BA- like big blue to smash Sparty again this year. State can't run and I think our D pressures them into a few turns and maybe a P6 or two. We finally have the advantage over state, have to take advantage and stomp them.
Might lean utes off the bye catching points v Tree. BOL this week amigo
Pecador - what's the "stay hard"? You talkin bout that cocck of yours you swashbucklin' sailor you?!? Stay hard bro!
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BA- like big blue to smash Sparty again this year. State can't run and I think our D pressures them into a few turns and maybe a P6 or two. We finally have the advantage over state, have to take advantage and stomp them.
Might lean utes off the bye catching points v Tree. BOL this week amigo
Pecador - what's the "stay hard"? You talkin bout that cocck of yours you swashbucklin' sailor you?!? Stay hard bro!
I initially liked SDST, but I havent actually seen UNLV's new QB but everyone has been saying how impressive he is. I will probably watch UNLV's last two games before I make this an official play.
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I initially liked SDST, but I havent actually seen UNLV's new QB but everyone has been saying how impressive he is. I will probably watch UNLV's last two games before I make this an official play.
BA- like big blue to smash Sparty again this year. State can't run and I think our D pressures them into a few turns and maybe a P6 or two. We finally have the advantage over state, have to take advantage and stomp them.
Would like see UM "stomp'em", but don't think so. MSU playing good D. Unlikely to make same mistakes as against ND. Dantonio wants this one bad!
-MSU covered last nine.
-UM lost to MSU last two byes (UM were dogs then though)
Weather; Yesterday, forecast for Sat night was 20-30 mph winds and late rain! Now, forecast tamed down to 15 mph winds (crosswind) but still calling for rain after about halftime. Both teams don't run very good, both have good run D's.
Took the Under 40.
Bookie taking the +14 the absolutely right play!
Go Blue!
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:
BA- like big blue to smash Sparty again this year. State can't run and I think our D pressures them into a few turns and maybe a P6 or two. We finally have the advantage over state, have to take advantage and stomp them.
Would like see UM "stomp'em", but don't think so. MSU playing good D. Unlikely to make same mistakes as against ND. Dantonio wants this one bad!
-MSU covered last nine.
-UM lost to MSU last two byes (UM were dogs then though)
Weather; Yesterday, forecast for Sat night was 20-30 mph winds and late rain! Now, forecast tamed down to 15 mph winds (crosswind) but still calling for rain after about halftime. Both teams don't run very good, both have good run D's.
BA .... you have preached the big picture...I know everybody kinda / maybe ...wants the Nevada teams to play/cover this week after tragedy....But this is not NFL.... practice / prep could not have been good this week for them ....what is your opinion on fading Nevada teams based on poor prep via distraction vs emotion
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BA .... you have preached the big picture...I know everybody kinda / maybe ...wants the Nevada teams to play/cover this week after tragedy....But this is not NFL.... practice / prep could not have been good this week for them ....what is your opinion on fading Nevada teams based on poor prep via distraction vs emotion
added small stuff.....just HUNCHES.....I hope to play off 2H as usual
N Caro +7' 1H.....Irish QB (either) may start slow A&M +16 1H......huge bet on Bama 2H if set up rite Cinn +9' ......Cinn of embarrassing HOME loss should hang for awhile
one unit....maybe over-thinking (wouldn't be the FIRST time ha)
* as either are solid IMO.....I think Utes win an ugly / low scoring game....Huntley can't go?.....they really grind it out
Utah +10 / UNDER 58
* Ute D matches up well with TREE O.....Tree O #1 in explosive running plays / Ute D #15 in preventing.....Utes can bring HEAT .......AND prevent big plays
Great SPOT for Utah.....off easy run THEN bye....
* Tree off several tough games ...@ USC > @ SDSU > UCLA > Zona St....Oregon on deck....................
