Disclaimer right off the bat, I'm not taking shots here it's an honest discussion.
This bowl season there have been tons of threads / posts / opinions that have been hugely off indicating a hole in the processes of some.
Most of the time you can tell who is handicapping, guessing, here for entertainment, or here for attention.
But what amazes me is the strength of opinion without the slightest inclination that something outside that opinion is even on the spectrum of probabilities or even possibilities.
But how many reflect on both wins / losses to see if their objective and subjective handicapping was on point or if something was missed? If not, I recommend adding this to the process.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Disclaimer right off the bat, I'm not taking shots here it's an honest discussion.
This bowl season there have been tons of threads / posts / opinions that have been hugely off indicating a hole in the processes of some.
Most of the time you can tell who is handicapping, guessing, here for entertainment, or here for attention.
But what amazes me is the strength of opinion without the slightest inclination that something outside that opinion is even on the spectrum of probabilities or even possibilities.
But how many reflect on both wins / losses to see if their objective and subjective handicapping was on point or if something was missed? If not, I recommend adding this to the process.
But how many reflect on both wins / losses to see if their objective and subjective handicapping was on point or if something was missed? If not, I recommend adding this to the process. GREAT ADVICE!
There is a saying in this game "Paralysis By Analysis" it happens to the best of us. You have to be selective in your gathered information and not listen to the masses. Find someone you value and stick with them, otherwise you can talk yourself out of a bet you wanted to make. I do STRONGLY advise what you suggest though. When a bet turns out to be a losing proposition, the two excel spreadsheets I use for football do get revisited. Sometimes it's something as simple as a data entry error that throws your calculations off and other times, you'll find out that you really made a GLARING mistake!
The one thing you CANNOT do if you are taking this seriously is to cut corners! In the beginning that was something I did and paid a HUGE price for it. Anybody that wants to start handicapping and take it seriously will find it's equal to a second job and it will change your life structure around, so you need to prepare for that.
The best piece of advice I can give again is as I stated above, find a website or podcast that you enjoy and use it like this,
1) If you both pick the same team increase your wager a little bit. (I usually go as high as 1.5 of the amount of my base bet)
2) If you find that you have picked opposite sides (I lower the wager to 1/2 the size of the base bet or will sometimes just throw the game out)
3) Remember that you NEVER bet your eating money and you can't eat your betting money!
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But how many reflect on both wins / losses to see if their objective and subjective handicapping was on point or if something was missed? If not, I recommend adding this to the process. GREAT ADVICE!
There is a saying in this game "Paralysis By Analysis" it happens to the best of us. You have to be selective in your gathered information and not listen to the masses. Find someone you value and stick with them, otherwise you can talk yourself out of a bet you wanted to make. I do STRONGLY advise what you suggest though. When a bet turns out to be a losing proposition, the two excel spreadsheets I use for football do get revisited. Sometimes it's something as simple as a data entry error that throws your calculations off and other times, you'll find out that you really made a GLARING mistake!
The one thing you CANNOT do if you are taking this seriously is to cut corners! In the beginning that was something I did and paid a HUGE price for it. Anybody that wants to start handicapping and take it seriously will find it's equal to a second job and it will change your life structure around, so you need to prepare for that.
The best piece of advice I can give again is as I stated above, find a website or podcast that you enjoy and use it like this,
1) If you both pick the same team increase your wager a little bit. (I usually go as high as 1.5 of the amount of my base bet)
2) If you find that you have picked opposite sides (I lower the wager to 1/2 the size of the base bet or will sometimes just throw the game out)
3) Remember that you NEVER bet your eating money and you can't eat your betting money!
Short answer, yes. You’re learning as you go- I think that applies to many of us. If you’re not analyzing your bets then just throw darts? There should be a wide range of responses to this question because I’m thinking there should be some different styles of gamblers and bettors. Some people might not care for the analysis.
Nuthin but a g thang baby
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Short answer, yes. You’re learning as you go- I think that applies to many of us. If you’re not analyzing your bets then just throw darts? There should be a wide range of responses to this question because I’m thinking there should be some different styles of gamblers and bettors. Some people might not care for the analysis.
In horse racing, I review races as a normal course of capping as many things can change from one race to another such as distance of a race, jockey/trainer/ownership changes, track conditions etc.
If you not learning, you're wasting your time/money.
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It's a must IMO.
In horse racing, I review races as a normal course of capping as many things can change from one race to another such as distance of a race, jockey/trainer/ownership changes, track conditions etc.
If you not learning, you're wasting your time/money.
It's a must IMO. In horse racing, I review races as a normal course of capping as many things can change from one race to another such as distance of a race, jockey/trainer/ownership changes, track conditions etc. If you not learning, you're wasting your time/money.
GREAT POST!
One of the MOST difficult things for me in this great game was first learning how to handicap the "Condition Races" When you see those NW OC (other than) 1,2,3 X for horses that have not won a race since Dec 15th allowed four pounds. For winners of a race since then allowed 2 pounds. Claiming price $50,000 and then for every pound they take off of the horse they drop the claiming price. In this case, let's say $35,000. At first, I could not make heads or tails out of these conditions.
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Quote Originally Posted by Midnight1:
It's a must IMO. In horse racing, I review races as a normal course of capping as many things can change from one race to another such as distance of a race, jockey/trainer/ownership changes, track conditions etc. If you not learning, you're wasting your time/money.
GREAT POST!
One of the MOST difficult things for me in this great game was first learning how to handicap the "Condition Races" When you see those NW OC (other than) 1,2,3 X for horses that have not won a race since Dec 15th allowed four pounds. For winners of a race since then allowed 2 pounds. Claiming price $50,000 and then for every pound they take off of the horse they drop the claiming price. In this case, let's say $35,000. At first, I could not make heads or tails out of these conditions.
I remember a few weeks ago over here in UK it was Responsible Gambling Week and they (all the sportsbooks) sent out emails and one had a few tips about the usual money management, not chasing, no such thing as a lock etc etc but one thing that was brought up was keeping a diary or written record of your bets and a few brief points on why you bet that team
Not only that but to also look back over your journal and see where you were going right and where you were going wrong in the past
I used to do this years ago keeping a record of bets in notebooks but now don't have time but I do like to keep notes on certain sports or teams from time to time
and I'm actually starting to do this with Euro hockey at the moment
Keep Calm and Bet 10 Play Over Parlays
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I remember a few weeks ago over here in UK it was Responsible Gambling Week and they (all the sportsbooks) sent out emails and one had a few tips about the usual money management, not chasing, no such thing as a lock etc etc but one thing that was brought up was keeping a diary or written record of your bets and a few brief points on why you bet that team
Not only that but to also look back over your journal and see where you were going right and where you were going wrong in the past
I used to do this years ago keeping a record of bets in notebooks but now don't have time but I do like to keep notes on certain sports or teams from time to time
and I'm actually starting to do this with Euro hockey at the moment
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and they (all the sportsbooks) sent out emails and one had a few tips about the usual money management, not chasing, no such thing as a lock etc etc but one thing that was brought up was keeping a diary or written record of your bets and a few brief points on why you bet that team 
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