This late in the season, you can't bet without knowing the mindset of each team.......
Have their season goals already been met?
eg. already bowl eligible (BE) Can they still win their conference / division?
>> or have they already secured their spot?
OR - is their season 'over' - have they quit?
Don't ASSume a team wants to become BE - the COACHES do for sure (extra practices)- the PLAYERS? - not necessarily ... "let's get this S over with ffs"
leans
Tulane
Tenn
NAVY
UNLV
TCU
UTSA
Kan St
SMU?
UCF
UTAH
CCaro
Rutgers?
Cuse?
Zona ??
N Ill
Ohio
EMich
Mizzou?
Wyoming
Probably will have few, if any early plays - looks like a good time to wait a bit - a point or two shouldn't matter as much as usual ... unless a really low scoring game ..............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This late in the season, you can't bet without knowing the mindset of each team.......
Have their season goals already been met?
eg. already bowl eligible (BE) Can they still win their conference / division?
>> or have they already secured their spot?
OR - is their season 'over' - have they quit?
Don't ASSume a team wants to become BE - the COACHES do for sure (extra practices)- the PLAYERS? - not necessarily ... "let's get this S over with ffs"
leans
Tulane
Tenn
NAVY
UNLV
TCU
UTSA
Kan St
SMU?
UCF
UTAH
CCaro
Rutgers?
Cuse?
Zona ??
N Ill
Ohio
EMich
Mizzou?
Wyoming
Probably will have few, if any early plays - looks like a good time to wait a bit - a point or two shouldn't matter as much as usual ... unless a really low scoring game ..............
man that was unbelievable ha...... SO glad I didn't take those dogs 1H..... did take 2H over, didn't even post it - didn't trust them to move it vs that rugged Kansas D ha.... BOL this week ......
NAVY +4
SMU +12'
Rutgers +17
Wyoming +7
Cuse +12'
Wyoming juiced a bit .......the absolute worse HC preparing his team off a SU loss? James Franklin, covered SIX of TWENTY -EIGHT ha.... Cuse maybe dicey (NCSU tough at home, but in WF/Caro sammich) - 'must win' for Cuse, with Pitt on deck .....Navy in LHG, off bye, owns EC (7-1/6-2)... Ponies not sure off, they might win or get killed - a HUNCH small .....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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man that was unbelievable ha...... SO glad I didn't take those dogs 1H..... did take 2H over, didn't even post it - didn't trust them to move it vs that rugged Kansas D ha.... BOL this week ......
NAVY +4
SMU +12'
Rutgers +17
Wyoming +7
Cuse +12'
Wyoming juiced a bit .......the absolute worse HC preparing his team off a SU loss? James Franklin, covered SIX of TWENTY -EIGHT ha.... Cuse maybe dicey (NCSU tough at home, but in WF/Caro sammich) - 'must win' for Cuse, with Pitt on deck .....Navy in LHG, off bye, owns EC (7-1/6-2)... Ponies not sure off, they might win or get killed - a HUNCH small .....
Ha just posted Nebraska grabbed +11 today but yeah gotta take double D's on huskers ... just amazing how close they are to being undefeated .. 7 losses and almost all seemed to have just one or two super bonehead plays that gave it away .. shame ..
Thinking Kansas state but man thought we'd be getting a couple points .. funny feeling there's a bit of scoring in this one, hit KST/WV total last week but man tough to trust totals getting there, tough to get two offenses to show up in the same game .. makes it very tough to get there .. unless its samford and florida then no problem lololz w t heck like 10 5 stars and 20 4 stars on the roster .. yikes ..
Stanford is in such a bad place but funny feeling Cal might have found a way to be worse .. the 3ish line doesn't feel like free money backin cal lol ..
Is it not the same story for SMU / Cincy from the past few years where the offense is totally ineffective? .. really wanted SMU undefeated and hit Cincy at like -7 .. SMU run D is def better this year and Cincy just not a sure thing moving the ball if they struggle at all running .. almost think this one goes wayyy under ..
