week 12

warned you fukkers about coming into my yard ...........

ha wassup boys .............

good stuff HH, agree ............

Iowa St as short dog?

     >> raw number is around 5 - line opened at 6' (as high as 8' some spots) then fine tuned by betting ....dropping it to 3'/4. Looks like BO and Bookmaker have the lowest #. If you like OU, I would wait and see if you can get 3.

The answer to your question of ---- dayum the Sooners only 1/2 points better.....really?

  >> because idiots like *me* keep thinking they return to 2020 form - reach their huge potential.....plus the Sooners are beatable for sure.

Problem with playing the Sooners here is - any hope of a play-off spot is shot to hell - NEVER play a 'burst bubble' team .... Cyclones have nothing to lose, THIS is their season really. I would expect them to stay close or win, but ain't gonna tough it ......

like your thinking assassin I’ll look into these games and other thanks 

warning - homer pick ha

E Michigan +6

WMU the better team no doubt - but what are they playing for here? A really good / talented team that beat Pitt on the ROAD ... could EMU do that? hell naw

Truth is,  they got no guts - majority of their games they don't even get off the bus. EM has plenty, in their LHG here, off a home loss - -playing for bowl eligibility. True they have 6 wins, but HC knows that is likely not enough. Technically a better road team - but they should fight to the end here, keep this one tight, or win it.

@bookieassassin

 Appreciate the insight on the FIU situation.  I will take a closer look at this one and do some digging on Davis before I decide.  I just wonder if playing at home for some of these bottom feeder teams even matters?  It's not like they get some kind of advantage with 15,000 people in the stands.  I wonder if they are just ready for the season to be over?  Anyways, always love to read your threads, you make me think about things I wouldn't have thought about before.  Can't speak for everybody, but you definitely make me better at this "hobby." lol   

We should be asking which team couldn't have beat the sooners this year and who did they even play before baylor / best win ULL, Nebraska (3-7) ? .. the team that lost to kansas? .. kansas? .. .. obvi teams have changed KU better than when duking it out with SDSU ... (Dakota FCS lol) .. Think Neb actually good .. But final 3 games are likely the best 3 opponents on the season 0-1 with maybe the easiest of the 3 .. 

@JustinP1477

 more like 1500 people in the stands is my guess. crap team that has quit, fired coach, vs North Texas? No one will be there, not even their Mamas.

adding small

Ohio +4' 1H

just hunch they start strong / stay in this one for awhile

Winners - don't do it man ha, 1H is tough late in the year

@bookieassassin

 i fully agree with the difficuly t this time of year , first halfs! I shall pass and thx great advice! you are the "master" of good timing! thank you  B.A. 

@bookieassassin

 thank you B.A.  all in with you here , you "homer". makes my kind of sense, too! let's win this

gonna play these 2 tonite, at the half / in-game ......

BUT - just for the helluva it adding SMALL

Buffalo +1/2 1H

All the pressure is on NI here - win? > they're in MAC title game .....a 'must win' for Buffalo at 4-6.  Really a slam dunk NI play - but they do have a HORRIFIC D, and love to play really close games. But they have a strong will to win, Buffs really do not, who (most likely) are ready for the season to end - rather than EXTEND it and play in the WEEDEATER BOWL ffs

NI is a slow starter / really strong finisher (great 4Q team) - Buffalo a really weak finisher ..... so I'll play NI at the half, if set up as I planned.

Need to do some work on the other game.....leaning CM .........

$$   shoulda played EM Winners ha - you know Imma EM savant (90%+)

Classic MAC toss up.  Who wants it more?  I’ll watch 1H then wager.   GL!

UB has almost no chance at a bowl.  Coaches know it.  Not sure about the players. They'd need to win their 2 games and have a lot of upsets.  They could win the first half if they get decent QB play.

@bookieassassin

 B.A. 90 % is perfect enough!!! thamk you again SIR!!! 

didn't watch 1H - so small only

NIU -2' 2H

   >> planned on going large / here will go (smaller) than 1H play - so I can keep some $ either way

@bookieassassin

 got on it after your above post -2.5-115 not largely ! you are something else! EXCELLENT! thank you B.A.

good man Winners ..............

yep hate making / recommending a play if not watching ................

 $$    great 'indicators' .... if a team has come to play

1) 'SWARMING' to the ball on D * on O too - guys standing around, or 'looking for more work' ?

2) Play in the trenches ..... OL getting push? * DL getting penetration / pressure without blitzing?

3) Body language - sidelines involved?.....or everybody sittin' on their azz?

4) QB play etc. etc

@bookieassassin 

 Wazuuuup BA GL this week yea

MAC - all the best buddy - where have you been................

Mrs. Linquist wassup......... could you handle THAT Thorpe ?

@bookieassassin

 thank you very much B.A. studying your post and I thought what you were really feeling! SIR, you are SPECIAL ! thank you!   re: post #41

@bookieassassin

 absolutely won't touch it  re :post #32  ! thank you I trust your advice, appreciably! thank you

SMALL hunch play

Duke 2H TT over 7'

* that FG stuff is killing me - but Louisville not big on D 2H allowing 2.9 rushing 1H / 4.8 2H

adding 6' pt tease

WF +11 / Iowa St +10

adding

Army -21 1H

Cal -1'

BColl -1'

    * all small / slightly juiced ....Army at BM (23' other spots)

leans    Zona    UCF    Mizzou    TX 1H    FAU    S Caro    MTS

BA- Any opinion on either Michigan -14.5 or ND -17.5?