WEEK 2 lines / leans / notes

UTEP     201     14     10       0     7     31     10     Cover: +17
UNM     202         7       0     14     3     24     56.5     Under: 55

SMU     207     0      0     0     0      0         75     Under: 45
BAY     208     24     7     7     7     45     -31.5     Cover: +13.5
  *Bears 574-67 TO edge....SMU -1.0/rush...

Utah State at Tennessee
Teams     ROT     1     2     3     4     T     Odds     Bet Final
USU       205       0     0     0       7      7         51     Under: 45
TENN     206     14     3     7     14     38     -3.5     Cover: +27.5
  *USU O/Chuckie totally shut down....Vol D the story
QB Worley sharp 27-38/273...3/0....O otherwise just 4.8/play...2/8 rush


MIA       209     0     10     3     0     13     55.5     Under: 44
LOU     210     7     7     7     10     31     -5.5     Cover: +12.5
  *tough to draw conclusions here....Cards better OC /QB
Louisville only 4.7/play....3.0/rush ....sacked 4X

FRES     191     0       7        6     0     13     58     Over: 65
USC     192      21     10     21     0     52     -18.5     Cover: +20.5
  *Trojans up=tempo too much here...105 plays > 701 yds (6.7).....37 FD
    Fresno only 4.6/play...317 TO

COOL.......

Here's an idea....

Since you have all this great wisdom.......why not SHOW ME how it's done?

See you here FRIDAY 9/5....... at noon or so.....
  *you start a thread....' WEEK 3 lines'.....just like I do it.....in rotational order

I'll then post my lines......in your thread
  *we'll use Bookmakers openers > calculate the average / game......away from their spread

LOSER?.....never posts again in the CFB FORUM.........ever
You win?....you must continue to do this each week.......as I would have......of course.......>> you get 'help'....he's gonna have to help you each week thereafter as well.........BOL pal.....

WCU     365     14     3     0     14     31     26     Cover: +21
USF       366     3     13     7     13     36
  *2-10 Catamounts ran 96 plays...27-13 FD edge...9-19 vs 4-13 3rd edges


book- the FD numbers a little misleading maybe as Mack ran for 275 on 24 carries (11.5 average) and 4 TDs.  Don't need FDs if you're scoring on 55 yd runs.  Still, WCU not much and rest of team (D especially) did nothing.

one of the dumbest things i've ever seen

i been watching past couple weeks and i think you do outstanding work on here and go the extra mile for others,  dont let the negative energy bring you down just keep being you, we are all here to be profitable and have fun!!!! again thanks for the insight you put in this im too lazy to put all my edges on here but i study day in and day out when i have time..

"The Book"

Oh yes they did............
  *this kinda stuff I'm looking for FLAWS in the big school's game...
esp in relation to upcoming opponents

1)  how good is W Caro?.....they stink
      SO.....with the Terps on deck / 2nd yr under Willie T....they 'should' roll here.....esp offensively (10 st)....their D should shut these boys down as well....being the strength of the team 

Catamount QB?....46-66/374...2/0.....they av 47% on 3rd
USF QB White?......9-26/181...0/1.....31% on 3rd

WC with 251-192 TO edge at the half.....led 17-16
  *down just 24-30 late in the 4th.......SO.....this was a close game vs a team about 30 points worse than MARYLAND...............

*great point I overlooked that RB Mack....saw the numbers but the 'Mounts are weak vs the run..........but looks like he's a true Fr
and could be a difference maker..............
  *IF.......they can't run at all /  like last year >> putting all the pressure on QB White....Terps should murder these boys....if NOW they can run...it;s a totally different game..................maybe

                   ---------------------------------------------------


BTW.....here's a site I have completely overlooked
  *because I couldn't figure out how to navigate the damm thing
at NCAA.com you can pull up a quick summary of where ANY college team ranks / ranked  .........rather than try to decipher it all at Sports Network....only current stats it seems



For example ......W Carolina in 2013
  *much more too

                                                                                    rank      
Total Offense

69	359.9
Rushing Offense	85	138.7
Passing Offense	53	221.3
Team Passing Efficiency	89	114.97
Scoring Offense	T-103	19.6
Total Defense	108	461.8
Rushing Defense	121	277.1
Passing Yards Allowed	18	184.8
Team Passing Efficiency Defense	114	152.79
Scoring Defense	112	38.9
Turnover Margin	T-90	-0.40

also.....a good way to check stats in these games......to determine how much was garbage time crap
  *is to go to the 'DRIVES' portion of the boxscore......shows you starting point / qtr / time in game  + # plays and yards > result

here's the DRIVES........stuff for Florida St vs Okie St
  *maybe a faster / better indicator of how well they moved the ball

plays          yds         result
Field GoalPUNTINTERCEPTIONTouchdownPUNTINTERCEPTIONFIELD GOALPUNTTouchdownPUNTPUNTField GoalTouchdownDOWNS

forgot to c/p to Notepad 1st......wtf Covers............

