Not the sexiest card this week but I'm sure there are a few gems out there. Like a few but waiting to see where line is going.
BYU +18 $200 I can get behind the Cougars for multiple reasons. They have nice balance of run and pass, not flashy but effective. They have a nice +4 turnover margin. They are tough as nails and have one of the best road wins of the season at Wisconsin. Washington on the other hand, is not special. They aren't putting up huge numbers, they are doing just enough to get by so far. Both teams rank near the bottom in Tackles For Loss (Washington 119th, BYU 125th) so both will be able to move the ball and I'm getting 3 scores to play with. Very nice underdog here in the Cougars who have been playing solid football to start the year.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 10-3-1 +$1120
Not the sexiest card this week but I'm sure there are a few gems out there. Like a few but waiting to see where line is going.
BYU +18 $200 I can get behind the Cougars for multiple reasons. They have nice balance of run and pass, not flashy but effective. They have a nice +4 turnover margin. They are tough as nails and have one of the best road wins of the season at Wisconsin. Washington on the other hand, is not special. They aren't putting up huge numbers, they are doing just enough to get by so far. Both teams rank near the bottom in Tackles For Loss (Washington 119th, BYU 125th) so both will be able to move the ball and I'm getting 3 scores to play with. Very nice underdog here in the Cougars who have been playing solid football to start the year.
YTD: 10-3-1 +$1120Not the sexiest card this week but I'm sure there are a few gems out there. Like a few but waiting to see where line is going. BYU +18 $200 I can get behind the Cougars for multiple reasons. They have nice balance of run and pass, not flashy but effective. They have a nice +4 turnover margin. They are tough as nails and have one of the best road wins of the season at Wisconsin. Washington on the other hand, is not special. They aren't putting up huge numbers, they are doing just enough to get by so far. Both teams rank near the bottom in Tackles For Loss (Washington 119th, BYU 125th) so both will be able to move the ball and I'm getting 3 scores to play with. Very nice underdog here in the Cougars who have been playing solid football to start the year.
Nice start!
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Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:
YTD: 10-3-1 +$1120Not the sexiest card this week but I'm sure there are a few gems out there. Like a few but waiting to see where line is going. BYU +18 $200 I can get behind the Cougars for multiple reasons. They have nice balance of run and pass, not flashy but effective. They have a nice +4 turnover margin. They are tough as nails and have one of the best road wins of the season at Wisconsin. Washington on the other hand, is not special. They aren't putting up huge numbers, they are doing just enough to get by so far. Both teams rank near the bottom in Tackles For Loss (Washington 119th, BYU 125th) so both will be able to move the ball and I'm getting 3 scores to play with. Very nice underdog here in the Cougars who have been playing solid football to start the year.
Liked m but didnt quite know enough about m and like everyone else have visions of how poor the were last year . I agree gonna put a nugget on m . Wash Stayin close to AU is starting to not look so impressive either
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Liked m but didnt quite know enough about m and like everyone else have visions of how poor the were last year . I agree gonna put a nugget on m . Wash Stayin close to AU is starting to not look so impressive either
Do you have any input on Oky ST? Also, what about Memphis? If not Memphis surely the over right? Thanks.
OK State was gonna be my first play, saw opener at 17 and I kinda froze on it... It's their first road game and talent-wise it's a no-brainer but there is something that kept me from doing it. KU forces a hell of a lot of turnovers (albeit against bad teams) I finally saw the replay of the TT game and OKSt really got shut down by an undisciplined Red Raider defense. And if you saw my RSW's thread you know I wasn't high on Boise State, so that win doesn't seem that great to me. Cornelius still has question marks. I'm laying off of it.
Honestly have not looked at Memphis at all, one of the teams I'm trying to catch up on
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Quote Originally Posted by UGA520:
BOL brother.
Do you have any input on Oky ST? Also, what about Memphis? If not Memphis surely the over right? Thanks.
