My UFC plays going forward: mendes (very big value bet on him, wish I would of waited even longer because I got him at +130 but now mendes is around +160, might add more. macdonald (good size bet on this as well) burmudez (confident, might add more) duffee for UFC fn71 decent size bet got on this early, really like it might add more latert, leites UFC fn72. Average bet on this. Leites has done pretty well for a while now, i like him as a dog vs bis who hasn't really looked that great.
I've explained in other posts over the last couple weeks why I like certain fighters to win. Too tired to do a huge write up right now in this thread so I'll leave it at that.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
My UFC plays going forward: mendes (very big value bet on him, wish I would of waited even longer because I got him at +130 but now mendes is around +160, might add more. macdonald (good size bet on this as well) burmudez (confident, might add more) duffee for UFC fn71 decent size bet got on this early, really like it might add more latert, leites UFC fn72. Average bet on this. Leites has done pretty well for a while now, i like him as a dog vs bis who hasn't really looked that great.
I've explained in other posts over the last couple weeks why I like certain fighters to win. Too tired to do a huge write up right now in this thread so I'll leave it at that.
Yeah I'm adding more on burmudez, Stephens was 149.5 at weigh ins. Burmudez has crazy mad pace, if Stephens weight cut drained him then he is fucked for this fight.
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Yeah I'm adding more on burmudez, Stephens was 149.5 at weigh ins. Burmudez has crazy mad pace, if Stephens weight cut drained him then he is fucked for this fight.
Funny how Aldo and mendes are buddies for this fight. Aldo said he has all his fans supporting mendes. Gotta love it!! Such respect among those two guys even though they've fought in title matches twice, helps too that they both have a common enemy. Poirier apparently is giving mendes tips.
Just really like mendes to win this, Conor is -200 over him now. I love Conor, don't get me wrong, I love a good trash talker that actually is entertaining unlike some other trash talkers that aren't believable. Saying that though, I've never seen a line move so crazy over one week without an injury in a title match. Mendes opened as the fav at 5dimes and now Conor is -200 at bovada. No one can deny the hype here, if Conor was quiet would he have this title shot? Would his odds jump so high? I doubt it. I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong many times in the future but I'm putting my money on mendes because at the odds he's at, feels like a pretty good value spot. Mendes has experience in these big moment title shot fights, he's a great wrestler plus we aren't quite sure how Conor will do after he trained to go against a totally different style if fighter. I think this short period helps mendes, mendes didn't have to do all those media shows that Aldo and Conor had to do. Everyone knows that fighters find it draining but for such a huge fight they had to. Mendes got a little bit extra time to focus on Conor while Conor wasn't sure who he was fighting. Not easy to prepare fora wrestler as good as mendes in that short of time. I think mendes wil get in some very key takedowns.
Can Conor win? Obviously, he has great ko power which he's displayed vs some good fighters in the UFC but purely going on odds, can you bet on him at around -200 if you didn't jump on him earlier? You think he wins 66% of the time in this spot? I think this fight is a coin flip at best for Conor. I think he will get better though but at this moment mendes as an underdog is too good to pass up. I do hope we end up seeing a Conor vs Aldo eventually, just not right away ;) , definitely want to see mendes hold up that belt tomorrow night.
I won't troll anyone taking Conor, he's got skills... Good luck to everyone!!!!
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Funny how Aldo and mendes are buddies for this fight. Aldo said he has all his fans supporting mendes. Gotta love it!! Such respect among those two guys even though they've fought in title matches twice, helps too that they both have a common enemy. Poirier apparently is giving mendes tips.
Just really like mendes to win this, Conor is -200 over him now. I love Conor, don't get me wrong, I love a good trash talker that actually is entertaining unlike some other trash talkers that aren't believable. Saying that though, I've never seen a line move so crazy over one week without an injury in a title match. Mendes opened as the fav at 5dimes and now Conor is -200 at bovada. No one can deny the hype here, if Conor was quiet would he have this title shot? Would his odds jump so high? I doubt it. I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong many times in the future but I'm putting my money on mendes because at the odds he's at, feels like a pretty good value spot. Mendes has experience in these big moment title shot fights, he's a great wrestler plus we aren't quite sure how Conor will do after he trained to go against a totally different style if fighter. I think this short period helps mendes, mendes didn't have to do all those media shows that Aldo and Conor had to do. Everyone knows that fighters find it draining but for such a huge fight they had to. Mendes got a little bit extra time to focus on Conor while Conor wasn't sure who he was fighting. Not easy to prepare fora wrestler as good as mendes in that short of time. I think mendes wil get in some very key takedowns.
Can Conor win? Obviously, he has great ko power which he's displayed vs some good fighters in the UFC but purely going on odds, can you bet on him at around -200 if you didn't jump on him earlier? You think he wins 66% of the time in this spot? I think this fight is a coin flip at best for Conor. I think he will get better though but at this moment mendes as an underdog is too good to pass up. I do hope we end up seeing a Conor vs Aldo eventually, just not right away ;) , definitely want to see mendes hold up that belt tomorrow night.
I won't troll anyone taking Conor, he's got skills... Good luck to everyone!!!!
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