Half way through the season (Every single play posted)
Week 1 8 - 5 ATS 1-1 ML total + $220
Week 2 10 - 5 ATS total + $910
Week 3 4 - 6 ATS 1-3 ML total - $1130
Week 4 8 - 5 ATS 0-5ML total + 825
Week 5 6 - 3 -1 ATS total + 1020
Week 6 18-9 -2 ATS total + 2390
I will bet making a few ML wagers this week. As you can see above I was hitting them at a very low rate (although they were all underdog low risk - high reward bets) but nonetheless I am due and their are a few dogs I really like to win outright.....
Some games (many last week) I bet more than once throughout the week....I will re-bet a game based on line movement. While I made 29 wagers last week I believe I played 20 games Which is a lot for me but there were just too many good looking lines to pass up.....Here are a few games I have locked in early and if there is line movement later in the week on these games in my favor I may hit them again. Also waiting on line movement to add some new games.
As always I will have write-ups on key games later.
Tuesday
South Bama +6 $300
Saturday
West MICH. +3.5 $300
Old Dominion -8.5 $500
Bowling Green -11 $300
Ball ST -16.5 $300
WASH ST -8 $300
Wake Forest +16 $300
LSU -6.5 $300
Good luck fellas.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Week 6 18-9-2 +$2390
YEAR TO DATE 54 - 33 + $4225 - 62%
Half way through the season (Every single play posted)
Week 1 8 - 5 ATS 1-1 ML total + $220
Week 2 10 - 5 ATS total + $910
Week 3 4 - 6 ATS 1-3 ML total - $1130
Week 4 8 - 5 ATS 0-5ML total + 825
Week 5 6 - 3 -1 ATS total + 1020
Week 6 18-9 -2 ATS total + 2390
I will bet making a few ML wagers this week. As you can see above I was hitting them at a very low rate (although they were all underdog low risk - high reward bets) but nonetheless I am due and their are a few dogs I really like to win outright.....
Some games (many last week) I bet more than once throughout the week....I will re-bet a game based on line movement. While I made 29 wagers last week I believe I played 20 games Which is a lot for me but there were just too many good looking lines to pass up.....Here are a few games I have locked in early and if there is line movement later in the week on these games in my favor I may hit them again. Also waiting on line movement to add some new games.
As always I will have write-ups on key games later.
Wash St. is one of my favorite lines. They have a prolific offense that can score in bunches. Oregon State is not equipped to get in a shootout. Mike Leach has no problem running scores up. I look for that to be a 4+ score game.
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Wash St. is one of my favorite lines. They have a prolific offense that can score in bunches. Oregon State is not equipped to get in a shootout. Mike Leach has no problem running scores up. I look for that to be a 4+ score game.
Wash St. is one of my favorite lines. They have a prolific offense that can score in bunches. Oregon State is not equipped to get in a shootout. Mike Leach has no problem running scores up. I look for that to be a 4+ score game.
I am 3- 0 ATS on WASH ST this season.....Right now I cant think of a better current college QB than Luke Falk.....I am not saying he will be better than Goff on Sundays but Im not saying he wont either.
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Quote Originally Posted by Win4Ever:
Wash St. is one of my favorite lines. They have a prolific offense that can score in bunches. Oregon State is not equipped to get in a shootout. Mike Leach has no problem running scores up. I look for that to be a 4+ score game.
I am 3- 0 ATS on WASH ST this season.....Right now I cant think of a better current college QB than Luke Falk.....I am not saying he will be better than Goff on Sundays but Im not saying he wont either.
I re-bet the Old Dominion / Charlotte game as the line has moved down to -7...........I cannot believe the linemakers have not figured out that Charlotte still has the talent of a middle of the road FCS team..
Re-bet Wake Forest as the line has gone up to 17.5........With their solid defense they just need to put up 10 for a cover, maybe 13.
Also WASH ST -8 @ home VS Oregon ST.......WASH. ST. is a much better all around team with a great QB playing at home....-8 should be covered early.
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I re-bet the Old Dominion / Charlotte game as the line has moved down to -7...........I cannot believe the linemakers have not figured out that Charlotte still has the talent of a middle of the road FCS team..
Re-bet Wake Forest as the line has gone up to 17.5........With their solid defense they just need to put up 10 for a cover, maybe 13.
Also WASH ST -8 @ home VS Oregon ST.......WASH. ST. is a much better all around team with a great QB playing at home....-8 should be covered early.