OK State was gonna be my first play, saw opener at 17 and I kinda froze on it... It's their first road game and talent-wise it's a no-brainer but there is something that kept me from doing it. KU forces a hell of a lot of turnovers (albeit against bad teams) I finally saw the replay of the TT game and OKSt really got shut down by an undisciplined Red Raider defense. And if you saw my RSW's thread you know I wasn't high on Boise State, so that win doesn't seem that great to me. Cornelius still has question marks. I'm laying off of it.
Honestly have not looked at Memphis at all, one of the teams I'm trying to catch up on
Florida Atlantic/Middle Tennessee State Over 60.5 $300 A little larger than normal wager for a total, but I really like it. To say both teams struggle on defense is an understatement. The Red Zone defense numbers for both are awful. In 24 combined opponents trips into the red zone, 23 have ended with a touchdown. 3rd down conversion % on defense is brutal also. MTSU ranks 128th allowing 57% success rate. FAU is 'slightly' better at 49% which ranks 123rd. Both of those stats say the offenses will be able to move at will. Also on the bright side, FAU RB Devin Singletary finally got into gear last week against UCF with 131 yards and 3 TD's. The last time these 2 met in Murfreesboro, they combined for 133 points in 2016.
New Mexico -7 $200 Lobos feeling good coming off a rivalry game win and a bye while Liberty is making the first of back-to-back trips into the state of New Mexico. Lobos have been sneaky good in the Red Zone, scoring TD's on 12 of 13 possessions. Liberty has allowed just under 800 rushing yards in their last 2 games and I expect New Mexico to exploit that with 60+ rushing attempts (they've had 66 and 62 attempts in each victory this year).
Kentucky +1.5 $200 Line is bouncing around on this game, I hear a lot of the money is on the Wildcats but I don't care. I see a wonderful trend about Will Muschamp coached teams. Muschamp coached teams are 6-18 against Top 25 opponents. That includes 4-11 vs. Top 10 teams, so that makes him 2-7 against those ranked 11-25. We saw what UK did last week to a Mississippi State team that I was very high on. They have a legit pass rush and the best offensive player on the field. Handling the attention may be an issue for them, but they should be confident against a South Carolina team that they have beaten 4 straight years.
Still a few I'm kicking around... Stanford is one. Should have played Nevada earlier in week, now sitting around the +4 mark, not sure I'll do that. All of these games start at 6pm or later so I'll be looking at some TT's and 2H's on the early slate for sure.
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Add:
Florida Atlantic/Middle Tennessee State Over 60.5 $300 A little larger than normal wager for a total, but I really like it. To say both teams struggle on defense is an understatement. The Red Zone defense numbers for both are awful. In 24 combined opponents trips into the red zone, 23 have ended with a touchdown. 3rd down conversion % on defense is brutal also. MTSU ranks 128th allowing 57% success rate. FAU is 'slightly' better at 49% which ranks 123rd. Both of those stats say the offenses will be able to move at will. Also on the bright side, FAU RB Devin Singletary finally got into gear last week against UCF with 131 yards and 3 TD's. The last time these 2 met in Murfreesboro, they combined for 133 points in 2016.
New Mexico -7 $200 Lobos feeling good coming off a rivalry game win and a bye while Liberty is making the first of back-to-back trips into the state of New Mexico. Lobos have been sneaky good in the Red Zone, scoring TD's on 12 of 13 possessions. Liberty has allowed just under 800 rushing yards in their last 2 games and I expect New Mexico to exploit that with 60+ rushing attempts (they've had 66 and 62 attempts in each victory this year).
Kentucky +1.5 $200 Line is bouncing around on this game, I hear a lot of the money is on the Wildcats but I don't care. I see a wonderful trend about Will Muschamp coached teams. Muschamp coached teams are 6-18 against Top 25 opponents. That includes 4-11 vs. Top 10 teams, so that makes him 2-7 against those ranked 11-25. We saw what UK did last week to a Mississippi State team that I was very high on. They have a legit pass rush and the best offensive player on the field. Handling the attention may be an issue for them, but they should be confident against a South Carolina team that they have beaten 4 straight years.
Still a few I'm kicking around... Stanford is one. Should have played Nevada earlier in week, now sitting around the +4 mark, not sure I'll do that. All of these games start at 6pm or later so I'll be looking at some TT's and 2H's on the early slate for sure.