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Ha just posted Nebraska grabbed +11 today but yeah gotta take double D's on huskers ... just amazing how close they are to being undefeated .. 7 losses and almost all seemed to have just one or two super bonehead plays that gave it away .. shame ..
Thinking Kansas state but man thought we'd be getting a couple points .. funny feeling there's a bit of scoring in this one, hit KST/WV total last week but man tough to trust totals getting there, tough to get two offenses to show up in the same game .. makes it very tough to get there .. unless its samford and florida then no problem lololz w t heck like 10 5 stars and 20 4 stars on the roster .. yikes ..
Stanford is in such a bad place but funny feeling Cal might have found a way to be worse .. the 3ish line doesn't feel like free money backin cal lol ..
Is it not the same story for SMU / Cincy from the past few years where the offense is totally ineffective? .. really wanted SMU undefeated and hit Cincy at like -7 .. SMU run D is def better this year and Cincy just not a sure thing moving the ball if they struggle at all running .. almost think this one goes wayyy under ..
MichSt +19......Don't think they can keep it close at all in Columbus? That looks very tempting to me at first glance. I love SMU +12. Their offense can keep it close.
NTx -9.5 is definitely one I am looking into specifically to fade FIU. MTSU was my easiest play of last weekend.
I am kinda liking the Beavers in Corvallis for Pac12 "After Dark"
BOL as always, love seeing this thread to start my week.
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MichSt +19......Don't think they can keep it close at all in Columbus? That looks very tempting to me at first glance. I love SMU +12. Their offense can keep it close.
NTx -9.5 is definitely one I am looking into specifically to fade FIU. MTSU was my easiest play of last weekend.
I am kinda liking the Beavers in Corvallis for Pac12 "After Dark"
BOL as always, love seeing this thread to start my week.
BA, I'll give you and your readers some Prime quality Covers "inside info" about UB...apparently one of the players got into a physical altercation with the coach. Person that told me would know, but it is still gossip.
Still. first year coach, no head coaching experience at any level, maybe in over his head, his act is probably wearing thin for some UB players who are Leiepold guys. Maybe they cirlce the wagon here with a "chance" at bowl eligibility but I think this is a good spot to bet NIU on the Alt Line. NIU has a lot to play for with Toledo on their heels.
Good luck the rest of this year and bowls...something tells me this might be a good bowl season...
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BA, I'll give you and your readers some Prime quality Covers "inside info" about UB...apparently one of the players got into a physical altercation with the coach. Person that told me would know, but it is still gossip.
Still. first year coach, no head coaching experience at any level, maybe in over his head, his act is probably wearing thin for some UB players who are Leiepold guys. Maybe they cirlce the wagon here with a "chance" at bowl eligibility but I think this is a good spot to bet NIU on the Alt Line. NIU has a lot to play for with Toledo on their heels.
Good luck the rest of this year and bowls...something tells me this might be a good bowl season...
I’m with Train betting on Minny, or more accurately fading a terrible Indiana team. Indiana is 0-7 in Big Ten play losing by an average of 18 points. That’s what I call fade material.
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I’m with Train betting on Minny, or more accurately fading a terrible Indiana team. Indiana is 0-7 in Big Ten play losing by an average of 18 points. That’s what I call fade material.
Minny - LZ I thought you would know better ......Train I can understand ....................................
In general - avoid betting against a home dog, in their LHG (last home game) .... especially if playing a team off a ROUGH loss .... with WISKY on deck. Plus - oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter, as this is already factored into the line. Probably should be 8'+ (opened at 5).
If you scratched your balls/drooling.....and watched it climb above 7 - THEN made a large play > we'll have to stage a drunken intervention perhaps......
That said - sure it might work.... as Indy is really bad, and Minny has played great on the road. Just a risky SPOT to bet into. I would make a small play if at 7 or less.....or a ++ odds / pleaser type play at 9' / 13' etc....
NTX ? - really improved, and playing hard to get BE it appears. (4-6 with FIU > UTSA on deck). So this one a MW (must win).
BUUUUT .....FIU in their LHG, and HC Davis is now gone. Does this make it a slam dunk?
