Churchill Downs and Belmont Park - 5/2 and 5/3

Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:

Saturday:

church 5

8 WP

5/1 ml.  recency, pace, pattern, distance, stamina.  gradually improving stiff here amongst other modest fellas comes in fresh and fit and ready to me.  working nicely prior to last where he ran an 83 in a one turn mile and was showing good late energy.  freshened a little since comes back with a few solid drills and looks to be heading the right way.  like the cutback from one turn mile to 7/8ths.  like his improvement on pace as well.   big field, pretty wide open, i'm giving him a shot with his combo of speed/pace/stamina in this scenario.  0.75 units.  

Quote Originally Posted by stoney1:

atlas, the word is wicked strong settled in, in Kentucky which is huge considering this horse is real rank.beyond saying. whats your take and GL

Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:

louisville 6

G2 4YO and Up F&M 8F (Turf)

2 WP

12/1 ml.  recency, pace, pattern, speed.  i'm taking a swing for the fences here in this race as i don't see a ton of early lick in here and a few of the pace pressers have shown that they can fade late.  i like this 2 coming 2nd off the pine and up in class into a tough race following her early career plagued by layoffs and inconsistency.  ran a 92 (new top) last out three wide both turns and bounced out of it with three sharp drills and lands here six weeks later.  needs to improve but a lightly raced filly making just her second 4YO start so possible (trainer 25% 2nd off and 19% with a 31-60 day break).  wanna see her on a fairly easy lead or just off it and then don't waste any time top of the lane just go and try to hold on late.  0.75 units. 

Quote Originally Posted by joeRU:

atlas can anyone realistically beat wise dan or is he a key

Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:

louisville race 8

G2 3YO 8.5F (Turf)

10 WP

9/2 on the tote.  recency, pace, pattern, speed, stamina.  improving fella inching his way forward i liked his last battling a guy with a shot in race 11 today.  like how he bounced out of that with two easy maintenance drills suggests to me he's doing good and fit and ready.  don't think he has to go here but want to see him prominent at the top of the lane like the gas in the tank he's shown to have so far.  moving the right way and ready i'm rolling with him bringing another solid effort here.  0.75 units. 

Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:

churchill race 9

3 WP

10/1 on the board.  recency, pace, speed, pattern, surface.  wire to wire or possibly gobbled up a sixteenth out.  intriguing opportunity here against this field on this surface to steal this one.  0.75 units. 

Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:

nyra 8

G3 4YO and Up F&M 8.5F (Widener Turf)

6 WP

15/1 ml.  recency, pace, speed.  not seeing a ton of early and middle zip in this one though one or two others could go but either way this 6 is capable of taking these possibly all the way up front or from just off of it.  comes in sharply off a nice spin and fig same distance with about six weeks since that and three solid drills.  jumps in class here also implying she's fit and ready.  has other races as well that show she has the tools to make this pretty competitive.  looking for her to take it to them early and make them try and get her.  0.75 units.