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What is LSU's Record in Tuscaloosa last 15 Years?

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Posted: #26
I can easily see a 24-17 type of game....
 
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Posted: #27
Miles game plan has to be what his team can do. We have seen opponents take advantage of Bama's sideline confusion on defense and move the chains:Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Tex A and M (Manziel version), Ohio St; TCU showed that style works when they beat up a good defensive squad in Ol Miss in their last bowl game (Ole Miss again this year also with more NFL prospects than LSU or Alabama ). So it is safe to say that under 45 is going to be a winner to the final minutes of this one. There's not enough time in this shortened game.
But Alabama does not have a plus takeaway this year (so far), and 8 of those 11 turnovers are from interceptions (teams trying to carch up) and the SEC really has one legit NFL baller at that position (Dak at MSU). If LSU wins the turnover battle here, as I suspect they will, then they could have more possessions , and that is crucial in a ball control trench warfare game. Harris is NOT turning the ball over. And we know Fournette is solid . If LSU is up late, I trust Alabama can get even or get closer. In that very likely scenario, this can go over very late. Additionally, would it surprise anyone to see this one go OT?? 17-17...then they match scores in OT and kaboom! Over hits. But playing percentages, I prefer the under because the style of play will not be random, and rain should help coaches want to keep the air out of the ball early.
I do think both defensive lines and front seven will be putting pressure on the QBs. I question Cokers ability in the collapsing pocket over Harris run threat.
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:

I have zero faith in either of these quarterbacks . Under for me

8 TDs and 0 into in the last three games.

Zero Ints on the season - no reason to have any confidence in Harris
 
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Posted: #29
Lsu uses Harris to get to the edges
 
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Posted: #30
LSU .....
 
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Posted: #31
                                                             SU        line  ATS      OU
Nov 9, 2013    LSU    17    ALAB    38    L      -14.0    L      55.0     P
Nov 5, 2011    LSU    9      ALAB    6      W       -5.5    W     41.5    U
Nov 7, 2009    LSU    15    ALAB    24    L        -7.0     L      38.0    O
Nov 3, 2007    LSU    41    ALAB    34    W      +7.0    P      48.0    O
Nov 12, 2005  LSU    16    ALAB    13    W      +3.0    P      38.5    U
Nov 15, 2003  LSU    27    ALAB    3      W      +8.5    W     45.5    U
Nov 3, 2001    LSU    35    ALAB    21    W       -5.0    W     52.0    O
Nov 6, 1999    LSU    17    ALAB    23    L       -18.0    W    0.0    
Nov 8, 1997    LSU    27    ALAB    0      W      +6.0    W    47.5    U

head to head....vs conf....off / before bye
  *use oddsshark.com
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by lsufasteddie:

Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:

I have zero faith in either of these quarterbacks . Under for me
8 TDs and 0 into in the last three games.Zero Ints on the season - no reason to have any confidence in Harris


Harris has gotten better each game and has thrown for more yardage each game than the previous one. The only good defense he has faced this year though is Florida and they are not as stout as Alabama on D. He is the only QB so far this season with at least 80 pass attempts and no Int's. Think he goes up against a different animal this game though. Not sure he throws a pick but he will be forced to win the game for LSU. Question is do you trust him to do that?
 
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Posted: #33
Alabama is 0-5 ATS last five home games. Home field is no advantage here, butt only oddsmakers think it is.

Yes, Harris has only gotten better.

Added fact:

Miles has been substituting up to 8 linemen during offensive drives. They are preparing it appears for this game, when long time consuming drives ending in TDs are needed.
 
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Posted: #34
GREAT thread. 
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Relax_Dude:

Alabama is 0-5 ATS last five home games. Home field is no advantage here, butt only oddsmakers think it is.

Yes, Harris has only gotten better.

Added fact:

Miles has been substituting up to 8 linemen during offensive drives. They are preparing it appears for this game, when long time consuming drives ending in TDs are needed.

As a Bama fan I rarely bet on them except for the big games I feel confident about them covering the spread. Just like other teams you have some that will take them to cover every game which is idiotic. Vegas cares only about the money. They want the split and get the juice. They set the line to try and reach their goal of doing that. Bama under Saban I believe is barely over .500 against the spread. If he has a lead he will depend on his defense to win the game and get out with a W. He will not run a score up or try and cover a spread. Vegas sets the line in the Bama games knowing the public will bet them to cover which as I said before under Saban is barely over .500. I played the Under at 47.5 and see it is down to 45 tonight so there has been a lot of movement on that line since earlier today. Feel that is where the value was on this game.
 
 
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Posted: #36
Sept 03, 2016, less than 11 months away: Alabama vs Southern Cal (played in Texas I believe)
The new coach at USC has a tall order. They better start preparing now. I suggest they watch film of this one.

Meanwhile, back at the O.K. Corral: Rain's expected at Bryant Denny Stadium. LSU played in the rain last game also vs W. Kentucky.
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