week 11

SCAR 3 straight covers by 17,23,27. Vandy+ is your teaser play.

NTEX+ teams that score lots are the best dogs.

CSTL CAR +  last week they were hungover after playing 2 great conference teams. App played better last week but they are not having an elite season  CSTL for the bounce back.

Utah+  they have been favorites 10 times in a row before this game. 35-5 SU last 40 home games.  BYU lines have been a lot of dogs and as I look at it they have achieved a lot.   The fact is though they had low expectations and simple lines.  Thats not the case here.  BYU is the better team on paper but I am sure Utah wants to beat the best conference team this week.  Utes have the strong history to make the upset. Utah might have only scored 20 points the last 2 home games but defensively have only surrendered  an average of 12 pts a game this season when at home.

Liberty -  M. TEN ST is trash.  Lib is 2-9 last 11 but after a disgusting loss to KENESAW ST they should get back on track here.  LIB in their 7 games have lines totaling -140 average line per game -20. The books wanted them in regression and it happened so far.  Mid Ten was sizeable dogs to UTEP and KENESAW ST, please!

NAVY -

 after 5 straight covers the failed the last 2 weeks by a total of 50 points combined against their last 2 lines.  This type of misfortune causes an over reaction. S FLA not having a good season, only beating the teams they should.

Good stuff. Thanks for sharing Spottie 

I'm starting to lean CCU. When that line flipped to +1 it made CCU a running dog. I'm going to look at it a little more today. But I'm going to at least play them small. BOL this week.

GL this week Spottie 

@spottie2935

I totally agree with all but Navy!  Good luck Spottie!

@spottie2935

 Utah +  will be my last play on Saturday night , just waitting for better line. BOL this week 

thanks guys 

best wishes this week 

@River_fish

 well I would be shocked to lose one.  

@spottie2935

 Hi Spottie,

I AM LEANING COASTAL CAROLINA AS WELL...

RIGHT WHEN I WENT IN TO MAKE A 7 UNIT PLAY...

LINE BOUNCED FROM +1 TO + 1.5.... THOUGHTS?

OBVIOUSLY THE GAME CAN GO EITHER WAY...

BUT TO SEE IT LEANING IN THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION

RIGHT WHEN I WAS MAKING THE PLAY.. MADE ME PAUSE...LOL

@Fuse

I have no thoughts on half point line movements.  

I am better than average the last  2 weeks.  Ive been less than myself this season.  Still over .500.  My wallet is happy only because of a few isolated plays and In game wagers have been kind.  

14-8 ATS last week.  

Try making 22 wagers on favorites every week 

There are always a select few Special teams that get me, but there are only a few of those a season, the rest of the teams meander ATS.  

The variance and lack of consistency is gives me my money. 

@spottie2935

I appreciate your response... i have a no problem betting dawgs... ive seen the line move from CC -1 to now CC +2...

I will most likely be still making the play... so more than a rookie question than anything... just make sure i wasn't missing an injury report or something.

Wishing you success on your play(s) tonight!

Respectfully,

@CAPPERCOM

@DakotaOutlaw

Big Winner and thank you guys for stopping in..

@spottie2935

Good call sir.

@Boa33

Over due for me to give you a good one. 

Thank you for your insight Spottie, much appreciated 

@MidwestGator1

@spottie2935

HERE SPOTTY.. SPOTTY...SPOTTY...SPOTTY.. BOOM!

GREAT START TO A WEEKEND OF WINNERS.

HERE'S TO SWEEPING YOUR CARD...

!!!!!!

@allboutmoney

 Thank you for stopping in.