# plays        yds        result
10               40    Field Goal
6                 32    PUNT
4                 62    INTERCEPTION
8                 94    Touchdown
3                   1    PUNT
3                  13    INTERCEPTION
7                  65    FIELD GOAL
3                   7    PUNT
5                  56    Touchdown
6                  27    PUNT
6                  11    PUNT
5                  25    Field Goal
2                  52    Touchdown
6                  21    DOWNS

thanks man.....BOL this week,...........

.....occasionally....effeminate little f-u-c-k-tards like this guy get on my nerves......why?.......because places like this are sanctuaries......kinda sorta......for MEN to come and talk COLLEGE FOOTBALL.......we don't need WOMEN......coming in here ADDING NOTHING ..........just NAGGING or CRITICIZING us..........
  *to you youngsters.....hehe.....yes that's what women do



good man  mynameken.........

Great info Bookie.  You and a few other members are the only reason I still drop by this site. 

thanks RL...........BOL this week 





FCS lines up at 5Dimes....
  *most not worth messing with at -120...unless you bet the dog

because the big favorites are ALREADY favored by about a TD more than they should be....smaller favs maybe 3-4 too many

Sat 9/6         401 McNeese State      +29 -120
12:00PM     402 Nebraska          -29 -120
  *watchout Kan St QB Sam at McNeese....they lose top producers at WR/RB but are capable.....Husker DE Gregory is OUT (best player on D)
 
Howard at Rutgers
Sat 9/6         403 Howard      +37 -120
12:00PM          404 Rutgers      -37 -120

Western Illinois at Wisconsin
Sat 9/6         405 Western Illinois      +36½ -120
12:00PM     406 Wisconsin      -36½ -120
  *should be 40+ maybe....so not bad
 
Wagner at Florida International
Sat 9/6         407 Wagner      +14 -120
6:00PM          408 Florida International      -14 -120
  

Alcorn State at Southern Mississippi
Sat 9/6         409 Alcorn State      +19 -120
7:00PM          410 Southern Mississippi      -19 -120

Stony Brook at Connecticut
Sat 9/6         411 Stony Brook      +15 -120
12:00PM      412 Connecticut      -15 -120
  *UConn maybe worth a look here

South Carolina State at Clemson
Sat 9/6         413 South Carolina State      +35 -120
12:30PM          414 Clemson      -35 -120

CS Sacramento at California
Sat 9/6         415 CS Sacramento      +23½ -120
3:00PM          416 California      -23½ -120
  *with a bye on deck.....Cal looks like a play here
   be prepared to lay much more?.....to get -110 perhaps

Eastern Washington at Washington
Sat 9/6         417 Eastern Washington      +23 -120
3:00PM          418 Washington      -23 -120

Richmond at Virginia
Sat 9/6         419 Richmond      +14½ -120
3:30PM          420 Virginia      -14½ -120
  *too many......maybe it drops?.....who TF knows UV maybe starts an ATS run.........

Missouri State at Oklahoma State
Sat 9/6         421 Missouri State      +30 -120
3:30PM          422 Oklahoma State      -30 -120

Eastern Kentucky at Miami Ohio
Sat 9/6         423 Eastern Kentucky      -3½ -120
3:30PM          424 Miami Ohio      +3½ -120
  *Miami O looks MUCH better...maybe best play here?
    at -120 not bad value IMO

VMI at Bowling Green
Sat 9/6         425 VMI      +41 -120
3:30PM          426 Bowling Green      -41 -120

Nicholls State at Ark
Sat 9/6         427 Nicholls State      +39 -120
4:00PM          428 Arkansas      -39 -120

Campbell at Appalachian State
Sat 9/6         429 Campbell      +41 -120
6:00PM          430 Appalachian State      -41 -120

