USC vs. Boston College..
Some stats...
- Neither of these teams come in playing well. BC has been outscored 46-58 in their last 3 games, while USC has been outscored 66-83 in their last 3
- USC is 3-9 ATS this year, BC is 6-5
- USC is 4-3 against bowl teams, BC is 2-3.
- The record of the teams USC has beaten is 45-51. The record for NC is 31-48 (not including their Division 2 victory)
- When Boston College loses, they lose by and average of 18.5. When USC wins, they win by an average of 17.9.
- Boston College is 10-2 straight up in their last 12 bowl games. USC is 9-3 straight up in their last 12 bowl games.
USC Offensive Breakdown:
Points Scored: 64
Total Yards: 58
Pass Yards: 68
Rush Yards: 40
BC Defensive Breakdown
Points Allowed: 18
Total yards allowed:23
Pass Yards Allowed:54
Rush Yards Allowed: 15
Analysis: USC offense has stalled as of late. They have averaged 20 points per game over the last 5 games. Boston college has a very good run defense. If they can shut down the run early, it may force Barkley to throw more often then they want. Boston College then could possibly force the freshman to make some mistakes. No significant advantage one way or another here.
BC Offensive Breakdown:
Points Scored: 71
Total Yards: 97
Pass Yards: 84
Rush Yards: 70
USC Defensive Breakdown
Points Allowed: 22
Total yards allowed: 42
Pass Yards Allowed:52
Rush Yards Allowed: 42
Analysis: Boston College offense is not very good, although they have averaged 24 points over their last 6. I don't expect the BC offense to have a lot of sucess. IF they come out and air it out early and surprise them, I think that may be their best bet. I think this game will depend solely on turnovers and special teams. Who ever can get the most points off of those, I think wins the game.
Other:
Net Punt Avg:
USC: 37.1 yards
BC: 37.2 yards
Yards per Kick Return avg:
USC: 18.9 yards
BC: 21.0 yards
Yards per Kick Return avg AGAINST:
USC: 24.6 yards
BC: 19.3 yards
Penalties / yards per game
USC: 7 / 63.4
BC: 5 / 44.7
3rd Down Conversion (offensive):
USC: 34%
BC: 30%
3rd Down Conversions (defensive):
USC: 38%
BC: 33%
Field Goals:
USC: 11/15 (73.3%)
BC: 13/14 (92.9%)
Red Zone Scores (offensive)
USC: 87%
BC: 90%
Red Zone Scores (defensvie)
USC: 82%
BC: 78%
Red Zone Touchdown (offensive)
USC: 63%
BC: 62%
Red Zone Touchdown (defensive)
USC: 55%
BC: 39%
Analysis: I'd take a long hard look at this section. With the lack of offense, the little things like these will play an even bigger roll. For example, BC is better in both Kick return yards for them and against then USC. That could mean say an avg of 10 yards better for BC then USC, so that would take on a bigger significance when there is lack of offense. Also, BC is much better in the penalty category. BC does not put them in 2 and 20 situations which would be almost impossible to pick up in this game. And then we get to the Red Zone touchdowns and field goals. BC defense does not allowe many touchdowns in the red zone. In a low scoring affair like this, getting touchdowns when you get in the red zone is huge. BC will be able to hold USC to field goals. Furthermore, BC has the better field goal kicker.
Final Analysis: This will be an ugly game. I just see nothing that will warrant USC winning big. You also have to look at who wants to be here. BC is probably THRILLED to go to a bowl game in California and escape the cold, while USC doesn't leave its home state. Also, will USC really get pumped up to play in the Emerald bowl after so many BCS bowls in a row? Have they already declared this a lost season? I think its a possibility. I think USC does just enough to squeak out the victory, but not enough to cover.
USC: 20
BC: 17
Boston College +7.5 Medium Play. Final Play. Sharp 
You better watch it .............lots of dogs have won the latest bowl games.....the dogs seem to want it more...BC will be fired up for being back in a Bowl game.....I like the points here.
polls,, and BC getting good production from back harris
so will take big number with BC squad THAT IS very happy
to be bowling,, look fo r BC;S huge O-line to wear down a fast but under sized USC D line....allowing harris
...............
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