Posted:
#1
19-8 last week
Early leans after book just releasing lines:
Arizona +23 (DO NOT BET against Oregon at home! yes yes I know. Arizona's prolific offense is just getting way too many points here to pass up IMO. Still lots of flaws to be corrected on this oregon team after watching their games)
Louisville -3 (horrible going against Friday night home dog but L'ville at this price is tough to lay off. need to rest on this one for sure)
Mississippi State -1.5 (LSU let down angle for those on a&m??maybe but to me msu is more legit at this point even though A&m had harder schedule up to this point. A&M rushing defense not sold on containing MSU's rush attack. tough game though to be confident on either way)
ODU +17.5
Oklahoma State -17
Indiana -14
Wake Forest +39 (bad spot but hard to see them putting up 50 on this defense. If wake gets 7-10 pts we may be good. would strictly be a value play and play on wake defense
Wisc teased down to -2.5 with something else. Hard to see NW hanging all game
Notre Dame +1.5 (might need to grab this now. wrong team favored here IMO. Big believer in golston and irish D this year)
Air Force +4.5 (FG game either way here. AF a few minutes away from a 4-0 start in their games. Defense will keep them in till the end)
Alabama -6 (still pissed Memphis blew the +21 pt cover last week for me. Was under the number the entire game. Mostly a gut shot instinct lean given what i have seen from both teams. need to think harder on this one though but think its at 7 by gametime)
Cincy -5 (typical bait line. memphis puts up 3 pts last week and now is only catching 5 here against a Cincy team that is coming along pretty nicely. Memphis getting close to beating two ranked teams on the road if you erase the horrible 2nd half by them last week and now get their 3rd chance. Cincy D hasn't been what it used to be though. feel like I'm leaning more and more toward memphis as I type this
)
Michigan +3.5 (man this team has looked like dogsh1t but hard not to take them here catching a FG and a half. i watched Rutgers struggle last week to get me the 2nd half -6 cover at home against a team that isnt even in the top 100 in defense and they allowed 26 to Howard a few weeks before. Good chance Mich wins this game outright)
Kentucky +5 (FG game here IMO, Somewhat feel Kentucky is being disrespected by this line. Could be the week USC breaks out and becomes that team we all though they would be this year. Under here should be a good play)
Michigan State -8.5 (hard to bet against this team in their biggest home game of the year even over OSU IMO. great spot for teasers if you dont take spread but I see a DD win)
Utah +13/UCLA -13- no lean on this one yet. UCLA played MUCH tougher competition up to this point but a lot of point to give a tough Utah team still not sure if I'm sold on UCLA even after crushing an incompetent ASU team and this is coming form someone who was on UCLA -3. Oregon lookahead for UCLA maybe helps the Utah side)
TCU +5 (Toughest road team on OKLA's schedule and probably 2nd hardest game of year besides maybe Baylor for the sooners. Think that TCU D steps up huge in this game. TCU does have road game against Baylor on deck though so could see them beating OKLA then losing to Baylor. Would fit the season script you could say)
Nevada +2.5 (wrong team favored here. This is the worst BSU team to come to my alma mater in over a decade. Think Wolf packs offense prevails in this one but its tough fading Boise off a loss. Quite frankly though I'm a little baffled by the line. Good chance I'm on ML here and they can keep their points )
Early leans after book just releasing lines:
Arizona +23 (DO NOT BET against Oregon at home! yes yes I know. Arizona's prolific offense is just getting way too many points here to pass up IMO. Still lots of flaws to be corrected on this oregon team after watching their games)
Louisville -3 (horrible going against Friday night home dog but L'ville at this price is tough to lay off. need to rest on this one for sure)
Mississippi State -1.5 (LSU let down angle for those on a&m??maybe but to me msu is more legit at this point even though A&m had harder schedule up to this point. A&M rushing defense not sold on containing MSU's rush attack. tough game though to be confident on either way)
ODU +17.5
Oklahoma State -17
Indiana -14
Wake Forest +39 (bad spot but hard to see them putting up 50 on this defense. If wake gets 7-10 pts we may be good. would strictly be a value play and play on wake defense
Wisc teased down to -2.5 with something else. Hard to see NW hanging all game
Notre Dame +1.5 (might need to grab this now. wrong team favored here IMO. Big believer in golston and irish D this year)
Air Force +4.5 (FG game either way here. AF a few minutes away from a 4-0 start in their games. Defense will keep them in till the end)
Alabama -6 (still pissed Memphis blew the +21 pt cover last week for me. Was under the number the entire game. Mostly a gut shot instinct lean given what i have seen from both teams. need to think harder on this one though but think its at 7 by gametime)
Cincy -5 (typical bait line. memphis puts up 3 pts last week and now is only catching 5 here against a Cincy team that is coming along pretty nicely. Memphis getting close to beating two ranked teams on the road if you erase the horrible 2nd half by them last week and now get their 3rd chance. Cincy D hasn't been what it used to be though. feel like I'm leaning more and more toward memphis as I type this
)Michigan +3.5 (man this team has looked like dogsh1t but hard not to take them here catching a FG and a half. i watched Rutgers struggle last week to get me the 2nd half -6 cover at home against a team that isnt even in the top 100 in defense and they allowed 26 to Howard a few weeks before. Good chance Mich wins this game outright)
Kentucky +5 (FG game here IMO, Somewhat feel Kentucky is being disrespected by this line. Could be the week USC breaks out and becomes that team we all though they would be this year. Under here should be a good play)
Michigan State -8.5 (hard to bet against this team in their biggest home game of the year even over OSU IMO. great spot for teasers if you dont take spread but I see a DD win)
Utah +13/UCLA -13- no lean on this one yet. UCLA played MUCH tougher competition up to this point but a lot of point to give a tough Utah team still not sure if I'm sold on UCLA even after crushing an incompetent ASU team and this is coming form someone who was on UCLA -3. Oregon lookahead for UCLA maybe helps the Utah side)
TCU +5 (Toughest road team on OKLA's schedule and probably 2nd hardest game of year besides maybe Baylor for the sooners. Think that TCU D steps up huge in this game. TCU does have road game against Baylor on deck though so could see them beating OKLA then losing to Baylor. Would fit the season script you could say)
Nevada +2.5 (wrong team favored here. This is the worst BSU team to come to my alma mater in over a decade. Think Wolf packs offense prevails in this one but its tough fading Boise off a loss. Quite frankly though I'm a little baffled by the line. Good chance I'm on ML here and they can keep their points )
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