>> maybe - but unless you have FIU inside info (players love or hate his guts) .... maybe best to avoid, or play 2H/in-game .....especially as line climbs at 10 or above.........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Minny - LZ I thought you would know better ......Train I can understand ....................................
In general - avoid betting against a home dog, in their LHG (last home game) .... especially if playing a team off a ROUGH loss .... with WISKY on deck. Plus - oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter, as this is already factored into the line. Probably should be 8'+ (opened at 5).
If you scratched your balls/drooling.....and watched it climb above 7 - THEN made a large play > we'll have to stage a drunken intervention perhaps......
That said - sure it might work.... as Indy is really bad, and Minny has played great on the road. Just a risky SPOT to bet into. I would make a small play if at 7 or less.....or a ++ odds / pleaser type play at 9' / 13' etc....
NTX ? - really improved, and playing hard to get BE it appears. (4-6 with FIU > UTSA on deck). So this one a MW (must win).
BUUUUT .....FIU in their LHG, and HC Davis is now gone. Does this make it a slam dunk?
>> maybe - but unless you have FIU inside info (players love or hate his guts) .... maybe best to avoid, or play 2H/in-game .....especially as line climbs at 10 or above.........
Looks like Davis (might) coach their last 2 games ...... ?
If so I wouldn't play NTX, unless really small or maybe 2H.
Turns out - many Florida junior highs had better equipment than FIU ha.... Donated shoulder pads, old uni's .... no travel budget for recruiting, etc.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/fiu-head-coach-butch-davis-will-not-return-to-panthers-next-year
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Looks like Davis (might) coach their last 2 games ...... ?
If so I wouldn't play NTX, unless really small or maybe 2H.
Turns out - many Florida junior highs had better equipment than FIU ha.... Donated shoulder pads, old uni's .... no travel budget for recruiting, etc.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/fiu-head-coach-butch-davis-will-not-return-to-panthers-next-year
Minny - LZ I thought you would know better ......Train I can understand .................................... In general - avoid betting against a home dog, in their LHG (last home game) .... especially if playing a team off a ROUGH loss .... with WISKY on deck. Plus - oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter, as this is already factored into the line. Probably should be 8'+ (opened at 5). If you scratched your balls/drooling.....and watched it climb above 7 - THEN made a large play > we'll have to stage a drunken intervention perhaps...... That said - sure it might work.... as Indy is really bad, and Minny has played great on the road. Just a risky SPOT to bet into. I would make a small play if at 7 or less.....or a ++ odds / pleaser type play at 9' / 13' etc.... NTX ? - really improved, and playing hard to get BE it appears. (4-6 with FIU > UTSA on deck). So this one a MW (must win). BUUUUT .....FIU in their LHG, and HC Davis is now gone. Does this make it a slam dunk? >> maybe - but unless you have FIU inside info (players love or hate his guts) .... maybe best to avoid, or play 2H/in-game .....especially as line climbs at 10 or above.........
Touche
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
Minny - LZ I thought you would know better ......Train I can understand .................................... In general - avoid betting against a home dog, in their LHG (last home game) .... especially if playing a team off a ROUGH loss .... with WISKY on deck. Plus - oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter, as this is already factored into the line. Probably should be 8'+ (opened at 5). If you scratched your balls/drooling.....and watched it climb above 7 - THEN made a large play > we'll have to stage a drunken intervention perhaps...... That said - sure it might work.... as Indy is really bad, and Minny has played great on the road. Just a risky SPOT to bet into. I would make a small play if at 7 or less.....or a ++ odds / pleaser type play at 9' / 13' etc.... NTX ? - really improved, and playing hard to get BE it appears. (4-6 with FIU > UTSA on deck). So this one a MW (must win). BUUUUT .....FIU in their LHG, and HC Davis is now gone. Does this make it a slam dunk? >> maybe - but unless you have FIU inside info (players love or hate his guts) .... maybe best to avoid, or play 2H/in-game .....especially as line climbs at 10 or above.........
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