Week 13 - Hammering one play early (waiting till end of week for others)

Cowboys at the open! Max Play ($1100)

Sooners lost to Baylor by 13 

Cowboys controlled Baylor and won by 10

Only slight leans on early lines are Ole Miss due to their improved defense and balanced attack....but could be swayed to take Miss St. (Leach tends to make bad decisions though)....Kiffin is dialed in

Lean Michigan with their secondary and home crowd being amped up....but would not hesitate to go the other way in -game hard if it looks like Buckeyes are swiss cheesing Wolverine defense....its probably how I am going to play it. 

No Max play on Cowboys....it opened -3.....just going 2 U for now 

Ole Miss +2  1 U

Boston C +5 1 U

Notre Dame -16.5 2 U

Ball State -6  2 U

Thats it for now....watching Cowboys line

Kentucky +2  1 U

Pittsburgh -11  1 U

Watching Buckeyes line as well....it dips below 7, I'm a buyer...would like 6 ideally

Notre Dame is going to stomp Stanford, because they can and because they are doing their best to get CFP consideration, since they have no Conference C Game.  Question - will McKee be back as QB for Stanford...That could make a difference in the potential Irish cover...GL 

@LonghornHoosier

 I did not see McKee in any game. ND has faced some solid QBs to carve out the run they are on. I agree, they see a backdoor here if the Buckeyes stomp Michigan !

They certainly have put up defence style points and now the offense is kicking in so I don't think it matters what Stanford can put out there as they are not playing for much motivation with no bowl available with their record and facing an Irish juggernaut

GL this week LH

Bowl pressure:

SJST  5-6  home +7.5

S.Alabama 5-6 home +15

TCU  5-6  away +15

FSU and Florida !   -2.5 Florida at home....should be a humdinger....strong lean to swamp homefield and SEC team

Maryland at Rutgers ...both 5-6 

North Texas home  +10.5

Charlotte at Old Dom. both 5-6 ....home team is -10 

Troy 5-6 at Georgia St +6.5 

Tulsa 5-6 at SMU  +6.5

MTU at FAU ...both 5-6 ...home fave by -3.5

LSU home 5-6 vs TEXAM  +6.5

WVU 5-6 at Kansas   -15.5 

Memphis 5-6 at home -5.5

Cal and USC both 4-6 with a chance to win 2 in a row and get a bowl....both play each other next week

Gonna play some of these after some research and watching lines all week

Ball State -6  2 U  

Re - investing.... San Diego St . ML 1U

....also IOWA 1U   Even ...meaningless game for Nebraska and no Martinez who was the most impressive I have seen him play...last week

Also....TEASER 7 PT:  KEY > San Diego St. +9.5 with Memphis +1.5 with Florida +4.5 with:

LSU +13.5 and  S.Carolina +18.5 and Tulsa +13.5 and UNC-Charlotte +17 and N. Texas +17.5 and Rutgers +8.5 and Troy +13.5 and TCU +21.5 and San Jose St. +14.5 and finally..... Michigan +15.5 (2 U) and Ole Miss +8.5 (2U)

VEGAS is laying strange lines...... case in point.....OLE MISS

San Diego St. tomorrow....they should be favourite at home vs a swiss cheese defense in Boise

Ole Miss +2  1 U  

Boston C +5 1 U

Notre Dame -16.5 2 U

Ball State -6  2 U  

Kentucky +2  1 U

Pittsburgh -11  1 U

San Diego St . ML 1U

 IOWA  ML 1U 

Got all those Teasers hanging as well

BYU  -6.5  USC

USC has not come within less than 7 points of anybody all year long.

They have lost big in every dog game they played.

They don't care about a bowl game.  

Boise Swiss cheese defense ?

@1969USC

 Like it !

@green33

 To be fair, ya, they have improved from earlier in the year, but look what happens when they play a team that can run and their defense is on the field for a long time.

Now that I look at them a little closer, this is gonna be a good game and would not shock me if its close. I do not like Boise's run defense. Its all about matchups, not the big picture of their record or whole season

Watching Boise game.....setting up run with pass

Aztecs defense is starting to turn the screws....game is swinging to Aztecs

@Last2thirst

 That didn't last long.... 13 - 3 Boise. Time for some in-game betting

Aztecs are finding the holes in the Swiss Cheese Boise defense..... 27 - 16 ...creaming rising to the top in the second half

Not gonna....this Boise/SDST was the game I was nervous about the most

TEASER 7 PT:  KEY > San Diego St. +9.5  with Memphis +1.5 with Florida +4.5 with: > got 15+ Units as Teasers paying out 3 to 1 per successful so I feel a lot better now

Ole Miss +2  1 U  

Boston C +5 1 U

Notre Dame -16.5 2 U

Ball State -6  2 U  

Kentucky +2  1 U

Pittsburgh -11  1 U

San Diego St . ML 1U  

 IOWA  ML 1U 

GL Last2Thirst 

Ohio St will score 50+

QB changed did the trick. Lucas Johnson sucked big time. Brookshire got his job back and aimed to keep it. 

Seems you like swiss cheese a lot. LOL.

Final Teasers:

KEY > KENTUCKY +10  with PURDUE -8 with BUCKEYES EVEN with:

1. Bama -13

2. Tulane +13.5

3. Florida St. +10

4. Illinois E

5. FAU +3.5

6. Sooners +11.5

7. Nevada +3.5

8. BYU E

Forgot to post 30 min. ago...

@HappyKane

 Prefer Gruyere and Grano Pandano Parmesan TBH ....HAHA

So glad I stayed away from the Buckeyes (spread).....early on, Michigan is laser focused, Ohio St. is not!

Correction: BUCKEYES OVERWHELMING OFFENSIVE LINE GOING TO WORK ON THE WOLVERINES....I see a gameplan now that DAY has carved up.....used the run now and O-line to beat the Wolverines and wear the dee/take the crowd out and then use PLAY ACTION in the second half to win by a lot

Could happen with what I am now seeing...

Well, there ya go Jim Harbaugh and bye bye Ohio St as a Top 4 team....unless they win the Big 10 or do they even get the chance to play now? Placing them 5th best despite how impressive they have been but it goes to show what happens when a complete team with offense and defense faces a juggernaut offensive team mostly and that is the Buckeyes....they were exposed!

KEY > KENTUCKY +10  with PURDUE -8 with BUCKEYES EVEN with:  ....shit, I hade Michigan +14 and chanced it (-8 U on those teasers)