Wrestlemania 32 Odds Discussion
I played:
1. Shane McMahon (+250) for 2.5 units
Two weeks ago, Shane was at +250. Shane is now -115 for whatever its worth.
I can see a scenario with HHH and Shane both winning. It's crazy but its not that crazy. Remember the WWE is always thinking about the next day (in theory, depending on whether or not you believe Punk during the Cabana interview -- they may not have had plans for him, but they definitely do for Reigns or HHH or Shane). I could see a Shane running Raw, conflict with champion HHH, sets up more storylines with Steph that helps blur reality... its not insane to think about. Taker's such a company man that he would gladly lose to his (I understand) real-life friend Shane McMahon, especially if the payoff is huge (i.e., Shane starts running Raw and kick-starts the next "era" in WWE). Taker and the McMahons are close. He'll do the job and he'd doing it willingly and happily. He knows his legacy is secure.
To me, you ONLY set up the stipulation of taking over Raw if Shane is going to win. Otherwise, why the stipulation? It would make no sense from a storytelling perspective.
I could see Sasha losing to either girl. The case for Charlotte is easy -- I really think she should have the title for say, another year. Make her huge and then NEXT year, let Sasha win it from her for the feel good moment. It's too soon in their journey to be done correctly. The case for Becky is the same case as Edge/Christian had in the TLC matches: not the most popular at all, the one who is really "forgotten" in the hype, but the one who walks away the winner at the end.
I think Lesnar wins. Ambrose does something crazy but I'm not sure he needs to beat Lesnar on his journey. It's totally unbelievable as well given how well Lesnar has been booked. Ambrose doesn't need the win to continue to gain popularity, and I think a case could be made that Ambrose will actually be MORE popular if he loses and does the "you can't keep me down" shctick longer. THAT's his wheelhouse, not the actual slaying of the dragon. Everyone can identify with getting knocked down and getting back up again. Not everyone can identify with beating Brock Lesnar.
Adding:
2. Brock Lesnar (+100) for 1.5 units
I played:
1. Shane McMahon (+250) for 2.5 units
Two weeks ago, Shane was at +250. Shane is now -115 for whatever its worth.
I can see a scenario with HHH and Shane both winning. It's crazy but its not that crazy. Remember the WWE is always thinking about the next day (in theory, depending on whether or not you believe Punk during the Cabana interview -- they may not have had plans for him, but they definitely do for Reigns or HHH or Shane). I could see a Shane running Raw, conflict with champion HHH, sets up more storylines with Steph that helps blur reality... its not insane to think about. Taker's such a company man that he would gladly lose to his (I understand) real-life friend Shane McMahon, especially if the payoff is huge (i.e., Shane starts running Raw and kick-starts the next "era" in WWE). Taker and the McMahons are close. He'll do the job and he'd doing it willingly and happily. He knows his legacy is secure.
To me, you ONLY set up the stipulation of taking over Raw if Shane is going to win. Otherwise, why the stipulation? It would make no sense from a storytelling perspective.
I could see Sasha losing to either girl. The case for Charlotte is easy -- I really think she should have the title for say, another year. Make her huge and then NEXT year, let Sasha win it from her for the feel good moment. It's too soon in their journey to be done correctly. The case for Becky is the same case as Edge/Christian had in the TLC matches: not the most popular at all, the one who is really "forgotten" in the hype, but the one who walks away the winner at the end.
I think Lesnar wins. Ambrose does something crazy but I'm not sure he needs to beat Lesnar on his journey. It's totally unbelievable as well given how well Lesnar has been booked. Ambrose doesn't need the win to continue to gain popularity, and I think a case could be made that Ambrose will actually be MORE popular if he loses and does the "you can't keep me down" shctick longer. THAT's his wheelhouse, not the actual slaying of the dragon. Everyone can identify with getting knocked down and getting back up again. Not everyone can identify with beating Brock Lesnar.
Adding:
2. Brock Lesnar (+100) for 1.5 units
"The last couple weeks, WWE has posted several CM Punk videos from his time with the E to their Facebook page, something they've not done much of at all in the past 2 years or so. I know, I know, I'm sick of all the "Punk is returning" talk and I think the guy legit wants to stay away from the E. I've said that if he ever comes back, it'd be years down the road. However, the videos (and they specifically are about Punk, not just as a peripheral performer in past storylines) are kinda curious for a company that goes out of it's way to ignore talents that have left on bad terms (and who's has been worse than Punk's, other than maybe Bret?). IF, and it's a big if, there were the perfect time to bring Punk back, even if just for a Mania/Post-Mania Raw deal, wouldn't this be the time? A surprise appearance in the main event of WM32 to help Shane win and grab control of the company and stick it in the face of Vince and StepHHH? He's still many months away from competing in the UFC, if ever. Would it be too far-fetched to offer him $5mil, maybe $10 mil, to make a monster splash at Mania and then maybe cut a massive pipe bomb on Raw the next night about how he always wanted change in the WWE and you can't do that from your couch and screw Vince and StepHHH before going away again? Is he so stubborn that he would turn down such a huge payday? Would Vince be willing to cut him such a huge check for essentially a one-off appearance? Probably no chance in hell of it happening. But what if. What if..."
