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2013 Formula 1 thread

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Posted: #51
Adding Hamilton -130 over Alonso. Love this play.
 
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Posted: #52
Adding
Hamilton +115 over Rosberg
Rosberg -110 not finish top 3
 
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Posted: #53
Next stop...Korean Grand Prix

The odds on Vettel are crazy.  He's -150 to win this race...and I still can't stay away.  I'm on Vettel, and I'm going sprinkle a little on Alonso.  He's the only one that mathematically can catch Vettel so I think they are going to pull out all the stops the next few weeks.  If Vettel wins 2 more races, he wraps it up.

To win:
Vettel -150
Alonso +550

Top 3:
Alonso -170

Top 10
Nico Hulkenberg -110 (really like the way he's been driving the last 2 races, and they seem to be getting the setup right on his car).

Would love to find a good matchup with Massa.  Since the announcement that he's out a Ferrari, he's been driving aggressive and getting good finishes (maybe he should've tried that earlier this year).
 
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Posted: #54
Japanese Grand Prix

Had a nice week last week...gonna have pretty much the exact same picks this week.

Chance for Vettel to wrap up the championship with a win (and cash in lots of future bets for me ), and even though he's a hilarious -190 to win...I still can't stay away.  I'll I'm him, and again I'll sprinkle a little on Alonso to win at +1000.

Adding Alonso Top 3 -105

Hulkenberg -150 Top 10 (he's been in terrific form recently)
 
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Posted: #55
Adding

Rosberg -130 over Massa
Vettel -200 over Webber
 
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Posted: #56
Alonso -110 over Kimi

For fun-put a small wager on Vettel +180 to lead the first lap.  Love his starts, and Webber has struggled.  I think Vettel clears him by the 2nd turn.
 
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Posted: #57
Going to India where Vettel and Red Bull can wrap up everything this weekend...

Apparently, the books are sick of getting crushed by Vettel backers, so they've made him a completely insane -220 to win the pole, and to win the race.  And for good reason.  Since 2011, there have been 2 races here.  He's won every pole, and led every lap.  There isn't any other driver that's ever dominated a track like this.  Even though it's a terrible bet, I'm going to back Vettel at -220 this week.  The only other bet I'm going to make right now is my favorite bet for this race.

Webber -155 top 3.  He's been very fast the last few races, and I see him following Vettel across the line in 2nd here.

When matchups come out I'm going to look at fading Kimi (he's not very confident on this track), and supporting Hulkenberg and Button.  Wanted to pull the trigger on Hulkenberg top 10, but it's -300...little out of my range.
 
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Posted: #58
Got one of the matchups I wanted after qualifying.

Alonso -130 over Kimi

Alonso is waaaay faster than where he qualified.  He should be past Kimi within a couple laps.  Ferrari's were very fast all weekend...I look for Alonso to be in the top 5 at least.

Grosjean -130 over Jenson Button

Grosjean and his team totally wiffed on their setup for Q1.  As a result, we get a good matchup here against Button who doesn't have a car nearly as good as Grosjeans.  Race starts at 5am...more matchups posted within an hour or so of start time.
 
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Posted: #59
Rosberg +105 over Kimi
 
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Posted: #60
Bittersweet race...

I got the bada$$$ matchups with Alonso and Kimi...Alonso flies off the grid to start the race...passes half the guys in front of him...and then promptly gets run into.    That being said, he still almost finished ahead of Kimi.  My favorite bet of the race was Webber top 3...he was flying...and then his alternator fails. 

Had the winner, went 2-2 in the matchups.  First race in a long time I've come out down a little.  Guess it was bound to happen.

On the good side, Vettel and redbull clinched their titles...I was able to cash a ton of my future bets.  Hopefully everyone else did as well!  Probably will take it easy the last couple races of the year...with the Championship being wrapped up the races could be a little more unpredictable.
 
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Posted: #61
Abu Dhabi race!!!

Vettel still a crazy -255 to win...I'm gonna be on him again.  Normally I would think this would be a good spot to support his teammate since he's wrapped up the championship, and the constructors title...but I don't think Red Bull wants Webber to win.  Webber is not being quiet about how frustrated he is, and with him leaving F1 at the end of the year I think Red Bull is going to want/plan to have Vettel set the record for most wins in a row.

Gonna support Alonso at +195 for top 3.  Need a good qualifying run out of him so he doesn't have to pass 9 cars at the beginning of the race and get into a wreck like last week.  Also going to be on Hulkenberg -220 top 10.  Can't wait til matchups to fade the Force-India cars.  They made some bold moves last week to finish in the points at their home track, but they hate the new tyres.  Look for inflated lines against Sutil and Di Resta after qualifying.
 
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Posted: #62
possibly Grosjean in a matchup?? he has certainly stepped up his game. Congrats on Vettel winning the championship and good luck  
 
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Posted: #63
Love it!
 
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Posted: #64
Thanks guys

I'd love to see Grosjean have another bad qualifying run.  Get some great value in a matchup with him.  He's gonna be top 5 for sure.
 
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Posted: #65
Kimi sent to the back of the field for failing qualifying inspection.  Can't wait to see the matchups.

Alonso starting 10th...could be tough to jump up to top 3 with Hamilton and Rosberg looking strong.

This is why when the championship is over, you don't bet on pole winner.  Webber on pole...a major upset over Vettel.  Pole winner becomes a complete tossup.  Looking forward to the matchups and lines posted on this race.  Could be some really juicy ones with qualifying being a little crazy. 
 
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Posted: #66
Took a shot on Vettel -160. I think he wants to keep the streak going as long as he can and he is just cocky enough to pass his teammate to do it.
 
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Posted: #67
GL Angelus...I'm with you on it.

Not super happy with my pre-qualifying wagers.  Most of the times this year I've been in front of the number movement...not this time.  Also didn't get the matchups I was hoping for.  Not super confident about this race, but here we go.

Adding:

Kimi Top 10 -285
No safety car -145
Alonso Top 6 +100
Hulkenberg -140 over Massa
 
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Posted: #68
It's a ton of juice, but I'm going to lay it.

Hulkenberg -300 vs. Maldonado
 
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Posted: #69
Well, Hulkenberg was going fine last race until he called for a pit violation, and had to serve a drive through.  That was the only time I've seen that called this season, and of course it was on the race that I had a lot invested in him.  Couple that with Kimi going out on the first turn, and it wasn't a good race for me.  Oh well, on to the US Grand Prix!!!

Vettel is -260 to win...gotta be on him again.
Also taking Hulkenberg -200 Top 10.  He burned me last week, but he's been a gold mine this season.

That will do it for now. 
 
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Posted: #70
 
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Posted: #71
Adding some plays right now:

Grosjean top 3 -125
Fastest lap field -115 over Vettel
Jean-Eric Vergne -145 over Maldonado (favorite play right now)
 
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Posted: #72
Great race last week...4-1

Brazil to finish the season!!!

Top 10 (strange odds on some of these)
Hulkenberg +110
Massa +160
Rosberg -180

Vettel -275 to win
 
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Posted: #73
Just keep playing vettel he is free   
 
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Posted: #74
Dimes took away my bets and refunded my money from the Hulkenberg, Mass, and Rosberg bets.  Guess they realized the lines were wrong.  Shoudn't have wagered so much on them...maybe they wouldn't have noticed.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Last plays of the year in F1

Grosjean -120 over Hamilton
Vergne -115 over Bottas (love this play)
Alonso -120 top 3
Hulkenberg -185 top 10
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