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
added small stuff.....just HUNCHES.....I hope to play off 2H as usual
N Caro +7' 1H.....Irish QB (either) may start slow A&M +16 1H......huge bet on Bama 2H if set up rite Cinn +9' ......Cinn of embarrassing HOME loss should hang for awhile
one unit....maybe over-thinking (wouldn't be the FIRST time ha)
* as either are solid IMO.....I think Utes win an ugly / low scoring game....Huntley can't go?.....they really grind it out
Utah +10 / UNDER 58
* Ute D matches up well with TREE O.....Tree O #1 in explosive running plays / Ute D #15 in preventing.....Utes can bring HEAT .......AND prevent big plays
Great SPOT for Utah.....off easy run THEN bye....
* Tree off several tough games ...@ USC > @ SDSU > UCLA > Zona St....Oregon on deck....................
BA .... you have preached the big picture...I know everybody kinda / maybe ...wants the Nevada teams to play/cover this week after tragedy....But this is not NFL.... practice / prep could not have been good this week for them ....what is your opinion on fading Nevada teams based on poor prep via distraction vs emotion
didn't think about that one......how can you get ANY quality work in wtf ?????
Glad you brought those games up.....
SDSU?......a CLASSIC eggzample....of the BABPHT
* why is this line so short?.....14 more like it
Because the Aztecs struggled with N Illinois / Rebels pounded
* well no shiit....SDSU had already extended themselves WAY more than Rocky likes to do (in non-conference games).....and was just trying to survive ONE more game before MTW play....NI ?.....off a bye and a tremendous road dog (shoulda bet a ton on that one).....if that crazy EYETALIAN Dante Santadomingomamacarina or whatever.....doesn't bet on SDSU and throw those late picks....Aztecs lose that one.............
UNLV?.....an underrated team / off a big loss....facing SJSU at home.....a beat up / weak team anyway....primed for yet another azz whoopin'.......
NOW......in MTW play.......SDSU should dominate.....as they always do......especially vs UNLV
I kinda like Hawaii too.......I missed the early 2'.......stared at it in a zombie like trance.....drooled on myself as it went to 3'......so just passed...........ha
BOL this week man................
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by UnclePuff:
BA .... you have preached the big picture...I know everybody kinda / maybe ...wants the Nevada teams to play/cover this week after tragedy....But this is not NFL.... practice / prep could not have been good this week for them ....what is your opinion on fading Nevada teams based on poor prep via distraction vs emotion
didn't think about that one......how can you get ANY quality work in wtf ?????
Glad you brought those games up.....
SDSU?......a CLASSIC eggzample....of the BABPHT
* why is this line so short?.....14 more like it
Because the Aztecs struggled with N Illinois / Rebels pounded
* well no shiit....SDSU had already extended themselves WAY more than Rocky likes to do (in non-conference games).....and was just trying to survive ONE more game before MTW play....NI ?.....off a bye and a tremendous road dog (shoulda bet a ton on that one).....if that crazy EYETALIAN Dante Santadomingomamacarina or whatever.....doesn't bet on SDSU and throw those late picks....Aztecs lose that one.............
UNLV?.....an underrated team / off a big loss....facing SJSU at home.....a beat up / weak team anyway....primed for yet another azz whoopin'.......
NOW......in MTW play.......SDSU should dominate.....as they always do......especially vs UNLV
I kinda like Hawaii too.......I missed the early 2'.......stared at it in a zombie like trance.....drooled on myself as it went to 3'......so just passed...........ha
Would like see UM "stomp'em", but don't think so. MSU playing good D. Unlikely to make same mistakes as against ND. Dantonio wants this one bad!
-MSU covered last nine.
-UM lost to MSU last two byes (UM were dogs then though)
Weather; Yesterday, forecast for Sat night was 20-30 mph winds and late rain! Now, forecast tamed down to 15 mph winds (crosswind) but still calling for rain after about halftime. Both teams don't run very good, both have good run D's.
Took the Under 40.
Bookie taking the +14 the absolutely right play!
Go Blue!
GL
probably shoulda just made it a small play......but that 14' just looked like a terrible line....plus looks like an UGLY low scoring game to me > so 14' is a ton of points.....BOL this week man.......
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:
Would like see UM "stomp'em", but don't think so. MSU playing good D. Unlikely to make same mistakes as against ND. Dantonio wants this one bad!
-MSU covered last nine.
