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Arkansas State at UL Lafayette (10/23/2012)

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Posted: #26
Ark St 30 - 28 
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Trec:

Here's some logic for you. I took ULL last Tuesday and watched as the rajin' diarrheas blew a 14 point lead and not only didn't cover but lost. So why would i go against them this tuesday and have them stick it up my ass?
anyway, word from the beat writer in jonesboro is ULL covers this one.

I feel ya brother, same thing happened to me. But can't go by that logic. These are both mediocre teams and it seems like, just like last week, far too many people are on ULL. I'd take AK St and the 4 if I were to pick a side, but I like the Under a lot more.

Under 62. GL 
 
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Posted: #28
Waiting for my man to post so I can fade him and win again.  In the mean time I think ima go with OKC over the Bulls, perhaps ML and maybe the over.  Leaning ARKST at the moment.
 
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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by MasterNBA:

The trends don't tell me nothing and useless in gambling. I have to figure out where the money is heavy on one side and play reverse 

Trends are useless???.....so the whole covers matchup page is useless???.....I love trends and use them in different ways(sometimes follow and sometimes don't)....so you like the old "reverse" what other people are doing since you can't pick winners!!....ha ha....that wont work for long and if you can't pick winners you are wasting your time.........Trust me!.....I have a strategy that is sure to work mutch better for you.......You should pick the winner and do the oppisite!!.....be honest with yourself and research anyway you want.......just do the oppisite until you get better and learn from your mistakes........anytime I go into a funk that's what I do......good luck!

 

 
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Posted: #30
These two teams have both played on a Thursday this month with Ark St winning by 14 as a 1 point favorite and ULLF losing by 7 as a 4.5 favorite. Both games went UNDER. 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by MasterNBA:

The trends don't tell me nothing and useless in gambling. I have to figure out where the money is heavy on one side and play reverse 

 

i totally agree, so what is the play man?

 
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Posted: #32

Cajuns' top two receivers (Lawson and Peoples) have been upgraded to probable, but are still not 100% 

I think public generally does not now about these two teams (e.g. injuries) and are looking at -4 as a gift from the betting gods.  Meanwhile, Vegas is smiling down on us silly mortals. 

"RELEASE THE KRAKEN!"  Arky State plays D and keeps it close.

ARKANSAS STATE KRAKENS +4

UNDER 63

 

 
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Posted: #33
UL comes off a crazy lost
UL wins by 20 at home 
 
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Posted: #34
gotta like cajuns here....i backed them last week on road tilt,where they gave way in the second half.cajuns are much better team at home...3-0 so far this year...theyve covered 6 of 7 versus ark state .....coming off tough road loss i think home crowd, second national televised game,is just what the rajun cajuns need to get back on winning track...glta!...pirate

 
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Posted: #35
Tuesday UNDER special !!! Cheeeee! Hawaiians on top! gL
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by UL-LAFAYETTEKID:

another tuesday night special ..last week my early lean was on north texas at home and i decided to go with the cajuns and paided for it ...our defense was on the field to much because qb broadway kept passing 30 and 40 yards down the field,, going for the big play to much instead of checking it down or scrambling for the first down.....plus our top 2 recivers peoples and lawson are questionable ,,peoples with a shoulder injury ,,,so my early lean would be arsky st...plus the points .....being at cajun field thinking lafayette will be a 4 to 5 point favorite with a total around 61.....
 
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Posted: #37
ULL by 14
 
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Posted: #38
Guys, I typically will give my top three picks and reasoning behind it, etc. I'm a professional sports bettor and odds picker for an NFL-affiliate website. That being said, I went 11/14 this past weekend (NCAA Wins: BYU, Baylor, Michigan St., Kansas St., Fresno St., Arizona and Louisiana Tech - NCAA Loss: Texas A&M - NFL Wins: Colts, Saints, Packers, Jets - NFL Losses: Giants and Raiders) and have started off hot this week taking the Lions (+6.5) last night with the Over (7) in the NLCS and look to continue it with one of my top games of the week in Lafayette, LA! 
 
Long story short, take Arkansas St. (+3.5) with the points. The Red Wolves know how to score in bunches, even giving #4 Oregon a run for their money in the first game of the season (57-34). Arkansas State's 3 losses come to Western Kentucky, Nebraska and Oregon - which we all know are decent squads to match-up against (yes, even 5-2 Western Kentucky). 
 
Out of all of the NCAA football games this weekend, this is one of my top 5 picks for the week... even without the points. So, take the (+3.5) the Red Wolves are getting and if you must, take the over (62.5), as well. Cash it in, thank me later. Good luck, fellas!
 
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Posted: #39
Also got screwed betting ULL last week vs.NTexThink the safer bet here is UNDER 63
 
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Posted: #40
Public big on ULL and yet the line moves the other way !  

I'm taking the chalk ........ 
 
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Posted: #41
Tuesday night hang over UNDER 62 here for a puka shell
 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by Pricetopher:

Guys, I typically will give my top three picks and reasoning behind it, etc. I'm a professional sports bettor and odds picker for an NFL-affiliate website. ! 
 
Long story short, take Arkansas St. (+3.5) with the points. The Red Wolves know how to score in bunches, even giving #4 Oregon a run for their money in the first game of the season (57-34). Arkansas State's 3 losses come to Western Kentucky, Nebraska and Oregon - which we all know are decent squads to match-up against (yes, even 5-2 Western Kentucky). 
 
Out of all of the NCAA football games this weekend, this is one of my top 5 picks for the week... even without the points. So, take the (+3.5) the Red Wolves are getting and if you must, take the over (62.5), as well. Cash it in, thank me later. Good luck, fellas!

Ha Ha!!!......your a professional what???!!!!!......no way!.....so in your professional opinion you state that Arkansas St. gave Oregon a "run for their money"???....What game were you watching?  Oregon was up 29-0 in the first Quarter and up 50-10 at half?.....why would anybody listen to you when you don't know what your talking about!!!!....

 

 
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Posted: #43
Arkansas St. +4

 
 
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Posted: #44
LaLaf and over for the small
 
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Posted: #45
Damn, I hate posting stats that go against my gut but going with the gut is what gets betters into big trouble.  Digest this:

Arkansas St.
Overall Offense: 44
Pass Offense: 67
Rush Offense: 29
Overall Defense: 52
Pass Defense: 11
Rush Defense: 101
Red Zone: 57

UL Lafayette
Overall Offense: 104
Pass Offense: 101
Rush Offense: 79
Overall Defense: 81
Pass Defense: 112
Rush Defense: 37
Red Zone: 83

Seems like Arkansas St by the rankings will stop ULL better than UL Lafayette can score and Arkansas St. can score more than UL Lafayette can defend against...
 
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Posted: #46
Ark St. 1st Half +2.5 -105
 
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Posted: #47
well, lines are shifting. My total is 61.5, but i also jumped on ULLAF early and got a CRAP -4.5. I have seen it as low as -3. Im lil worried now about my ULLAF @ -4.5. Same thing happened to me last nite in the CHI/DET game. total opened at 47.5 i jumped on at over 47 and 30 min before gametime was 45. I did however hear about possible storms in the area, perhaps that was the reason.but then again mabye not. im really sick of playing these lines and then they inflate by 2+ pts
 
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Posted: #48
Why isn't anybody taking home team on a money line?  You won't have to worry about any spread. 
 
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Posted: #49
Just took ULL -4.5 and under 64.
 
 
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Posted: #50
took ULL -170 on money line & teased ULL +3 1/2 & over 55 1/2

good luck!

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