Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally

Fields are decent tonight

10 horses

7

9 

9

10

Reversing the order of my capping....

Race 5 > love Mike Saftic kicking himself off when his horse showed promise (#5) into a 1 second stiff wind and now comes back with Doug McNair to drive the horse aggressively from the middle of the gate.....my favourite situation to jump on a horse with a high morning line

-also need to put in his buddy JMAC who will keep his horse honest and maybe win with #2  ...sometimes that is what is needed to get a horse across the line ahead of the others....a battle late in the race

-#6 figures also with 2nd time lasix .....if you make it this far, back up with #10 and 389 

Race 4 > 9 3 4 5 6 .....not putting in #7 unless I find a KEY somewhere in the first few races as it races better inside when it can follow....it will be pressed to get to the lead likely with aggressive drivers everywhere in this race ....definitely no KEY in this race

Race 3 > 457 figure on back class and times/performance.....JMAC going on #1 is interesting....gonna hug the cones and hope for a seam up the rail and might win this? I think you have to put in #1 .....if #9 was on the rail, I would put that one in too

Longshots > like this #2 a little but laying off....and like #6 even more and first time Cullen which pops occasionally when a horse races evenly a lot, I notice trainers bringing Cullen onto the horse for some late race magic which he does with his own horses that flatline on times and then out of nowhere, he urges them to become stars down the last 1/8 of a mile

Is there a key in this race? You could make a case for #4 being off for over 2 weeks, being driven aggressively and then now the horse comes off of cover in the last Q and lights up the backstretch with a monster kick! #7 stands out as well so mulling just doing a couple of tickets with some mixing and matching with just those 2 horses

Race 2 > like 1 a little and also 2 < tend not to put in a stakes winner in next race if also competitive  > love 47 in this race!

Race 1 > 13678910 ?  > is #9 a KEY? > YES especially after leaving the #8 horse to go to the horse he drives when the trainer needs to win a race dropping down in class....I am tempted to just go with 3910 < has a lifetime 151 best and when right, can go to the front and wire a bottom field such as this one .....if Trevor gets the horse to the lead, Sylvain might have a hard time coming to catch the horse or burn itself out and that leaves the door open for a closer such as #3 who is used to a higher class level such as #9

Pick3

Race 1

40 cent > 1478 / 247 / 47 = $9.60

20 cent > 6 / 247 / 47 = $1.20

40 cent > 3910 / 1 / 1457 = $4.80

40 cent > 3910 / 247 / 15 = $7.20

20 cent > 3910 / 247 / 3 = $1.80

Race 3 

40 cent > 1457 / 7 / 256 = $4.80 

20 cent > 147 / 1 / 256 = $1.80

Pick5's > 3910 / 247 / 47 / 34569 / 26 = $36

Decided that #4 was stiffed the last race in the 2nd leg and also think #4 or #7 in race 3 are legit to win their race as KEYS

            > 3910 / 4 / 1457 / 34569 / 256 = $36

Best hunch plays  I have seen in a while and like the combos with them without spending crazy money chasing:

> #3 and #10 in Race 1  ..... #1 in Race 3 coming up the rail on a trip ....#5 in race 5

Also did this pick 3 for 40 cent on a hunch > 

Dec 10, 2021

6:55 PM Bet 87322449491294 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 6

1st minutes away 9/134 exacta/tri key for $1

Interesting....all the experts like my 3 9 10 play on the PICK5.....I cap my own and don't watch until race time 

#10 looks amazing....can't break

#1 and 3 also looked great

2nd 4/135 Exacta/Tri-Key 

1st 374 

-12

WOO HOO....$138K in the pool and I am alive!! Tough first race to cap....lots are out with many keying #1,4 and especially #9!

Just got in the door. Long day. Was able to get all that you posted, just didn't have time to respond. Are we alive?

What a nice horse the #2..... didn't think the trainer would allow the horse to compete but its tons the best and I don't think the horse was trying down the lane.....just did it on its own...no urging

That kills one ticket and I no longer have my longshot open at #5 in the 5th race.....definitely doing a Pick3 Key to it and other horses too as a backup

2nd 271

3rd 5/147 Exacta Trikey

-24

@becito13

 Yes, one ticket is alive and some Pick3's 

These are alive:

Dec 10, 2021

6:38 PM Bet 01398741096543 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 4,7 / 3-6,9 / 2,6 $36.00

Dec 10, 2021

6:55 PM Bet 87322449491294 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 6 $1.80

Dec 10, 2021

6:50 PM Bet 44376365761024 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 4,5,7 / 7 / 2,6 $1.20

Dec 10, 2021

6:50 PM Bet 50341419898217 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 1,4,5,7 / 7 / 2,5,6 $2.40

Dec 10, 2021

6:48 PM Bet 35040146302296 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 3 $1.80

Dec 10, 2021

6:48 PM Bet 88093270601859 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 1,5 $3.60

Dec 10, 2021

6:47 PM Bet 94102219704816 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 1,5 $3.60

4th $2 win 9

5679 $1 ex bx

$50 out or in ? win or lose 

@skoda

 You hitting any of these?

Ahhh shit....I cannot bet Better Be Donna at fave odds....sorry.....just a bad mare in my mind but the horse held on. I had it in my other one 

I took a shot and just gonna live with it.

Next ticket PICK4 is 6 horses/ 256 / 13 / 4689 = $28.80

                                 579 / 256 / 12356 / 46 = $18

Just saw the schedule for Mohawk.....LOOKS LIKE NO 2 WEEK SHUTDOWN....WOOOOO!!!

@Last2thirst

 Definitely last with winnings $60 #10 show in 5th coming flying home! 

+$120??

10th at Wood #2

12 @Turway in 7th….. 10 ATB on both $60

$60 on Wildcats in BB on Saturday -3

I had the #10 wheeled for second and winning too....shit....just missed

Extreme conditions > WEST WIND right in their faces.....at 50-70 Km gusts....no horses from the outside can get to the front unless they are by far the fastest horse off the gate......and they will have to make 2 moves to get to the front if they get in the 3-5 hole so I would only take horses who are clearly a possible KEY ....but don't make them a key

This is the night when the horse who leaves and is 2nd-3rd all the time...wins the occasional race wiring the field will win the race because everyone else will kill their horse for the lead

Insta fast horses are my faves tonight ....capping the card now

Race 1 > 79 are my two speed horses but think classwise, have to throw in #4  as well

Upset Pick3 > 1238 

Race 2 > 1256 > think #1 can be a KEY....I am doing a double in the first race 9 - 1 for $10 ...don't believe Jimmy Freight will be pushed in high winds....they likely will keep the horse at the back ....think Sweet Diesel may try for the 2 hole or lead is my hunch and thats why the horse is going in....also, when horses are hyped up in the program, you take more than 2!

Race 3 > 127  < add 4? on a hunch that they took the horse out for a jog 

Lots of scratches so its best to play speed horses and hunches combined to get any payout

@Last2thirst

 They scratched the 1 in the second race