Wrong team is the favorite

i agree I got Ohio St by 6

@demoman

 This is so far from the truth. OSU has a great chance of winning but in no way are they the better team. Don’t let a undermanned Clemson team make you think that. 

Ohio State may win, but the wrong team is not favored.  If they made this a pickem, 99.9% of the money would be on Bama.

Gotta be crazy to lay a TD let alone over that.. agree w BA here the line . Sermon is a MAJOR weapon that UF didnt have / OMISS either although they did have incredibly potent run game ... Think folks agree now OSU WR/TE extremely dangerous .. ... Line screamin for OSU money so injury news/covid news aside i think buyback will come in on Buckeyes and line tightens up .... expecting 6 sometime pre kick... maybe lower?... 4.5 if all good news (ie Fields broken spine doesnt look to impact him lol.. wow!)  ....... im grabbing +8-105 hope we can middle somewhere under a TD... 

What I don't like about Ohio State ..... and could be wrong sure

   * is the possible (emotional) letdown after such a huge win.... Bama seems to be carefully working towards / building UP TO this game....while Buckeyes were looking to CLEMSON....and NOW it's like... wtf we gotta play Bama now ?

As stated earlier ... Bama maybe coulda blown the Irish out (averaged almost 8 yds/play vs 4.7 for ND) ... likely we see Bama's best game here... where we (maybe) saw Ohio State's best game last week. Sounds unlikely, but possible they get Waddle back.... at least for spot duty.

BA no doubt ... listening to some podcast stuff sounds like they were insanely well prepped esp on D bottling up any kinda run from etienne or TL...which is like yeah duh stats say that too... but bama another animal to conquer and just no way u hit B2B grand slams like that w no possible way as good a d as they had LY..... thats really the big "letdown" potential in my view they dont stuff up bama's run not as prepared etc... folks might point to emotion its the CFP think less mental hangover, more prep hangover... although OSU has 2x the tape on clem/bama as they have on the bucks here...

Also cant imagine the Fields run threat will be very strong here ... bama got like 5 skulskis back there and Saban dont need to tell those guys to take risks layin EXTRA WOOD if hes scramblin around ... that massive hit clearly hampred him running for sure and maybe on rollout passes too?...  6 runs 53 yds no sacks pre hit vs zero runs 2 sacks and a pick.. 92% comp vs 61% counting sacks as att's... yeah passing sill good but seemed like it went from everything on the field was wildly successful to more bread and butter either short pass to sermon or bomb down field .. still make throws but limited to in pocket... def not tryin to hang out there for long ... already seen his ability drop like a rock w hand sprain so not like hes superman ... i can recall one QB who (appeared to.. or at least dad appeared to) put career first vs bama in a champ game .. not that fields would totally punk out but anything gets reaggrevated and real risk of being target practice .. if so gotta make a biz decision ... def gunna see a few extra props if that happens tho...boot, crutches maybe a body cast? lol .....they did get the clem monkey off their backs.. alot to be proud of... could be justified esp if down late...

idk somewhere between limited capability and risk of re-aggravating his injury gets significant quickly.. also he goes out even temp couple plays... zero snaps behind him this yr.. gunner hoak 30 or so garbage time att's at UK... .. coach opted for playoff/heisman resume builder for 60 minutes every game ... 

Could not agree more w BA and Bridge.  Got Ala ml and U 76 myself. Good thread.

All these comments by my man BA = 1 Million % correct  

@demoman  "I think Ohio State wins going away."

There isn't a team outside the NFL that's going to win "going away" against Alabama.  OSU could very well win, but it will be a dog fight 'til the very end.

Agreed, the wrong team is not favored. And kind of surprising how low the spread is.

After being favored by 18.5 against Notre Dame (and destroying them - backdoor cover), and considering Ohio St was a 7 point DOG against Clemson... I would've guessed Bama would be favored by -14 or more.  Like you said 99.9% of money would take Bama in a pick'em.... -275 money-line looks like an easy pairing for any money-line favorite you can think of. 

I'm picking big favorites in ncaab this week, and ending it with Bama football...  Just win baby!

@thorpe

 So you're saying 99.9% of people are idiots..

OSU may have a “chance” but Bama would crush the books if they were not the fav..  anything under 7 for Bama would put so much liability on places because of the amount of money that would come in .. Now will the line go down , I’m sure it will as more and more money comes in but no way could you “set” the line for OSU..

I agree with previous comments @OSU having some let down issues .. will that be , who knows , I personally “want” OSU to win but BAMA has too many playmakers ..  I just hope for a good game ..with all this said , I wouldn’t touch a side .. I may do what I always do for these “long break games” bet the high total under to start and play live overs if good middle’s play .. it’s just so hard this year with all the unknowns..who knows ??

GL either way