Savannah State at Georgia Southern
Sat 9/6         431 Savannah State      +41 -120
6:00PM          432 Georgia Southern      -41 -120

Gardner-Webb at Wake Forest
Sat 9/6         433 Gardner-Webb      +24½ -120
6:30PM          434 Wake Forest      -24½ -120

Rhode Island at Marshall
Sat 9/6         435 Rhode Island      +41 -120
7:00PM          436 Marshall      -41 -120

Murray State at Louisville
Sat 9/6         437 Murray State      +34 -120
7:00PM          438 Louisville      -34 -120

Florida A&M at Miami Florida
Sat 9/6         439 Florida A&M      +40 -120
7:00PM          440 Miami Florida      -40 -120

Southeast Missouri State at Kansas
Sat 9/6         441 Southeast Missouri State      +28 -120
7:00PM          442 Kansas      -28 -120

The Citadel at Florida State
Sat 9/6         443 The Citadel      +51 -120
7:30PM          444 Florida State      -51 -120

Towson at West Virginia
Sat 9/6         445 Towson      +17½ -120
7:30PM          446 West Virginia      -17½ -120
  *maybe should be 21 or so.....I like WVag here
    gonna check out Towson > hit it maybe

Northwestern State at Baylor
Sat 9/6         447 Northwestern State      +47 -120
7:30PM          448 Baylor      -47 -120

Sat 9/6         449 Sam Houston State      +31 -120
7:30PM          450 LSU      -31 -120

Lamar at Texas A&M
Sat 9/6         451 Lamar      +49 -120
7:30PM          452 Texas A&M      -49 -120

Grambling at Houston U
Sat 9/6         453 Grambling      +51 -120
8:00PM          454 Houston U      -51 -120
  *gotta like Houston....51 mmaybe not enuff wtf

Idaho State at Utah State
Sat 9/6         455 Idaho State      +37 -120
8:00PM          456 Utah State      -37 -120

Northern Colorado at UNLV
Sat 9/6         457 Northern Colorado      +29 -120
10:00PM          458 UNLV      -29 -120

BA, 

Nebraska is no doubt attractive here
 *based on the INCREDIBLE offensive display vs a (not that bad D)
in fact a pretty tough pass D really

McNeese?....this is their 1st game / this is usually not good...vs a team already having played

LT beat Sam Houston....beat the crap outta USF 53-21
  *great O.....kinda soft D

8/6 st.....lose 3yr+ st at QB + 1400 yd rusher + top WR
  *but KSt QB Sam is here + talented RB's + 4/5 OL returns
D is SOFT vs the run and returns 3/4 DL....2/2 LB...1/5 DB (4-2-5)
  Note;  they are changing the O (a bit) to match Sam's skills > much better runner.... which should make them dangerous LATER...but here ???  

You might think.....Huskers keep their roll going....but noting their FLAKY history....tough to lay the points vs a potentially DANGEROUS dog..........
  *UN with at Fresno next........I'll be looking for a 2H play on Nebraska here.....as a (strange) slow start no shocker
if up?.....and MSU is moving it......2H over   

Thanks for sharing book, you do better than just state your picks and then rationalize why, you teach how to cap better, thanks.

E.wash/wash -23?

Book,  I'm curious about your idea on the @ E. Ill. -10 vs. So. Ill. That sounds nice for the home team.  Very tempted myself.

Wagner at Florida International
Sat 9/6         407 Wagner      +14 -120
6:00PM          408 Florida International      -14 -120

 

What do you know about Wagner BA? I really cant fathom FIU being 2 tds better than anyone at this moment.....

 

Love your thread. Most informative on covers.

BA great stuff....much respect

Book,    It isnt real high on my list but Train posed a good question.  Last year I would like Wagner more.  I almost played a small on Bethune as a favorite last week.  FIU is usually one of red haired step children but figured surely improved??  Late in the week and I'm sure you tire out sometime.

Bookie... talk to me about Pitt -4 at BC... Pitt is my pick to win the Coastal and I think BC, even though they beat UMASS last week, is a dumpster fire of a team this year...

28-10 Pitt?  Friday night road chalk, yadda yadda..

hit me with some knowledge!

BA, thanks for all the great work, it is priceless. You should have a PayPal donate button IMO where we can throw in some $ especially after some wins