-UM lost to MSU last two byes (UM were dogs then though)
Weather; Yesterday, forecast for Sat night was 20-30 mph winds and late rain! Now, forecast tamed down to 15 mph winds (crosswind) but still calling for rain after about halftime. Both teams don't run very good, both have good run D's.
Took the Under 40.
Bookie taking the +14 the absolutely right play!
Go Blue!
GL
probably shoulda just made it a small play......but that 14' just looked like a terrible line....plus looks like an UGLY low scoring game to me > so 14' is a ton of points.....BOL this week man.......
BA- like big blue to smash Sparty again this year. State can't run and I think our D pressures them into a few turns and maybe a P6 or two. We finally have the advantage over state, have to take advantage and stomp them.
Might lean utes off the bye catching points v Tree. BOL this week amigo
Pecador - what's the "stay hard"? You talkin bout that cocck of yours you swashbucklin' sailor you?!? Stay hard bro!
hey man......don't be coming in here putting a MOJO on my play.....got some Asian strippers coming over later.....might need that money..............
Could be right.....I don't totally trust Sparty just yet....BOL buddy.....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:
BA- like big blue to smash Sparty again this year. State can't run and I think our D pressures them into a few turns and maybe a P6 or two. We finally have the advantage over state, have to take advantage and stomp them.
Might lean utes off the bye catching points v Tree. BOL this week amigo
Pecador - what's the "stay hard"? You talkin bout that cocck of yours you swashbucklin' sailor you?!? Stay hard bro!
hey man......don't be coming in here putting a MOJO on my play.....got some Asian strippers coming over later.....might need that money..............
Could be right.....I don't totally trust Sparty just yet....BOL buddy.....
I'm liking that Tulsa MLP. I'm thinking about making them a play. Just hanging around seeing if I can get a +6 to pop up. BOL
yep I've seen a few 5-6......which seems like way too many....
* I was expecting Tulsa to open as a small favorite....looking to play Tulane.....so I just let this one go..........Tulsa definitely can win this one.....that run D ......and QB make me a bit nervous.........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:
I'm liking that Tulsa MLP. I'm thinking about making them a play. Just hanging around seeing if I can get a +6 to pop up. BOL
yep I've seen a few 5-6......which seems like way too many....
* I was expecting Tulsa to open as a small favorite....looking to play Tulane.....so I just let this one go..........Tulsa definitely can win this one.....that run D ......and QB make me a bit nervous.........
I initially liked SDST, but I havent actually seen UNLV's new QB but everyone has been saying how impressive he is. I will probably watch UNLV's last two games before I make this an official play.
that one is dropping too wtf.............
* Aztecs should roll.....see my earlier post
To answer your earlier question......(power ratings)
I built my own a few years ago......from scratch ............
* then adjust using Bill C's stuff each year (big help)..........
2 things IMO are key.........
* making sure they are (kinda sorta).....in line with what Vegas has......I use the Gold Sheet for that / or GOY lines early
* and making MINOR changes.....once I feel good about a given team's IDENTITY.....week to week.....and YEAR to YEAR
SURE.....a few teams POOF!.....change overnight.....like Colorado last year.....or Purdue this year.....but most do not..........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by alopez14325:
I initially liked SDST, but I havent actually seen UNLV's new QB but everyone has been saying how impressive he is. I will probably watch UNLV's last two games before I make this an official play.
that one is dropping too wtf.............
* Aztecs should roll.....see my earlier post
To answer your earlier question......(power ratings)
I built my own a few years ago......from scratch ............
* then adjust using Bill C's stuff each year (big help)..........
2 things IMO are key.........
* making sure they are (kinda sorta).....in line with what Vegas has......I use the Gold Sheet for that / or GOY lines early
* and making MINOR changes.....once I feel good about a given team's IDENTITY.....week to week.....and YEAR to YEAR
SURE.....a few teams POOF!.....change overnight.....like Colorado last year.....or Purdue this year.....but most do not..........