I am going to play Ball ST against GA ST this week.....Line is -14.5 and I am going to buy the hook.........Reason why Northern ILL was my 2nd largest play last week against Ball ST and although they covered I was super impressed with the Ball ST offense, specifically their Freshman QB Riley Neal who will be the best QB in the MAC IMO after the kid from Bowling Green leaves next year......This FR QB from Ball ST this year played @ Texas A+M, @ Northwestern, Toledo and @ Northern IL who has a good defense......All of those teams have very good defenses and he has only played at home once.......He has a 60% COMP rate, over 1100 YDS passing and has only thrown 1 INT in in 172 passing attempts...Oh yeah, and he can run.......This kid is just not going to be special he already seems to be.........While the Ball ST "D" has played very bad this year they are better than the GA ST "D" and like I said played a much more difficult schedule......GA-State actually has a decent QB but just garbage all around him....GA ST has only won once this year, a 2 PT win VS NMST who is awful and they lost to a FCS Liberty football team......Ball ST like I said have only played 1 home game all year against a tough Toledo team and are pumped to finally be back home and should absolutely destroy this weak GA ST squad.........I watched The Ball ST / N ILL game on ESPN 3 and was yelling at my laptop as this freshman QB threw for almost 400 YDS with little run support... Ball ST has more talent and is either better or much bettter than GA St in every aspect of the game. I think Ball ST wins by 3-5 TDS.
Ball ST -14 -125 $500
West MICH. +3.5 $300 Old Dominion -8.5 $500 OLD Dominion -7 $400
Bowling Green -11 $300 Ball ST -16.5 $300 WASH ST -8 $300 WASH ST -8 $400
Wake Forest +16 $300
Wake Forest +17.5 $300
LSU -6.5 $300
MICH ST +7.5 $200 G-Tech -3 $300 U-Mass -7 $200 San Jose ST -2.5 $300 Boston CO +15.5 $200
TUES S.Bama $300 L
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I am going to play Ball ST against GA ST this week.....Line is -14.5 and I am going to buy the hook.........Reason why Northern ILL was my 2nd largest play last week against Ball ST and although they covered I was super impressed with the Ball ST offense, specifically their Freshman QB Riley Neal who will be the best QB in the MAC IMO after the kid from Bowling Green leaves next year......This FR QB from Ball ST this year played @ Texas A+M, @ Northwestern, Toledo and @ Northern IL who has a good defense......All of those teams have very good defenses and he has only played at home once.......He has a 60% COMP rate, over 1100 YDS passing and has only thrown 1 INT in in 172 passing attempts...Oh yeah, and he can run.......This kid is just not going to be special he already seems to be.........While the Ball ST "D" has played very bad this year they are better than the GA ST "D" and like I said played a much more difficult schedule......GA-State actually has a decent QB but just garbage all around him....GA ST has only won once this year, a 2 PT win VS NMST who is awful and they lost to a FCS Liberty football team......Ball ST like I said have only played 1 home game all year against a tough Toledo team and are pumped to finally be back home and should absolutely destroy this weak GA ST squad.........I watched The Ball ST / N ILL game on ESPN 3 and was yelling at my laptop as this freshman QB threw for almost 400 YDS with little run support... Ball ST has more talent and is either better or much bettter than GA St in every aspect of the game. I think Ball ST wins by 3-5 TDS.
Ball ST -14 -125 $500
West MICH. +3.5 $300 Old Dominion -8.5 $500 OLD Dominion -7 $400
Bowling Green -11 $300 Ball ST -16.5 $300 WASH ST -8 $300 WASH ST -8 $400
Wake Forest +16 $300
Wake Forest +17.5 $300
LSU -6.5 $300
MICH ST +7.5 $200 G-Tech -3 $300 U-Mass -7 $200 San Jose ST -2.5 $300 Boston CO +15.5 $200
This line is just too low not to jump on WASH ST......Last week I capped the Oregon ST VS Arizona where the line was Zona -10.5.....Arizona had just come of 2 games where they were destroyed as they gave up 55 points to Stanford and the week before gave up 56 to UCLA at home....Heck they even gave up 32 points to UTSA and they were 32 point favorites in that game......To say the least their defense was playing terrible football......But I still had no problem taking them and giving Oregon ST 10.5 as their offense is just not a real threat.....Arizona won 44-7........I could make a good argument that Washington ST is just as good as Arizona this season but I only have 7800 spaces and Im gonna use most of them the way it is....WASH ST is no longer on the bottom half of the PAC 12 list.......Last 2 games Oregon ST who I think is in the basement talent wise in the PAC 12 have lost their last 2 games at home vs Stanford and @ Zona 31-86 and the YDS gained / given margin is indicitive to the scores......WASH ST in their last 2 games both on the road to Oregon and CAL who are both dangerous teams at home have played up to par scoring 73 - allowing 72......They out-gained Oregon and won in OT and were out-gained by 60 YDS to a very good CAL offense but played well enough to win had they not lost 3 fumbles.....Right now especially in the PAC 12 offense rules......Oregon ST ranks 120th in the nation in YDS gained and 116th in scoring with under 20 per game....With the exception of Stanford and Washington at times if you cannot score in this CONF