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Cincinnati at Louisville (10/26/2012)

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Posted: #26

I believe Bearcats win this one outright...  I'll take my chances with the ML +140

 
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Posted: #27
Louisville m/l all day
 
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Posted: #28

Undefeated team, ranked 14th, only giving 3.5?

Duh !

 
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Posted: #29
ok guys raise your hand if you have seen louisville crush anyone! i'm undecided on this game but as of now i plan to wait for the line to move to 4 or 4.5 because the public will be all over louisville. having said that i'm leaning toward cinci. cinci has got no respect this year but has some talent. louisville is rarely impressive & doesnt have a big physical edge or explosive players. they just play solid, i think cinci matches up well vs louisville & i predict a 3 point game. louisville doesnt blow out any decent team & cinci has something to prove...not as a 2 &4 tem but as a 5-1 team. cinci is decent, there is no physical mismatch on the O-line or D-line, these 2 teams are not very far a part thats why the line is 3.5. like i said i dont love either side at the moment but dont jump on louisville because they are undefeated. thats silly. wait it out & maybe it will move to 4.5 because thats where the public money will go, especially on a friday night...CLEMSON was an easy bet but this is not
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Nhenley:

Cincy loss to fuckin Toledo...Enough said.

Louisville -3.5 LARGE!!!


Hey genius, Toledo is power ranked 35th in the nation.  Much better than Louisville's by the skin of your balls win over 69th ranked S. Florida.  Toledo is 7-1 this year.  S. Florida is 2-5.  It's clear you don't pay attention to anything that really matters in football huh?  You must see, "Oh WOW!  Ranked team ONLY giving -3.5 to an unranked team?"  There is a reason why bookies aren't stupid enough to set a line like -7 or -10 as an uneducated better like you may expect.  Even then I can see someone like you putting all your money on Louisville without a second thought to why the line seems so low. 

This is a rival match between these 2 teams for Nail Keg trophy which Cincy has 28-20-1 record, including winning the last 4 times that they have met up.  These wins were both at home and at Louisville.  ATS the last 4 meetings Cincy has the lead on that too at 3-1. 

There's an EXCELLENT chance the Bearcats win this outright as they are the type of team that LOVES to upset ranked teams.  

Everyone's pounding Louisville, so I'll have to go against them this week and take the points.  Maybe I'll wait close to game time since it's going up and giving me an advantage.   
 
People who say previous stats don't matter.  Well you're WRONG!  I've seen many times EVERY year in college football where a non-ranked team has BEATEN outright the heavily favored ranked team due to the history of these 2 teams against each other.  

Mull this over:

1. Cincinnati leads the all-time series 29-21-1 and has claimed each of the last four meetings.

2. In the last 4 meetings, the Bearcats are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS

3. The Bearcats have won five straight and nine of their last 10 against ranked conference opponents, including their last five away from home.

This isn't a team that will get bowled over and they don't SUCK this year like they haven't the last 3 years.  
 
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Posted: #31
Louisville hasn't played a full game yet this year, look for that to happen tonight versus a cocky Cincy team. Cincy Q'back has made statement that he is better than Louisville Q'back Bridgewater. NOT EVEN CLOSE! Louisville has posted this on locker room wall & has made several comments about it....Louisville by 10 or more!
 
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Posted: #32
Louisville 
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Whalewatcher:

Undefeated team, ranked 14th, only giving 3.5?

Duh !


DUH is right, u gotta be the dumbest mofo on this site. How'd that VIKINGS game work out for ya? I fade u everytime, stick to suckin' on bananas' u monkey. U suck at this!, LITERALLY!!! 
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Xyberz:


Hey genius, Toledo is power ranked 35th in the nation.  Much better than Louisville's by the skin of your balls win over 69th ranked S. Florida.  Toledo is 7-1 this year.  S. Florida is 2-5.  It's clear you don't pay attention to anything that really matters in football huh?  You must see, "Oh WOW!  Ranked team ONLY giving -3.5 to an unranked team?"  There is a reason why bookies aren't stupid enough to set a line like -7 or -10 as an uneducated better like you may expect.  Even then I can see someone like you putting all your money on Louisville without a second thought to why the line seems so low. 

This is a rival match between these 2 teams for Nail Keg trophy which Cincy has 28-20-1 record, including winning the last 4 times that they have met up.  These wins were both at home and at Louisville.  ATS the last 4 meetings Cincy has the lead on that too at 3-1. 

There's an EXCELLENT chance the Bearcats win this outright as they are the type of team that LOVES to upset ranked teams.  

Everyone's pounding Louisville, so I'll have to go against them this week and take the points.  Maybe I'll wait close to game time since it's going up and giving me an advantage.   
 