I still maintain his return, if/when it happens, will be the pop to end all pops if it is done correctly.
"The last couple weeks, WWE has posted several CM Punk videos from his time with the E to their Facebook page, something they've not done much of at all in the past 2 years or so. I know, I know, I'm sick of all the "Punk is returning" talk and I think the guy legit wants to stay away from the E. I've said that if he ever comes back, it'd be years down the road. However, the videos (and they specifically are about Punk, not just as a peripheral performer in past storylines) are kinda curious for a company that goes out of it's way to ignore talents that have left on bad terms (and who's has been worse than Punk's, other than maybe Bret?). IF, and it's a big if, there were the perfect time to bring Punk back, even if just for a Mania/Post-Mania Raw deal, wouldn't this be the time? A surprise appearance in the main event of WM32 to help Shane win and grab control of the company and stick it in the face of Vince and StepHHH? He's still many months away from competing in the UFC, if ever. Would it be too far-fetched to offer him $5mil, maybe $10 mil, to make a monster splash at Mania and then maybe cut a massive pipe bomb on Raw the next night about how he always wanted change in the WWE and you can't do that from your couch and screw Vince and StepHHH before going away again? Is he so stubborn that he would turn down such a huge payday? Would Vince be willing to cut him such a huge check for essentially a one-off appearance? Probably no chance in hell of it happening. But what if. What if..."
I still maintain his return, if/when it happens, will be the pop to end all pops if it is done correctly.
Can someone give me the odds when Taker's streak was broken at WrestleMania vs Brock?
Was Taker a huge favorite say the day of the match?
-1000?
Can someone give me the odds when Taker's streak was broken at WrestleMania vs Brock?
Was Taker a huge favorite say the day of the match?
-1000?
@sosa-
Here it is.
It says Bovada had Lesnar at as low as 8-1 and has high as 14-1.
I don't really remember it being that high but they are quoting the owner of Bovada so their word trumps my word!
And to your question, that was the one line I never saw move towards the favorite like other wrestling lines do as results get leaked.
Taker stayed a huge favorite the entire way.
Perhaps Spark could add something but I remember the wrestling sites saying that putting Lesnar over wasn't official until about 1/2 hour before the match which is an example of the best possible job of keeping a wrestling script a secret.
@sosa-
Here it is.
It says Bovada had Lesnar at as low as 8-1 and has high as 14-1.
I don't really remember it being that high but they are quoting the owner of Bovada so their word trumps my word!
And to your question, that was the one line I never saw move towards the favorite like other wrestling lines do as results get leaked.
Taker stayed a huge favorite the entire way.
Perhaps Spark could add something but I remember the wrestling sites saying that putting Lesnar over wasn't official until about 1/2 hour before the match which is an example of the best possible job of keeping a wrestling script a secret.
@sosa-
Here it is.
It says Bovada had Lesnar at as low as 8-1 and has high as 14-1.
I don't really remember it being that high but they are quoting the owner of Bovada so their word trumps my word!
And to your question, that was the one line I never saw move towards the favorite like other wrestling lines do as results get leaked.
Taker stayed a huge favorite the entire way.
Perhaps Spark could add something but I remember the wrestling sites saying that putting Lesnar over wasn't official until about 1/2 hour before the match which is an example of the best possible job of keeping a wrestling script a secret.
@sosa-
Here it is.
It says Bovada had Lesnar at as low as 8-1 and has high as 14-1.
I don't really remember it being that high but they are quoting the owner of Bovada so their word trumps my word!
And to your question, that was the one line I never saw move towards the favorite like other wrestling lines do as results get leaked.
Taker stayed a huge favorite the entire way.
Perhaps Spark could add something but I remember the wrestling sites saying that putting Lesnar over wasn't official until about 1/2 hour before the match which is an example of the best possible job of keeping a wrestling script a secret.
Before I read the article...
Growing up with my brother you couldn't find two bigger wrestling fans. Id say from 1994- the end of Austin Rock era.
Then I stopped watching for many years.
Caught some Cena, id pop In from time to time. I missed entire CM PUNK era lol.
Last couple months Ive watched almost all the Raw's. I know a lot of the storylines. All of the wrestlemania ones pretty much.
This weekend gonna watch WrestleMania at my boys crib. Kinda excited. Shane vs Taker very excited. I feel Shane going to win from the start....Brock vs Ambrose [street fight]..the Owens ladder match. I'm a sucker for a ladder match. Divas are cool. Lots of matches. Should be a great event.
Will this be outdoors?
Before I read the article...
Growing up with my brother you couldn't find two bigger wrestling fans. Id say from 1994- the end of Austin Rock era.
Then I stopped watching for many years.
Caught some Cena, id pop In from time to time. I missed entire CM PUNK era lol.
Last couple months Ive watched almost all the Raw's. I know a lot of the storylines. All of the wrestlemania ones pretty much.
