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WEEK 5

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Posted: #51
adding......one unit or better
  dropping wtf......

Oreg St / Col OVER 59...........gonna wait and see if it drops more

  *Beavs vs similar teams ....
    EW > 95 points
    Utah > 99 points (Utes much stronger D than Col)

  *Col vs lesser offensive teams......
   Col St > 68 points
   C Ark > 62 points

Buffs av 84 plays/g....and should keep pace here.....both teams rank high in points/play offensively....and low in defensive ysd/play
   *O's work efficiently....and D's allow other O's to work efficiently.........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by 2dawgnation2:

Book,

I'd like to hear what you have to offer in the ISU/Tulsa matchup Thursday.  My initial lean is ISU, but in fairness I haven't uncovered much on either team that gives a significant advantage.  This is the 3rd meeting in last 12 months, splitting the first two games.  Would love to hear what you have to offer?  GATech/VaTech just looks unusual for my liking thursday...but looking for an edge.  Thanks.


I would lean to Iowa St also....but as a rule seldom bet ROAD teams in weekday games.....either the home team or halftime / in-game.....I don't think we know enough about either of these teams yet to make any kind  of prediction .....Tulsa (just may) have figured a few things out during the bye?....or maybe not

GT/NCSt would have to be GaTech or nothing....
  *their D looks to be improved....NC offense not as explosive as I thought and D looks shaky.......
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
MVP
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Posted: #53
crazy incredible thread every wk  thx man - GL 
 
Legend
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

bookie is a machine, one of our best

get em' BA
x2
 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:

Book, thanks for everything you do.

Thoughts UTSA?

Personally, think Cal can score some.  Line at 37.5.  Right to be wary of fading Ducks against Bear D, but seems high.


UTSA....maybe appealing as home dog to (historically) weak road fav Houston.....but here IMO...it has to be Houston or nothing....too much firepower here
  *not much home edge for UTSA....Cougs used to dome and should have plenty of fans there

Cal....37' does look silly....a 60-23 game....
  *maybe bet Cal 1H and see what happens...game might work but when Cal loses 70-30 you're gonna be going.....WTF was I thinking...... 
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by slickrick916:

What about lsu + 3, stanford -10, and sjsu +10?

What are your plays from top to bottom....you feel are solid

lsu + 3....like it as small play.....love LSU but Georgia is tough to beat at home......
stanford -10....makes a lot of sense...and great value.....best value on board maybe....I really like Wazzu this year so I'm gonna pass.....but at 10 or less it would have to be Tree
sjsu +10?...great spot for Spartans....I would lean that way.....but Utah St maybe just too strong here ....

plays are up previously.....might add a few more shortly......BOL SR.........

The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #57
Some bits and pieces to leave a bit more support behind ISU:

Tom Farniok is listed to start--has been out with MCL tear for 7/8 quarters ISU has played in thus far.  According to his teammates, he anchors the o-line and is a second QB on the field for them....a team leader.  ISU Rush-Off has been struggling a bit and will be platooning up to 5 RBs tonight... but OL should be improved and with 12 days prep and Tulsa run-d has been weak as well.

QB-Sam Richardson--lingering ankle probs has limited his mobility and effectiveness.  Says 12 days off has been re-habbing w/ trainers and feels good with increased mobility.  

I do agree with the Thurs-home team trend...but read (my recall may be off a game or two, so please forgive) where ISU has won there last two-three opening road games and are like 9-2 on Thursday night games.  
 
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Posted: #58
And thanks for the input as always BA....

On board with Vandy and Troy....starting to like NDame.

UTEP +14...is there a reason they're getting that many vs CSU????  Thats an awful lot for a team that can score points.  CSU run defense must be tough.

Looking forward to your completed card.  Good luck to us
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by TBallgame:

Anything new on Miami QB Morris??  Think Wash. blows the doors off of AZ!  Leach loves games like this where he's the dog.  IF this was in Pullman? but, it's not, like the Tree here


looks like Morris should play.....for some reason ?....that one makes me nervous (backing the Canes).....

hard to believe Wazzu stays close to Tree here...
  *I would hammer Tree if I wasn't a Pirate homer
BOL this week man....... 
 
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #60
kind words much appreciated boys.......

  * I should be thanking you instead....
    where TF else can I peddle this kind of nonsense?...
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:


lsu + 3....like it as small play.....love LSU but Georgia is tough to beat at home......
stanford -10....makes a lot of sense...and great value.....best value on board maybe....I really like Wazzu this year so I'm gonna pass.....but at 10 or less it would have to be Tree
sjsu +10?...great spot for Spartans....I would lean that way.....but Utah St maybe just too strong here ....

plays are up previously.....might add a few more shortly......BOL SR.........



under looks great in lsu /georgia all the hype is around gurley, hill, mettenberger and murray.  There are legit nfl prospects on both defenses this won't get close to 60 tough to pick a side
 
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Posted: #62
Great thread BA! Any thoughts on Nevada to cover vs Air Force.  Looks like Air Force will be starting their third QB.  Starter was kicked off team.
 
