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South Florida at Rutgers (11/12/2009)

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by lip2525:

The line moved off the ranked and made rutgers the favorite.

huh?.......

 
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Posted: #27
Not sure how much rain tonight, but looks like 20+mph winds are very likely.
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by SilvioDante:

huh?.......

S. Florida the ranked team opened as the favorite so they moved the line off s. florida to rutgers as the favorite. Why would they move the line off the ranked team to make the unrank rutgers team a favorite???Rutgers wins...lip
 
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Posted: #29

If this game were on a Saturday I would probably look elsewhere.  But it is the only game in town (or at least on TV) and I gotta have something to watch tonight.  So…

 

These teams are very similar.  Both teams are 6-2 with their only losses to Pitt and Cincinnati.  I guess I would call USF’s schedule slightly tougher with wins over Florida State and West Virginia, as opposed to the Knight’s wins against Maryland, Army and Connecticut.  Both teams coming off a bye week.

 

I guess this comes down to the fact that I was very impressed with the Bulls D two weeks ago against West Virginia.  They had lost two in a row and everyone was already predicting the late-season collapse that typically befalls USF.  However, they looked determined not to let this happen again and allowed the Mountaineers only 19 points.  Actually, if you take out the two loses, USF has allowed only 11 ppg on D (OK, 14.8 ppg if you also take out the two 1AA teams).  While, Rutgers points-against are in the same range, its not hard to shut down Army and Maryland (then the Huskies put up 24 against them last week).  Edge: South Florida.

 

Weather: Rainy, windy, low 40’s.  Has to help the team with the better D.

Historical trends: none that I can see.

Injuries: nothing game-changing

 

Rutgers opened as a one-point dog and has moved to a 2½-point favorite.  With the public basically split, I’m not quite sure how to interpret this.  Any suggestions?

 

Leaning USF, but I’ll wait to see if the line hits 3.

 
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Posted: #30
I like the over 44.5
 
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Posted: #31
Normally the team getting +2.5 ussually covers and the team -3.5 ussually covers...Same thing with -6.5 and -7.5...Just an observation that actually works a lot.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by BloodyShredder:

If this game were on a Saturday I would probably look elsewhere.  But it is the only game in town (or at least on TV) and I gotta have something to watch tonight.  So…

 

These teams are very similar.  Both teams are 6-2 with their only losses to Pitt and Cincinnati.  I guess I would call USF’s schedule slightly tougher with wins over Florida State and West Virginia, as opposed to the Knight’s wins against Maryland, Army and Connecticut.  Both teams coming off a bye week.

 

I guess this comes down to the fact that I was very impressed with the Bulls D two weeks ago against West Virginia.  They had lost two in a row and everyone was already predicting the late-season collapse that typically befalls USF.  However, they looked determined not to let this happen again and allowed the Mountaineers only 19 points.  Actually, if you take out the two loses, USF has allowed only 11 ppg on D (OK, 14.8 ppg if you also take out the two 1AA teams).  While, Rutgers points-against are in the same range, its not hard to shut down Army and Maryland (then the Huskies put up 24 against them last week).  Edge: South Florida.

 

Weather: Rainy, windy, low 40’s.  Has to help the team with the better D.

Historical trends: none that I can see.

Injuries: nothing game-changing

 

Rutgers opened as a one-point dog and has moved to a 2½-point favorite.  With the public basically split, I’m not quite sure how to interpret this.  Any suggestions?

 

Leaning USF, but I’ll wait to see if the line hits 3.

 

Any thoughts on SF/CHI???

 
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Posted: #33
chicago needs the win more. the passing game is better than sf and the tight ends are better. take chicago
 
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Posted: #34

Teased Rutgers at +11 with Ohio +11.5 (who won tuesday) and No. Ill -7.  Now that Rutgers is favored, don't know if I would tease them, but teasing the Bears to +13 seems like a solid pick as well.

 
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Posted: #35
So.Fla buying 15 points.

bigeiii
 
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Posted: #36

im not sure about this, but didnt s.fla beat fla.st. in a really rainy game. i think these guys play well in the shity wx.  i know the wx is rally windy and rainy. rutgers is a letdown for me year after year. s.fla gets up for big games.

 

 
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Posted: #37
Bowling Green / No.Ill / & the under in  this SF vs RUT game are the best CFB bets tonight in my opinion, im bettting N.Ill for $2000. Bowling Green for $1000 & the under in SF/RUT for $1000......3 team 7pt teaser for $2500 w/ those 3 as well.......if I had to pick a side in this one I would go with South Florida simply b/c I think they have the faster athletes in this game and are getting pts
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by BloodyShredder:

Leaning USF, but I’ll wait to see if the line hits 3.

