England play the Sri Lankans tonight and the notoriously Jekyll and hyde Pakistan play Zimbabwe also, The run totals are released 15 minutes before the first bowl. The coin toss takes 30 minutes before the first ball, and winner of the coin toss can decide whether to bowl or bat first by assessing conditions, If it's sunny as Miami and you win the coin toss, Odds are the captain will decide to bat, If it's cloudy and windy, The captain will most probably decide to bowl as the ball will grip onto the pitch better making it hard for the batsman to score runs HOWEVER, Just because it is sunny and you bat first doesn't mean, You are guaranteed to hit the over on the run total and just because it's cloudy and windy doesn't mean you are guaranteed to get the under on the run total.
Sometimes when it's sunny and a team bats first, The batsmen can get cocky and complacent and can assume the bowlers will get all sweaty and tired and they are entitled to make easy runs, Which makes them lose concentration and can end up getting them playing shots they normally wouldn't, You also tend to lose value when a side decides to bat first on a sunny day as the run total gets inflated by 20/30 runs, Same way the run total can get decreased on a cloudy and windy day.
The odds for England v Sri Lanka are currently, England -125, Sri Lanka +100, My predicted run totals for England would be around 270.5, If the total opens up anywhere around that, I'd take a look at the conditions and line up and would advise a bet on the over if you have spare change lying around for fun. If the run total for England opened up at 285.5 etc, I'd stay away as that would not warrant what England deserve, We are not a great side and 285.5 would be getting us at a higher number than we deserve. If Sri Lanka batted first, I'd love for them to be getting 290.5, Especially if it was sunny as I'd bet the under hard, 290.5 would be represent the odds makers expect England to continue their woeful bowling displays despite Sri Lanka not being as good as we are bad.
I personally think we can win this game but it really is dependant on what the conditions are and what the respective captains do, We're a team that don't play well under pressure, So if we win the coin toss and bowl first, I'd be slightly worried as the expectancy to bowl well could get to our flakey bowlers, Same would be if we won the coin toss and batted first on a sunny day.
I won't be able to bet the Pakistan v Zimbabwe game since it starts around 3.30 am here and hopefully, The England v Sri Lanka game will be near it's conclusion by then as it starts 10pm UK time, Pakistan should thrash Zimbabwe but they will be nervous as it's sort of a must win game for them and plus Zimbabwe are off the back of a major shellacking, If Pakistan bat first, Bet the under as you could get a high number which they don't deserve, Something around 320.5.