Florida Atlantic/Middle Tennessee State Over 60.5 $300 A little larger than normal wager for a total, but I really like it. To say both teams struggle on defense is an understatement. The Red Zone defense numbers for both are awful. In 24 combined opponents trips into the red zone, 23 have ended with a touchdown. 3rd down conversion % on defense is brutal also. MTSU ranks 128th allowing 57% success rate. FAU is 'slightly' better at 49% which ranks 123rd. Both of those stats say the offenses will be able to move at will. Also on the bright side, FAU RB Devin Singletary finally got into gear last week against UCF with 131 yards and 3 TD's. The last time these 2 met in Murfreesboro, they combined for 133 points in 2016.
New Mexico -7 $200 Lobos feeling good coming off a rivalry game win and a bye while Liberty is making the first of back-to-back trips into the state of New Mexico. Lobos have been sneaky good in the Red Zone, scoring TD's on 12 of 13 possessions. Liberty has allowed just under 800 rushing yards in their last 2 games and I expect New Mexico to exploit that with 60+ rushing attempts (they've had 66 and 62 attempts in each victory this year).
Kentucky +1.5 $200 Line is bouncing around on this game, I hear a lot of the money is on the Wildcats but I don't care. I see a wonderful trend about Will Muschamp coached teams. Muschamp coached teams are 6-18 against Top 25 opponents. That includes 4-11 vs. Top 10 teams, so that makes him 2-7 against those ranked 11-25. We saw what UK did last week to a Mississippi State team that I was very high on. They have a legit pass rush and the best offensive player on the field. Handling the attention may be an issue for them, but they should be confident against a South Carolina team that they have beaten 4 straight years.
Still a few I'm kicking around... Stanford is one. Should have played Nevada earlier in week, now sitting around the +4 mark, not sure I'll do that. All of these games start at 6pm or later so I'll be looking at some TT's and 2H's on the early slate for sure.
Don’t know if it will matter but Liberty also travels from sea level to playing at over 5k feet. Just a minor detail.
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Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:
Add:
Florida Atlantic/Middle Tennessee State Over 60.5 $300 A little larger than normal wager for a total, but I really like it. To say both teams struggle on defense is an understatement. The Red Zone defense numbers for both are awful. In 24 combined opponents trips into the red zone, 23 have ended with a touchdown. 3rd down conversion % on defense is brutal also. MTSU ranks 128th allowing 57% success rate. FAU is 'slightly' better at 49% which ranks 123rd. Both of those stats say the offenses will be able to move at will. Also on the bright side, FAU RB Devin Singletary finally got into gear last week against UCF with 131 yards and 3 TD's. The last time these 2 met in Murfreesboro, they combined for 133 points in 2016.
New Mexico -7 $200 Lobos feeling good coming off a rivalry game win and a bye while Liberty is making the first of back-to-back trips into the state of New Mexico. Lobos have been sneaky good in the Red Zone, scoring TD's on 12 of 13 possessions. Liberty has allowed just under 800 rushing yards in their last 2 games and I expect New Mexico to exploit that with 60+ rushing attempts (they've had 66 and 62 attempts in each victory this year).
Kentucky +1.5 $200 Line is bouncing around on this game, I hear a lot of the money is on the Wildcats but I don't care. I see a wonderful trend about Will Muschamp coached teams. Muschamp coached teams are 6-18 against Top 25 opponents. That includes 4-11 vs. Top 10 teams, so that makes him 2-7 against those ranked 11-25. We saw what UK did last week to a Mississippi State team that I was very high on. They have a legit pass rush and the best offensive player on the field. Handling the attention may be an issue for them, but they should be confident against a South Carolina team that they have beaten 4 straight years.
Still a few I'm kicking around... Stanford is one. Should have played Nevada earlier in week, now sitting around the +4 mark, not sure I'll do that. All of these games start at 6pm or later so I'll be looking at some TT's and 2H's on the early slate for sure.
Don’t know if it will matter but Liberty also travels from sea level to playing at over 5k feet. Just a minor detail.
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