week 13

On Northern Illinois tonight but completley agree with Ball State. Home team playing for a bowl, feed me that. 

BA great stuff as always my man .. 

Was hoping you might help me out on a hedge spot .. 

I got Pitt and NC State conf futures and trying to game out the hedge now incase Clem and Wake get there so wondering what you think the books might be offering for a possible Pitt matchup with either Wake or Clem .. I'd think slimmest lines we will see is around +3 or +3.5 so +130/140ish on the ML .. could see it more if Pitt romps and Others are dog fightin this week but not a full TD .. one internet model guy i use as a reference has Wake and Clem a 3.5 pt fav  .. can't imagine bookies would have the guts to make either team as even a pick'em unless Pitt has a big injury but idk .. future spread/lines guessing game is not my for-tay .. 

Anyway if you have the time would much appreciate hearing what you think .. 

Thanks bud good luck rest of the way!

Still like west mich at -6?

Still like west mich at -6?

Every time I read Bookie Assassins thread it reminds how much of how much I have to learn about situational betting. The number cruncher guys like Phil Steele and Brad Powers of Powers Picks newsletter have great analysis but they leave out the situational angles that BA has figured out. Anyway  and keep it up.

@bookieassassin

Whats up ba.....whats your opinion on the egg bowl Thanksgiving night? 

MJ - not much really .....just for action gonna do a 1H / 2H combo

     >> actually makes some sense - Ole Miss a fast starter / slow finisher ... Miss St the opposite

The PIRATE has always used the 1H as a 'feeling out' process - meaning he calls plays to see how the D will adjust ...... setting up for 2H when he likes to attack. Their D REALLY tightens up 2H as well (no coincidence)

so adding SMALL

Ole Miss 1H +1/2

$ looking to play Miss St 2H / if 1H is high scoring - 2H UNDER will be a strong lean

yeah MOKU- they're gonna beat the crap outta 'em ..............

actually thought that / MAC teams seldom get off the bus if title game is locked in

@bookieassassin

 WINNER!!!!! W MICH  post #34

added

Nebraska ML

Rutgers +2

Oregon St +7

@bookieassassin

 thank you ! Happy Holiday! B.A.

Good Luck BA - appreciate your insights - have a great Thanksgiving!!!

Happt Turkey Day brother! I appreciate all the time and knowledge you share. Tough to find people with a passion for college football like you have.

@bookieassassin

Like those added plays.... maybe minus Nebraska, but the line is telling us something there.    Taking the Under.  The Iowa DC and another defensive coach are good family friends from over the years w/ Dad in the coaching profession; they'll punt and play defense back & forth all day is my opinion. And the Nebraska defense will match up pretty well here.  16-13 or 19-16 type game.

I'm on Oregon State as well with a lookahead line from last week (+13 is very nice).  Look like a Live Dog as well with bubble burst for Oregon and OSU mindset all week is still have a shot at the P12 North, not to mention rivalry game.  May not be alive for P12 north by kickoff with Apple Cup on Friday, but the preparation all week is the main thing there.  And even if WSU wins, OSU will then be playing to keep rival Oregon out of the P12 title game.   Very motivated no matter what IMO.

And I would have played Rutgers, but already on them indirectly with a pending Maryland RSW total Under 6.  I think Rutgers is the hungrier team here for the bowl bid and at home on SR day.

And appreciate the Egg Bowl thoughts.  Since I'm on Ole Miss small for the whole game, may have to hedge/middle if they get up 1st half as you noted.  For some reason my gut feel is that this might be a last hurrah type game for both Corral and Kiffen and Ole Miss will play well to send them out as winners.  Not sure how much Kiffen is really listening for job interviews, but I suspect he is with some of these openings at particular schools.

Good luck this week!  Thanks as always, and have a Great Thanksgiving!  

Any opinion on penn st

Followed ya on ole miss 1st half. Thanks BA!

still rolling with state in the 2nd?

passing on that 2H boys - in-game maybe

Rain ... plus narrow MARGIN confuses things IMO

HAPPY THANKSGIVING !

And for my annual edict ..............

For roughly 350 years - MEN ruled Turkey Day > eat too much, drink WAY too much, fart and watch football until you pass out on the couch.

    >> That's the way it's supposed to be - don't stray from this time honored greatness - no shopping, no cooking, esp. no cleaning up ffs !

Tell 'em Winners ha ...............  

@bookieassassin

 YES SIR,B.A.!!! EXACLY the way it was,has been and should always and only ever be, THANKGIVING!!POST #43  , HAPPY THANKSGIVING!!!  TRULY a perfect THANKSGIVING DAY especially with winners provided by  BOOLIEASSASSIN, as usual! thank you my friend and you are greatly appreciated.

@lordzud

 ABSOLUTELY!!!

@lordzud 

BA always a great angle a good in-depth read the 

BA, what's your opinion on Wash St / Wash game?