This weekend gonna watch WrestleMania at my boys crib. Kinda excited. Shane vs Taker very excited. I feel Shane going to win from the start....Brock vs Ambrose [street fight]..the Owens ladder match. I'm a sucker for a ladder match. Divas are cool. Lots of matches. Should be a great event.
Will this be outdoors?
I believe that. It did just sort of happen. But then when he was getting close to 13 straight (the alleged 'unlucky' 13 associated with bad luck and that somehow represents taker), the streak started gaining momentum.
But there were many a match I thought he could lose along the way.
Like everyone else, I was totally blindsided by Lesnar. Lesnar was not who he is today during the time of that match.
I believe that. It did just sort of happen. But then when he was getting close to 13 straight (the alleged 'unlucky' 13 associated with bad luck and that somehow represents taker), the streak started gaining momentum.
But there were many a match I thought he could lose along the way.
Like everyone else, I was totally blindsided by Lesnar. Lesnar was not who he is today during the time of that match.
Before I read the article...
Growing up with my brother you couldn't find two bigger wrestling fans. Id say from 1994- the end of Austin Rock era.
Then I stopped watching for many years.
Caught some Cena, id pop In from time to time. I missed entire CM PUNK era lol.
Last couple months Ive watched almost all the Raw's. I know a lot of the storylines. All of the wrestlemania ones pretty much.
This weekend gonna watch WrestleMania at my boys crib. Kinda excited. Shane vs Taker very excited. I feel Shane going to win from the start....Brock vs Ambrose [street fight]..the Owens ladder match. I'm a sucker for a ladder match. Divas are cool. Lots of matches. Should be a great event.
Will this be outdoors?
I missed the entire Punk era too.
I was just not a Punk fan. Punk is an acquired taste.
I will say that when Punk raised his title over Cena's I marked out. That was a great moment. Punk was a true heel and Cena was a face and the crowd cheered for Punk.
I started commenting in this thread that Shane had absolutely no chance of winning but now, after seeing how Shane is currently more over than Taker, I could Vince doing something crazy by putting Shane over.
It's the least he could do.
Shane wanted to buy UFC and Vince said no. Shane wanted to run ECW as separate company and Vince said no. Then Stephanie gets everything.
The crowd would go absolutely bonkers if he won and as Kapono noted the odds are
-115 Shane
-125 Taker
Which could mean there is a leak in the script.
I just checked and Lesnar and Ambrose are both -120 (another leak maybe?).
BUT, Heyman did come out this week and used the 21 and 1 line. It makes little sense to promote that to beef up Lesnar, or shall I say, remind fans of that, if that is going to be 22 and 2 soon.
This will not be outdoors. Cowboys home field indoors...
Before I read the article...
Growing up with my brother you couldn't find two bigger wrestling fans. Id say from 1994- the end of Austin Rock era.
Then I stopped watching for many years.
Caught some Cena, id pop In from time to time. I missed entire CM PUNK era lol.
Last couple months Ive watched almost all the Raw's. I know a lot of the storylines. All of the wrestlemania ones pretty much.
This weekend gonna watch WrestleMania at my boys crib. Kinda excited. Shane vs Taker very excited. I feel Shane going to win from the start....Brock vs Ambrose [street fight]..the Owens ladder match. I'm a sucker for a ladder match. Divas are cool. Lots of matches. Should be a great event.
Will this be outdoors?
I missed the entire Punk era too.
I was just not a Punk fan. Punk is an acquired taste.
I will say that when Punk raised his title over Cena's I marked out. That was a great moment. Punk was a true heel and Cena was a face and the crowd cheered for Punk.
I started commenting in this thread that Shane had absolutely no chance of winning but now, after seeing how Shane is currently more over than Taker, I could Vince doing something crazy by putting Shane over.
It's the least he could do.
Shane wanted to buy UFC and Vince said no. Shane wanted to run ECW as separate company and Vince said no. Then Stephanie gets everything.
The crowd would go absolutely bonkers if he won and as Kapono noted the odds are
-115 Shane
-125 Taker
Which could mean there is a leak in the script.
I just checked and Lesnar and Ambrose are both -120 (another leak maybe?).
BUT, Heyman did come out this week and used the 21 and 1 line. It makes little sense to promote that to beef up Lesnar, or shall I say, remind fans of that, if that is going to be 22 and 2 soon.
This will not be outdoors. Cowboys home field indoors...
And to your question, that was the one line I never saw move towards the favorite like other wrestling lines do as results get leaked.
Taker stayed a huge favorite the entire way.
Perhaps Spark could add something but I remember the wrestling sites saying that putting Lesnar over wasn't official until about 1/2 hour before the match which is an example of the best possible job of keeping a wrestling script a secret.
And to your question, that was the one line I never saw move towards the favorite like other wrestling lines do as results get leaked.
Taker stayed a huge favorite the entire way.
Perhaps Spark could add something but I remember the wrestling sites saying that putting Lesnar over wasn't official until about 1/2 hour before the match which is an example of the best possible job of keeping a wrestling script a secret.
I just read that WWE didn't expect Eva Marie to be booed out of the building on Raw
I just read that WWE didn't expect Eva Marie to be booed out of the building on Raw
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