Quote Originally Posted by soonboomer:
Just a few random thoughts..........this race is setting up for a nice gamble. Word is that AP is a tired horse.......he's going to be 3 to 5........one horse's connections have said they're making the lead (War Story blinkers back on)......most of the heavies who skipped the Preakness are training well....gotta take a shot. I'm using deKock's horse for certain.....it's hard to believe that they don't think they have a shot.......Frosted and Materiality can both easily win this....but......if it rains.........all this garbage goes out the window because AP won't lose on an off track..........if the sky opens up, its just meant to be.
What is going on here ??? Someone on covers has a brain?? Thought I would never see the day..
Frosted wins this race coming from behind. He circled the field in the Derby and was not catching AP who was in great shape for that race. The Preakness was a joke. Easy pace after the 1st half , and a horse that just broke his maiden came in second. Firing Line took an awful bad step out of the gate and Gary never made a run. The race was a throw out race in my eyes.. Watch the Derby and see how easy Frosted came around the field on the outside and sat chilly. Now quicken the pace in a longer race.. He will be in a dream spot if Frosted is ready to run..
Here is something to look at .. Look at the post parade of the Preakness. Even with the rain , the dirt was not even coming up to the halfway point on the horses hoofs. The track was concrete, and ready for speed. Please try to prove me wrong about the track conditions.. Look at the charts of the races at Pimlico that day..
Here is a breakdown..
1st race .. wire to wire .
2nd race same
3rd race .. same
4th race winner was 1 1/2 off the lead at the half.
5th race winner was 1 length off the lead at the half
6th winner was a head behind at the half.. Pressed pace the hole way.
7th race wire to wire winner
8th race winner came out of the fukin clouds.. closer won
9th race winner came from 7 off at the half
10th race winner 1/2 length off the lead at the half.
11th and 12th winner came from about 7 off the lead to win..
13th wire to wire ..
If you don't see a track bias there , then you should never bet again.. The track was set up for AP and to create hype for the Belmont..
If you see a horse at Belmont wire the field at a mile and a half . Send me the video, I have spent alot of years at that racetrack and know NEVER TO BET A SPEED HORSE AT BELMONT AT A MILE AND A HALF..
And who here is calling AP a closer? The horse is stalk /speed.
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