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Posted: #63
Pirate homer? Leach?

Bol. One of about three threads I read each week.
 
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Posted: #64
Illinois
Virginia
Can I get some insight into these 2 plays? Would be greatly appreciated...
 
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Posted: #65
Bookie any thoughts on Texas A&M 1st half line?
 
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Posted: #66
 sorry computer issues....
added in bold

ONE UNIT

Troy +11
Ole Miss +17'
WKU +3
Oreg St / Col over 58'
Texas A&M -13'
Ariz St -3*
  *b1/2

small

FAU +13'
Wash -7
LSU +3
Kent St +3
Vandy TT over 39
Iowa / Minn over 45'

consider...UCF +7...Idaho +7'...Army P....ECaro +12


don't like much this week really....maybe best to make a few small plays > watch the games
  *I'm tired of messin' with this week to be honest....too much uncertainty.....which will be followed by a full week of so and so sux....and I told you so's........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

 sorry computer issues....
added in bold

ONE UNIT

Troy +11
Ole Miss +17'
WKU +3
Oreg St / Col over 58'
Texas A&M -13'
Ariz St -3*
  *b1/2

small

FAU +13'
Wash -7
LSU +3
Kent St +3
Vandy TT over 39
Iowa / Minn over 45'

consider...UCF +7...Idaho +7'...Army P....ECaro +12


don't like much this week really....maybe best to make a few small plays > watch the games
  *I'm tired of messin' with this week to be honest....too much uncertainty.....which will be followed by a full week of so and so sux....and I told you so's........

Not from this guy --its my money and I make the wagers....win or lose, but love hearing your evaluations/matchups etc...hoping to find an edge.


I'm on board with.. Troy.just laying that egg against MSU concerns me a little bit...but thats prob why were getting 12+ points 

On Vandy -20...these cats are due and should attack UAB early
 and often.

Heavy lean on WKU with ya

My others:
Toledo +105
UTEP +14

 
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Posted: #68
Navy #1 RO, WK terrible RD.  Played the Gobs @-2-!!  BOL to all.
 
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Posted: #69


 
Quote Originally Posted by 2dawgnation2:

And thanks for the input as always BA....

On board with Vandy and Troy....starting to like NDame.

UTEP +14...is there a reason they're getting that many vs CSU????  Thats an awful lot for a team that can score points.  CSU run defense must be tough.

Looking forward to your completed card.  Good luck to us


UTEP is getting too much....should be 7 or so maybe
  *Bama no-show = 'buy sign' for COL ST?......
so a small 'value' play maybe OK.....stay away for me
Col ST expended a lotta effort last week...but have a bye on deck....Miners just got punished by UTSA so tough to back these boys............Col St abused by weak Tulsa and Col......soooooo.........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by Pdriver:

Great thread BA! Any thoughts on Nevada to cover vs Air Force.  Looks like Air Force will be starting their third QB.  Starter was kicked off team.


AF really stinks and now 2 QB's + FB + top WR likely out...........and IF......Nevada QB Fajardo plays and is healthy.....he should abuse that AF pass D.....
  $$  problem here is that the value is poor....Nevada is probably better than they have played ....but 10+ is too many......but sure  might work your instincts are correct IMO..........BOL   
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by CapKillah:

Illinois
Virginia
Can I get some insight into these 2 plays? Would be greatly appreciated...


Just as I am late answering ....
  *your play is late as well.........but good ideas

Illinois early at 24 or so not bad......they should kill Miami O....26' poor value?.....but 'should work'

Virginia + 7 at overrated Pitt not bad .....but now 5 or so .....so pass ?.........OR if you really like Virginia ....maybe a small ML play and / or tease to 11 with another .......like >
   *Illinois -20' and Virginia +11 at even money ....?..
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by N8MAR10:

Bookie any thoughts on Texas A&M 1st half line?


Aggies 1H every week not bad......
  *because if you happen to lose....you (should) can get it back 2H .....if Saban / Bama have no clue on how to stop this damm guy.....then nobody (not named LSU maybe) can for an entire game........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #73


GotNYCinme....TBall......Michfan.....

BOL........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #74
Gl bookie 
 
 
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Posted: #75
Gl bookie like over in the Colorado Oregon state game myself 
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