week 2

@bookieassassin

 With betting legal now... let's dust off the ole pda and get back to work. Hope to be around all season 

@bookieassassin

 WKU and Tenn on my list for sure.. Iowa State at -3 would for sure be a play.. no clue why it's going the other way

Cuse looks solid, if I can get 3- Rutgers rolled up 60 pts on 365 yards of O.. won TO battle 5-0 .. now road chalk against bowl Cuse? 

Neb under valued a bit too.. people still think OMG HOW DID THEY LOSE TO ILLINOIS.. this isn't Buffalo of old.. under 2 TDs.. 

I also don't know what to do with USC  (38-10 I could easily see) and Cal

adding

Washington / Michigan 1H UNDER 24

SNF - Staying away from THE CUSE this week I think - agree Buffalo has lost too much probably. USC is tempting, think I'll stay away - not ready to pronounce Shaw dead just yet ha / Trojans enjoy playing down to opponents level it seems. ... and can't be trusted - if I had your $$ I might risk it ...............

TRAIN - betting on EMich - esp. as a road dog - is like air travel. Really safe, but when it turns ugly the horror stays with you..... Sure, occasionally they get destroyed if the bully shows up... and they might here.

BUT - since 2015-16 .... looking at current coaches. They are THE top team to bet overall (36-22 ATS) . THE best team on the road at 24-6. AND 10 points or so away from 21-0 as a road dog (18-3 / #1). AND they've won 2-3X SU vs B10.

Wisky typically not great laying 20+, and has not bounced back well as of late off a SU loss - no covers last 6 or so. But yeah match-up is potentially UGLY, so small spot play only. I just can kinda see them limping into the bye off a TOUGH loss, happy with a W - Irish next.......

BRIDGE - fine work thanks and BOL .............

Aune is still at NTX (Bean at KU). New QB is the great Jace Ruder (N Caro transfer). He was a last minute choice over Aune to start - then they go 12-26 / 182 / 1-2 vs that ferocious Demon D.....

      >> with you on that NTX early thought ... betcha it's close for awhile, then Ponies murder them 2H. Bennett is the new DC at NTX - he should have a plan that works for awhile. 5:30p kick, still hot as hell.... don't see how that Lean Green D holds up. If Ponies are up - recall they have a great Fr QB that needs reps. I've got that one marked for a huge 2H play - if set up.

adding

Cal +7 1H 

LH  -  I think Cal keeps it ugly for awhile in the HEAT (2:30p kick holy crap) Frogs take over 2H . TCU / Patterson takes great pride in abusing his players, by working out in the hottest part of the day (4:00p - 5:00p) ha. MATCHUP favors the Frogs maybe - but SPOT features a turrible home team vs great road team / dog. Tho TCU has been better as of late. Temp low 90's , not that bad for us really, we just had a cold front ha.

     >> note UNDER 24 1H - might be better play.  If tight at half I'll look to play Frogs   

Badger - like Kentucky too - missed early #, so I'll just let it go. Might play them in a ML / teaser.......

Don't think it's huge ......

BUT - These teams that are hoping for an invite to a P5 conference - can't afford (literally) tight games with bad teams. SMU doesn't seem to have much of a shot for B12 , but if one of the others doesn't work out - they might. Key is (in their minds) they do. So if up late - they might not let up at all.

Same with Houston - they can't get beat by Rice. Kinda liked the night birds here - but might back off, Cougs need this one BAD.

@bookieassassin

   Like that UW/Mich 1st half Under as well.  Adding it to the card.

Take care, and good luck this week!

@bookieassassin

 thank you, great !

Best of luck this week, BA!!

BA - How do you feel about Kansa/CC game?

BA

Do you like either Mia Fl -8 1/2 or Utah -7 1/2 ?

Kan / CC - gotta be CC or nothing for sure.... gotta win BIG to impress pollsters - stinking KU just stormed field after an FCS win. A 45-13 type game IMO.

Miami - STAY AWAY ! I actually lean Miami - App St the 'obvious play' here... but hard to tell how beat up the Canes are (physically and emotionally). Are they in survival mode, or bounce back mode? I can't put my hard earned $$ behind them here, plus there is a strong case for App St to cover and maybe even win SU

Utah - they should win / cover / the game should go under. BYU a huge ?? really, so I just bet Utes to win SU.

BOL boys ........

added SMALL

FIU -1'

A Butch Davis homer play really ..... tiny SPOT play as well >> Southwest Texas State off a tough game with Baylor / with winnable FCS on deck. FIU off a really bad season and home scrimmage- with @ TT on deck. FIU with the better D and running game, great ST - Bill C gives them a 10 point SP+ edge here as well. Both badly need a W - spot looks favorable for FIU to get the W.

added some cheese ha.......

PWLMLP

* probably won't lose ML parlay - not my famous 'cannot lose' ML parlay .... in that I'm forced to use capable dogs in Oregon and Colorado ... Buffalo and Toledo kinda sorta

Ohio State -642

Minnesota -1100

Notre Dame -687

Texas A&M -832

Nebraska -540

     $100 > $91.80

Iowa St -4

     * not great VALUE really (was looking for 3 or less) ......as Iowa is tough as HELL - and has owned ISU - so must recommend this one as a smaller play only - but one unit play for me.

dammit ..... always leave POtentially strong dogs out of your ML parlay (Ducks)

good man DUFL ................

adding FAU -6'

@bookieassassin

 thank you ,with you all the way! thank you and best of luck , to the both of us, thank you B.A.

thank you SIR! ON IT! let's WIN IT!

@bookieassassin

@bookieassassin

 I/m down @ -6  110

@bookieassassin

 great w winner! o k YOU ARE #1   thank you, thank you ,thank you

SMALL play

SMU -10 2H

  * already on Ponies -21 (0.75) + 0.25 2H