Monday May 13th Mohawk:
- Weather could be a factor tonight with T-storms and SW wind that could gust to 20 mph .....this wind favors drivers like JMAC, Bob McClure and Tyler Borth who like to come with flow at the 5/8 marker to the last quarter on that bend....they will get a push
Race 1 - #8 HOTPICK - 5/2 morning line
- do not see any times close to the two best this horse has put up this season and last year
- Bossence ships his horses to win at Mohawk and has Bob McClure who knows how to get the most out of a trotter either on the engine or off the helmet
KEVIN ANTHONY #4 is the only legitimate threat to go on the engine with Trevor and hold the lead (this trotter has been revamped since for the last couple of years, the horse came off the helmet to blaze down the final 1/8) while El Toro has traffic trouble .....and if #4 and #8 get into a speed battle, #2 or a longshot like #10 could come flying to shock the HOTPICK at the wire....not likely, but possible
Race 5 - #8 HOTPICK-1 (7-2 ML) and #6 HOTPICK -2 (10-1 ML)
- #8 YO MISTER > gets the other great trot harness driver besides Jodi who did a fine job pressing the buttons on this horse in two ways and still was able to get a nice closing time in 27+ seconds
- this week > JMAC takes over and I like that this horse will be on a helmet on the last turn pushing at the horses that will leave including QUEBEC HANOVER and my HOTPICK-2 selection
-this horse is dropping down and I do like LOCATELLI #1 but LOCATELLI does not have the ability to leave the gate and could get trapped in the #1 hole and not get out......we know that Jodi did a fine job schooling this horse to leave and save horsepower for the final Q or 1/8
#7 figures and will help my 2nd HOTPICK get into position to strike down the lane sitting behind this horse..........because if you look at this class recently, the $18 000 classification has been getting away with cheap halfs of 58' BUT.....#1,8, 7, 6 are used to much quicker HALFS so I anticipate with two droppers, #8 will move to the front on cheap fractions OR get to position in the 4-5 hole .....I expect #6 and #7 to move to the front thinking that Locatelli and Yo Mister are a lesser threat from being positioned at the back
Why I like #6: HOTPICK - 2
- Luc Roy out of the 5 or 6 hole with a speed horse is capable of getting to the lead or the 2-hole and braving up......this horse is sitting on a big mile and have been watching it for a while now
- should rain or winds get gusty, it is the type of horse that can move well up the cones with Quebec Hanover and maybe Eden on the Hill who I do not expect to win 2 in a row vs a lot better horses this week...... QUEBEC HANOVER has too much speed off the gate and I expect LUC ROY to follow and get the 2 hole with greater speed than EDEN #5
-look at closing Qs for Southwind Domino....more than enough to go by Quebec Hanover and with Luc Roys talent down the last 100 feet or so, I think he could hold off a fast charging #8 OR #1
Will post my suggested PICK5's later.....I will be play 2 plays most likely
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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