you cannot win.......After that outcome last week in Zona and the Cougars coming off a win at Oregon (who I know have declined but are still a very dangerous team) I was suprised this line was so low......Oregon ST is nothing special on defense and are counting on a Freshman QB to carry them in Seth Collins...He is just barely throwing for a 50% COMP rate (50.2) and averaging only 5.4 YDS per pass......He is also their leading rusher but its such an ineffective play action as the defense does not care if he throws the ball......Arizona did not suddenly learn how to play "D" last week, they just played a weak offense.....On the other hand the WASH ST offense is very explosive, other than maybe Texas Tech they have the best passing game in CFB I have seen this year......They have arguably the best QB in CFB Luke Falk who leads the FBS in passes attempted and has completed 71% of them...He is averaging 400YDS passing per game, 15 TD's but what I think is most impressive is out of 275 attempted passes he has thrown only 2 INTS.....And its not like the Cougars cannot run the ball they just rarely attemp it....Between their starting RB and his 2 back-ups they only have 75 rushes but they average over 6 YDS per carry....They have a very strong O-Line....This is a team on the rise as they only start 6 seniors.....Mike Leach is putting together a team Cougar fans have not seen in 15 years when Mike Price was coaching.......Look for Luke Falk to do what he has done all year and what he did in his first career start against Oregon ST last year when he threw for 471 YDS and 5 TDS.......Bottom line Oregon ST just does not have the offense to hang around in this game and not nearly a special enough "D" to stop this potent offense....Oregon ST could very well get smashed again 44-7 like last week, but I am predicting a 38-17 type game......-8 - No problem.
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WASH ST - 8 VS Oregon ST (strong play)
This line is just too low not to jump on WASH ST......Last week I capped the Oregon ST VS Arizona where the line was Zona -10.5.....Arizona had just come of 2 games where they were destroyed as they gave up 55 points to Stanford and the week before gave up 56 to UCLA at home....Heck they even gave up 32 points to UTSA and they were 32 point favorites in that game......To say the least their defense was playing terrible football......But I still had no problem taking them and giving Oregon ST 10.5 as their offense is just not a real threat.....Arizona won 44-7........I could make a good argument that Washington ST is just as good as Arizona this season but I only have 7800 spaces and Im gonna use most of them the way it is....WASH ST is no longer on the bottom half of the PAC 12 list.......Last 2 games Oregon ST who I think is in the basement talent wise in the PAC 12 have lost their last 2 games at home vs Stanford and @ Zona 31-86 and the YDS gained / given margin is indicitive to the scores......WASH ST in their last 2 games both on the road to Oregon and CAL who are both dangerous teams at home have played up to par scoring 73 - allowing 72......They out-gained Oregon and won in OT and were out-gained by 60 YDS to a very good CAL offense but played well enough to win had they not lost 3 fumbles.....Right now especially in the PAC 12 offense rules......Oregon ST ranks 120th in the nation in YDS gained and 116th in scoring with under 20 per game....With the exception of Stanford and Washington at times if you cannot score in this CONF you cannot win.......After that outcome last week in Zona and the Cougars coming off a win at Oregon (who I know have declined but are still a very dangerous team) I was suprised this line was so low......Oregon ST is nothing special on defense and are counting on a Freshman QB to carry them in Seth Collins...He is just barely throwing for a 50% COMP rate (50.2) and averaging only 5.4 YDS per pass......He is also their leading rusher but its such an ineffective play action as the defense does not care if he throws the ball......Arizona did not suddenly learn how to play "D" last week, they just played a weak offense.....On the other hand the WASH ST offense is very explosive, other than maybe Texas Tech they have the best passing game in CFB I have seen this year......They have arguably the best QB in CFB Luke Falk who leads the FBS in passes attempted and has completed 71% of them...He is averaging 400YDS passing per game, 15 TD's but what I think is most impressive is out of 275 attempted passes he has thrown only 2 INTS.....And its not like the Cougars cannot run the ball they just rarely attemp it....Between their starting RB and his 2 back-ups they only have 75 rushes but they average over 6 YDS per carry....They have a very strong O-Line....This is a team on the rise as they only start 6 seniors.....Mike Leach is putting together a team Cougar fans have not seen in 15 years when Mike Price was coaching.......Look for Luke Falk to do what he has done all year and what he did in his first career start against Oregon ST last year when he threw for 471 YDS and 5 TDS.......Bottom line Oregon ST just does not have the offense to hang around in this game and not nearly a special enough "D" to stop this potent offense....Oregon ST could very well get smashed again 44-7 like last week, but I am predicting a 38-17 type game......-8 - No problem.
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