WK 5 NCAA -----
Thursday Night Picks
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Pitt +2.5 – I don’t think that a home team on Thursday night should be an underdog again all season. Its such a tough environment for a road team to come into, especially one that is making a long trip on a short week. This is not the NFL keep in mind these guys have class during the week. Pitt has looked better in their two losses than they have in their two wins. Pitt had Iowa and N.D. on the ropes late and probably should be 4-0. South Florida got 5 gift turnovers from Notre Dame week one. They haven’t played anyone since. South Florida also has 3 defensive backs hurt, Look for Pitt to be able to score in this one as the home crowd boosts them to an outright victory over SF. Hold out on taking this game untin the last minutes as Pitt will probably move to +3 with the public all over USF.
Texas A&M -3 – Great spot to take the aggies here. Had they not blown that lead against OSU they come into this game 6 point favorites. Arkansas is still looking for an identity. This team struggled running the football last year, relying mainly on Ryan Mallet. With Mallet gone these guys really don’t know what they are offensively. Bama exposed Petrinos offense and overmatched them. Arkansas barely escaped Troy. I don’t seeing this game being to close. A&M is a legitimate top 10 team, I see Arkansas dropping out of the top 25.
Indiana +16.5 – Penn State is not a good offensive football team. Covering a 16.5 point spread on the road against a big ten opponent requires a team to have a very good offense. You have to assume that Indiana with a pretty decent offense (as seen against Virginia) will score at least 20 points. That means Penn State needs to for 38 to win here. Too many points.
Clemson +7 – I’m really impressed with Clemson. This is a bit of a public play but being able to hold off the Noles the way they did was no small task. This is the Hokies first tough task. They’ve played cupcakes the first month of the season. They may have a tough time adjusting to Clemson. Hopefully Clemsons punter can go after injuring himself in the FSU game, Beamers special teams can play a huge role in this one.
Oregon State/ASU over 51.5 – Osweilers offense continues to put up points and Arizonas defense continues to give up big plays. Oregon State isn’t getting out of this one on the road without giving up atleast 35-42 points. Keep in mind Sacremento State was able to put 29 against their piss poor defense. I could see ASU putting up 52 themselves in this one to be quite honest.
Bama ML – (LARGE) Looks like Vegas is quick to hop on the Gator Band wagon after a blow out win over a shit team. Kentucky is the most futile SEC school there is this year. Brantley and CO. has been fortunate to draw a relatively easy schedule early on, now it begins getting rough. Bamas defense is going to confuse the shit out of Brantley again. Last year bama blew these guys out 31-6, they still have Richardson who Florida is going to have to completely shut down if they want to stay in this game and they have to rely on Brantley not turning over the ball once, which is as likely as me playing center for the Celtics next year.
Ohio St/MSU over 43.5 – This game will be tight, two way scoring. Cant imagine either team being held under 21 points making this very likely to go over. Point totals in this game had been years low driving the line down, however in those years ohio state dominated MSU holding thing to one score. I don’t see Ohio State being strong enough defensively to do that this year.
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