BA you are one of the only poster that I won't doubt when you say you used NC State thanks for all you do here.
yep sorry bout that....had 'em as one of my top plays.....almost always bet a little bit ML......on a dog at 3 or less.....so sure they'll be in that silly dog ML parlay......plus I think that one MIGHT hit.....I wanna rub it in in case it does ha...............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by bearsfan111:
BA you are one of the only poster that I won't doubt when you say you used NC State thanks for all you do here.
yep sorry bout that....had 'em as one of my top plays.....almost always bet a little bit ML......on a dog at 3 or less.....so sure they'll be in that silly dog ML parlay......plus I think that one MIGHT hit.....I wanna rub it in in case it does ha...............
I'm digging Utah at +5 now...maybe it goes higher? That opener of Tree -3 was so frigin low, my first instinct was to hammer Stanford, my gambling gut said to stay away.
thanks man appreciate it.....more like BOL putting up horrific openers than me being smart probably...............
ME TOO.......liked Tree at 3.....backed off to see if it would drop.....it went up.....then my head cleared and realized UTAH was the right side............................................maybe
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Incredible...ahead of EVERY line move
I'm digging Utah at +5 now...maybe it goes higher? That opener of Tree -3 was so frigin low, my first instinct was to hammer Stanford, my gambling gut said to stay away.
thanks man appreciate it.....more like BOL putting up horrific openers than me being smart probably...............
ME TOO.......liked Tree at 3.....backed off to see if it would drop.....it went up.....then my head cleared and realized UTAH was the right side............................................maybe
BA, With you on that Duke PK. play. They seem to fear no one and come to play. Great coaching, I think. Culbreath? Got Oreg. -2.5 on a GOY so I'll ride that one out. Hate getting stuck on coin flip type games.
You know who else is a good coach? That Navy guy who I can't pronounce his name. That dude has put together a bunch of good seasons in a row and is doing it again. Kudo's to guys like that.
Got @Navy -11 for my last GOY of this week and adding to it @-9.5. @Navy very solid for 60 mins. Air Force will come strong but weak late. I have spoken.
Adding to Pitt. +3.5 with some +4.5. I don't know? I think I have the best team getting pts.?
Stay Hard and Healthy, Doc
like those.......WHERE is SMU?.................
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by Pecador:
BA, With you on that Duke PK. play. They seem to fear no one and come to play. Great coaching, I think. Culbreath? Got Oreg. -2.5 on a GOY so I'll ride that one out. Hate getting stuck on coin flip type games.
You know who else is a good coach? That Navy guy who I can't pronounce his name. That dude has put together a bunch of good seasons in a row and is doing it again. Kudo's to guys like that.
Got @Navy -11 for my last GOY of this week and adding to it @-9.5. @Navy very solid for 60 mins. Air Force will come strong but weak late. I have spoken.
Adding to Pitt. +3.5 with some +4.5. I don't know? I think I have the best team getting pts.?
Hey BA.....do you want to check that Idaho line....I think you meant -3 rather than plus+3....had the VegasInsider gold page up all afternoon and saw this line as an interest.
Its up to -5/-4.5 now
All the best and thanks for all that you do
early / really bad openers last for a milli-second.....and often don't appear on VI as the early line......for whatever reason
* BOL this week man............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Hey BA.....do you want to check that Idaho line....I think you meant -3 rather than plus+3....had the VegasInsider gold page up all afternoon and saw this line as an interest.
Its up to -5/-4.5 now
All the best and thanks for all that you do
early / really bad openers last for a milli-second.....and often don't appear on VI as the early line......for whatever reason
Just hit Cincy +17 after seeing your thread . Wow that number seems insane.
17?......INFERS that UCF is (about) as good as Oregon.....Florida....or Florida St
I dunno if I would actually recommend betting AGAINST UCF.....like I did last week ha.....but that approach (VALUE PLAYER).....will ENSURE you always win money in the long term........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by ClubTrash:
Just hit Cincy +17 after seeing your thread . Wow that number seems insane.
17?......INFERS that UCF is (about) as good as Oregon.....Florida....or Florida St
I dunno if I would actually recommend betting AGAINST UCF.....like I did last week ha.....but that approach (VALUE PLAYER).....will ENSURE you always win money in the long term........
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