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Prospect
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Posted: #26
I missed your picks yesterday I'll make sure I keep an eye out today
 
Veteran
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Posted: #27
Great week.  
 
Veteran
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Posted: #28
Just an FYI: I was speaking of NFL totals in divisional play, not NCAA totals.

While you did great, there is a real danger for those who might tail.  Had Michigan not covered the -5, for instance, you go 3-7, losing 8 units (due to juice).  They did, so its all good, but that is the danger.

GL the rest of the way.  Looking forward to you nfl thoughts - or are you going over to the sandbox that is the NFL forum?
 
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Posted: #29
25.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Green Bay +12, Diego +10
26.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Green Bay +12, New England +7
27.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Green Bay +12, Arizona +6
28.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Over 40.5 NO/NYG, Dallas +16
29.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Over 34.5 Atl/Oak, Houston +12
30.  Carolina +1, Green Bay +12, Diego +10, Over 40.5 NO/NYG
31.  Carolina +1, Green Bay +12, New England +7, NYG +9
32.  Carolina +1, Diego +10, Over 34.5 Atl/Oak, Pittsburgh +10
33.  Carolina +1, Over 40.5 NO/NYG, Under 55 NE/MIA, NYG +9
34.  Carolina +1, Dallas +16, Philly +16, Arizona +6


Those are the final Week 2 picks.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

25.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Green Bay +12, Diego +10
26.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Green Bay +12, New England +7
27.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Green Bay +12, Arizona +6
28.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Over 40.5 NO/NYG, Dallas +16
29.  Carolina +1, Pittsburgh +10, Over 34.5 Atl/Oak, Houston +12
30.  Carolina +1, Green Bay +12, Diego +10, Over 40.5 NO/NYG
31.  Carolina +1, Green Bay +12, New England +7, NYG +9
32.  Carolina +1, Diego +10, Over 34.5 Atl/Oak, Pittsburgh +10
33.  Carolina +1, Over 40.5 NO/NYG, Under 55 NE/MIA, NYG +9
34.  Carolina +1, Dallas +16, Philly +16, Arizona +6


Those are the final Week 2 picks.

Don't forget Texans +12, Titans +19, Falcons +18, MIA/Pats Over 29.....
 
Rookie
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Posted: #31
Bandos, you're right Michigan could have not covered.  But I felt that game should have been -27 and with Colorado's history of barely being competitive even on their home field in a very mediocre conference, I could not see them coming within a touchdown of Michigan, particularly considering how bad they are on defense.  The QB did go down and I caught a break there.  I still think they cover otherwise.  But everything is weighted.  I do not include a team in 8 out of 10 of my plays or more unless I feel it's about 99% or higher that team covers.

I'll post all my NFL teasers here.  I mean I could start a thread there too if I want more people to see my picks.  Maybe I will, maybe I won't.  I could give an analysis of my picks but I play so many games so not sure I will do that.  Maybe the higher weighted games at some point.  I think one advantage I do have is I have a long memory of games played dating back several years and knowing the history of matchups is very important in making these plays.  
 
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Posted: #32
One more thing, look the 13 points is a monster advantage no matter what.  But if you randomly pick out teams you'll lose to the book.  What if I took FSU yesterday?  I didn't.  I strongly felt there was no way Louisville was losing at home by 14+ to a team that would have major defensive issues on the road.

You have to analyze and tease games in a way in which there is low variation.  Some games I tease I do not feel strong about straight up ATS, but with the points included I feel comfortable knowing that team almost never gets blown out that bad in that spot.  We'll see what happens today.  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #33

How good are Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State ?? SEC may not be the best league in the country. Notre Dame is always overrated as is Choklahoma.

 

 
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Posted: #34
So you lost 3 of your 10 already after the 1 PM games.....so what is the threshold in which you actually lose money?  Does 6-4 win or lose money with the higher juice?  
 
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Posted: #35
The break even point is 57%. So if I win out I am a solid winner.
 
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Posted: #36
Bets 28, 30, and 33 lost.  6 others won.  If the Eagles cover tonight, will be a 7-3 week.  A winning slate even if they lose however.  As mentioned above, the break even point is 57%.  Hopefully, we can make it a solid winning week 2 and get to 7-3 tonight.  

Still perfect on the year in college and NFL on sides.  Lost with a total in the NYG/NO game.  NO just flat out isn't a great offensive team on the road, and with the Giants giving away a good 10-13 points that prevented from NO getting into the hurry up and slowed the game down.  Pretty fluky score, but I will probably stay clear of totals from now on as I have not lost on a side this year.
 