People who say previous stats don't matter.  Well you're WRONG!  I've seen many times EVERY year in college football where a non-ranked team has BEATEN outright the heavily favored ranked team due to the history of these 2 teams against each other.  

Mull this over:

1. Cincinnati leads the all-time series 29-21-1 and has claimed each of the last four meetings.

2. In the last 4 meetings, the Bearcats are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS

3. The Bearcats have won five straight and nine of their last 10 against ranked conference opponents, including their last five away from home.

This isn't a team that will get bowled over and they don't SUCK this year like they haven't the last 3 years.  
Hey genius how did that minny bet go for you ? Ohhhhhhh that's right you lost! Instead of ragging on someone's pick and thoughts why don't you go back to the drawing board and think about why all your picking losers.....
 
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Posted: #35
cincinnati +3.5
 
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Posted: #36
Bottom line i have rolled with cincy at the begining of the season and they made me money, squeaking by a couple of games i made add. Last week was an easy pick since i live in ohio and follow mac games toledo was an easy pick and loaded up on them like i will this week against buffalo. Cincy sucks, if anyone has watched their games at all even a quarter of a game you will see that there quarter back any of them that they play hahah are like munchkins . On average around 10 plus knocked down balls at the line. Easy win for louisville unless they get bored of dominating. Last week was easy with oregon, and last night was ridiculously easy with clemson -12 was my guys number, i did'nt even watch the game no need too it was wake forest! With what im up no need to bet this week however i am dropping a dime on louisville because well they are going to reroute cincy with out a problem! Good luck gentleman. Also 2 nights in a row on the giants as i said before they will sweep the series, possible lose one game
 
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Posted: #37
Sup Holt...make any money on that Clemson game? In reference to the line....it doesn't mean anything to me that the line dropped from 4.5 to 3.5...looking at history and stats (which cincy defense looks better on paper). "sharps" prob picked the advantage off heavy at 4.5...but if this line stays at 3.5 I'm picking LOU. If the line moves to 3 I'll believe that Cincy can pull off the win. Otherwise LOU wins by 4!!!

LOU -3.5
 
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Posted: #38
uc is about pull another upset
 
 
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Posted: #39
Cincy
 
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Posted: #40

Looking for Cincy to win this game outright.

Not sold on Lou being a top contenter

 
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Posted: #41
South Florida should won that game in Louisville last week.They slashed Louisvilles defense late in the game.Cincy have owned the Cardinals the last few years and I agree Cincinnatti was looking ahead.Im gonna tease this up 6.5 with another game for a dime.Taking the Bearcats +10.5 along with NC State + 14.5.
 
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Posted: #42

Woulda made millions but they point shaved the over in clemson game. Dammit boy!!!!

Quote Originally Posted by holtnt:



No!  I’m pissed off I was hard headed and didn’t tail you and Dr.Dogs instead of fooling around up in Minneapolis…  At any rate, Louisville rolls the Bearcats by a touch down…       


 
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Posted: #43
I stay away for anyhome team this week but if you guy bet on dog please go for the over . And if favor not at home if they come will be under cinn+ over is a good bet 
 
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Posted: #44

Playing the over in this one!

OVER 51.5

 
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Posted: #45

Bearcats 27

Cards 31

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #46
damn Cincin...? really i went 4-0 lastnight clemson+under and tampa +over...6-0 total this week so far.......now ya guyz thinkin Cin will come Cards house get this fukin beautiful year away from them>  i said fukNO Cards roll and will win moreby 10 and Over ..lol !!! wish i can be ya Bookie lmao
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by bkg1010:

With the Cardinals giving 3 at home this amounts to nothing more than a pick em. With 61% of the public on Louie and the line moving the other way, looks to me that the sharp money is coming in on Cincy. And the Bearcats have the better offensive numbers, with almost as good a defense.  With that being said;

Put me down for Cincy +3.5 / buying the hook I think.

Makes sense to me - however, 61% is not that large of an amount to know for certain if the public is on LV.  Probably are but a 70 consensus would make me feel better about your analysis.

Make any sense?   
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by lucky86:

damn Cincin...? really i went 4-0 lastnight clemson+under and tampa +over...6-0 total this week so far.......now ya guyz thinkin Cin will come Cards house get this fukin beautiful year away from them>  i said fukNO Cards roll and will win moreby 10 and Over ..lol !!! wish i can be ya Bookie lmao


Brilliant analysis - it is great that you contribute so much insight to this discussion
 
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Posted: #49
hey lucky 86,if you were our bookie,you'd be broke
 
 
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Posted: #50

Cincy will win this game out right.

 

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