but total is dropping ....false weather panic may cause it to drop further Only 'certainty' here is that Pitt moves the ball... If NC can't run, forced to throw, their pass protection is terrible and Pitt can bring heat .....

@bookieassassin

 where are you getting 39?  Thanks, and BOL

@bookieassassin

 thank you sir   i am now in!  same # team total, thank you and good luck!