Quote Originally Posted by Bruce_Willis:
after scanning through a few threads about this game, i have yet to see a good argument for them, besides fading Florida. i made this mistake last year, Florida laying 10 points against an upstart Alabama team with Saban at the helm? this is the same team as last year minus harvin, and alabama has degressed since last year, inexperienced QB and the hesiman hopeful questionable.....and you are asking me to cover 5 or 6 less points?
i would like to hear a legit writeup or argument for bama 
I will probably do a fairly extensive write-up on this game in the next day or so, but I will say that I disagree with virtually everything you said about this game.
First of all, with respect to Florida's offense, they are merely a shadow of what they were last year, and the scoring numbers bear that out. If you've watched this offense much at all this year, they have a very anemic passing game. Their offense is pretty much a one-dimensional Tebow offense this year.
Florida's offense has also struggled to sustain drives all year. The majority of their scoring this year has been accomplished on a short field. Bama is one of the most disciplined teams in the country, so Florida will most likely have to sustain drives to win this game. Personally, I don't see that happening.
Second, you obviously have not watched many Bama games over the past two years because this year's offensive is much better than last's year's version almost across the board. The only position where Bama is weaker than last year is at left tackle where Andre Smith departed.
McElroy is decisive upgrade at QB, the RBs are better, and the receivers are a huge improvement. Futhermore, this year's offense is much more multiple than they were last year. That is so because the offensive game plans were constantly simplified for QB John Parker Wilson, and because last year was OC Jim McElwain's first year on the job. McElwain has installed a much larger portion of his playbook this year which, as I said above, makes this offense much more multiple than last year.
Moreover, I can tell you that Bama has worked on special plays and formations specifically for this game virtually all year, so expect to see some surprises.
Ultimately, however, it is Bama's defense that will win this game. They will not let Tebow beat them, and with the possible exception of Hernandz, there is nobody in Florida's passing game that remotely concerns Bama. As I have said in other threads, Saban and Bama's defense will be very well prepared to shut down Florida, and I am supremely confident they will do just that. Florida WILL NOT score 20 points in this game!!!
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