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Posted: #37
So we went 7-3 in the NFL this week.  To Update -

14-1 in college
13-6 in NFL
27-7 overall

If you are betting $1,000 across all my picks, you are up $14k through 2 weeks.  And if you are a higher roller and can bet more than that, well you can do the math.  If you have a few hundred thousand at your disposal, I recommend betting 2-3k across the board every week and you should turn a 5 figure profit just about every week.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #38
Do any 10-pt 3-teamers? Am only asking because my book won't take 4-teamers.
 
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Posted: #39
Nice job man Good luck this week
 
Legend
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

So we went 7-3 in the NFL this week.  To Update -

14-1 in college
13-6 in NFL
27-7 overall

If you are betting $1,000 across all my picks, you are up $14k through 2 weeks.  And if you are a higher roller and can bet more than that, well you can do the math.  If you have a few hundred thousand at your disposal, I recommend betting 2-3k across the board every week and you should turn a 5 figure profit just about every week.

BOY...........I WISH I HAD A FEW HUNDRED THOUSAND AT MY DISPOSAL, I WOULD BE LAYING ON THE BEACH IN HAWAII DRINKING PINA COLADAS...............

GL THE REST OF THE SEASON

 
Prospect
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Posted: #41
  • ??? ?’ ?’?????=(•??)=e/????/’?’? ? this is a stick-upgive me ALL yo [_¯$_¯(_¯1_¯)_¯$_¯]! 
 
Captain
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Posted: #42
I missed out on this thread. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #43
My book doesnt offer 13pt teaser, but still a very interesting system. Will be following your post and BOL to you  
 
Rookie
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Posted: #44
Will have my picks up by tomorrow morning.  To answer a few questions -

I do 10 point teasers sometimes.  I do 6 point teasers often as well.  Actually, if you 6 point teasered every pick I gave last week all the ones that won with the 13 also hit with the 6.  Actually, ATS in college I was like 7-1 or 8-1.  Lost the Michigan game by a point.  I bet a lot of 6 point teasers myself.  I'm just sticking with the 13 for this thread.  I want to win every week.  With 6 points, I believe I am also a winner but if the lines are accurate there is less room for error.

Betonline and Bovada both do 13 point teasers.  I imagine if you live in Vegas they do 13 points as well, although I haven't made that bet type there ever so I can't confirm that.  If you're going to do an online book, I highly recommend betonline if you are in the states.  They have very high limits.  I think you can bet 2-5k on 13 point teasers there.  I think the NFL limit is 3-5k and college is 2-3k.  And they always pay out.  Bovada has 1k limits.
 
Captain
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Posted: #45
Good stuff....GL this week fluffy!!

 
Rookie
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Posted: #46
35.  Michigan -4.5, Baylor +5, Tennessee +8, Michigan St +9.5
36.  Michigan -4.5, Baylor +5, Tennessee +8, Iowa -1
37.  Michigan -4.5, Tennessee +8, Michigan St +9.5, Stanford +10
38.  Michigan -4.5, Michigan St +9.5, Utah St +18, Stanford +10
39.  Michigan -4.5, Michigan St +9.5, Ariz S +9.5, Arkansas +19
40.  Baylor +5, Tennessee +8, Michigan St +9.5, Stanford +10
41.  Baylor +5, , Michigan St +9.5, Utah St +18, Ole Miss +5.5
42.  Baylor +5, Iowa -1, South Car +15, Utah St +18
43.  Michigan St +9.5, South Car +15, Stanford +10, Ole Miss +5.5
44.  Michigan St +9.5, South Car +15,Ole Miss +5.5, Ariz St +9.5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #47
WHATS THE SKINNY ON TODAYS GAMES. MR TEASER
REMEMBER THIS THATS WHY THEY CALL THEM TEASERS, BUT I DO ENJOY PLAYING THEM. G.L. AND I LOOK FORWARD TO YOUR PICK.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #48
Yo fluffy the ole miss game is -7. Should I still take ole miss?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

35.  Michigan -4.5, Baylor +5, Tennessee +8, Michigan St +9.536.  Michigan -4.5, Baylor +5, Tennessee +8, Iowa -137.  Michigan -4.5, Tennessee +8, Michigan St +9.5, Stanford +1038.  Michigan -4.5, Michigan St +9.5, Utah St +18, Stanford +1039.  Michigan -4.5, Michigan St +9.5, Ariz S +9.5, Arkansas +1940.  Baylor +5, Tennessee +8, Michigan St +9.5, Stanford +1041.  Baylor +5, , Michigan St +9.5, Utah St +18, Ole Miss +5.542.  Baylor +5, Iowa -1, South Car +15, Utah St +1843.  Michigan St +9.5, South Car +15, Stanford +10, Ole Miss +5.544.  Michigan St +9.5, South Car +15,Ole Miss +5.5, Ariz St +9.5

Yo fluffy the ole miss game is -7. Should I still take ole miss?
 
 
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Posted: #50
10-0, fluff-dogg.  I can feel it.
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