I bought the half point...

SOUTH FLORIDA +3

 
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Posted: #39
This Bull team has looked like shit recently I have absolutely know idea how in the hell they beat FSU, though I was happy because I had +14. Gotta go with the home team here however -- R -2.5
 
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Posted: #40
i think mitchell's absence hurts the bulls chances tremendously here
 
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Posted: #41
Anyone see the line dropping in the Ball State Game??? Now at +16.5...I am thinking Ball State is the pick.
 
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Posted: #42

Anybody know if Carlton Mitchell is playing?

He is the key..

 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Rockdog:

At first glance, my lean is Rutgers just because they are playing at home. However, Rutgers has not really beaten a quality opponent.  They have already lost to the 2 quality opponents in Cincy and Pitt at their own home field. Go Figure!

Rutgers has beaten Connecticut, NC State, and Louisville.  These 3 teams are not considered quality teams, so don't even think about ti.

On the otherhand, SF has beaten 2 quality teams in West Virginia and Florida State.  I just think that SF's speedy fast defense will cause havoc on Rutgers' offense, esp the freshman qb. He has played decent, but he is still a freshman and SF's defense will try to take advantage of his inexperience.  SF's qb is also a freshman but he is a stud. He can throw the ball deep and run with the ball, so I think that's too much for the Rutgers' defense to contain.

I think the weather is supposed to be windy and rainy on Thurday night, so careful about playing the over.


You think Conn is not a quality program but South Florida is???
 
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Posted: #44
rutgers deff is ranked 3ed in big east and south fla is without top rec carlton mitchell/the bulls rank 1st in pass deff// south fla has had problems in the pass with rutgers;; throw in the cold rain//// im takeing rutgers and the under;;;;;; feed the dog;
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by BloodyShredder:

If this game were on a Saturday I would probably look elsewhere.  But it is the only game in town (or at least on TV) and I gotta have something to watch tonight.  So…

 

These teams are very similar.  Both teams are 6-2 with their only losses to Pitt and Cincinnati.  I guess I would call USF’s schedule slightly tougher with wins over Florida State and West Virginia, as opposed to the Knight’s wins against Maryland, Army and Connecticut.  Both teams coming off a bye week.

 

I guess this comes down to the fact that I was very impressed with the Bulls D two weeks ago against West Virginia.  They had lost two in a row and everyone was already predicting the late-season collapse that typically befalls USF.  However, they looked determined not to let this happen again and allowed the Mountaineers only 19 points.  Actually, if you take out the two loses, USF has allowed only 11 ppg on D (OK, 14.8 ppg if you also take out the two 1AA teams).  While, Rutgers points-against are in the same range, its not hard to shut down Army and Maryland (then the Huskies put up 24 against them last week).  Edge: South Florida.

 

Weather: Rainy, windy, low 40’s.  Has to help the team with the better D.

Historical trends: none that I can see.

Injuries: nothing game-changing

 

Rutgers opened as a one-point dog and has moved to a 2½-point favorite.  With the public basically split, I’m not quite sure how to interpret this.  Any suggestions?

 

Leaning USF, but I’ll wait to see if the line hits 3.



Well, when a ranked (or higher ranked team and/or higher profile) team is getting points, i usually bet the other side.  If I bet this game, it will be on Rut.  And the line movement is unnecessary,  with the money split, why make the ranked team a dog??  only reason is to get more money on them...

 the line and its movement suggests Rutgers all the way.
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by ontheedge:

Normally the team getting +2.5 ussually covers and the team -3.5 ussually covers...Same thing with -6.5 and -7.5...Just an observation that actually works a lot.


This is one of my secret angles i use.  Not so much 6.5/7.5 but the 2.5/3.5
 
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Posted: #47
about that bears-49ers game qb alex smith has been working out of the shotgun all week and looking very good// look for alot of pts tonight//; feed the dog;;;
 
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Posted: #48

RUTGERS WINS end of story...once again they moved the line off the ranked bulls squad and made rutgers who has beat nobody to a 2' pt favorite. I was all over the bulls vs w.virginia knew they matched up perfect but rutger's has a very good fit for the bulls thats why they have always given s.f. fits. ...And stop mentioning  florida state as a big win...in past years i would say ok..its a huge win but f.s.u. has a defense that would surrender forty ponts in the b league in flag football. Big game at home and believe me the press has ripped rutgers for not having a big win vs a ranked team....well here's your chance rutger's on espn in front of the world..Rutgers by 8...LIP

 
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Posted: #49
Knights and the over here.......I like the ingame parlay....but I'm not going to do it.  But I would recommend it if you were up on the week so far.
 
 
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Posted: #50

Scarlet Knights for sure..

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