UFC 164

Ya, Mir/Barnett is a toss up, I might give Mir a slight egde with the ground game, of course Barnett has the "catch wrestling" that's very effective. I would give the standup edge to Mir

Poirier I think is a great buy at +120-30

Pettis/Bendo also very close with two very dif skill sets. But Pettis so dynamic, I think he can get in his licks even if Ben ties him up at times

I don't have much good advice for this card, in fact I will likely be tailing picks from one particular MMA guru. But here's some thoughts in any event:

Hnderson/Pettis - should be a razor thin decision. If Henderson is able to grab and control Pettis, and do his thing, he'll probably win a decision. I'm hoping Pettis uses his diverse attack to out point Henderson

Mir/Barnett - I jumped on Mir because I was surprised how favored Barnett is/was. I'm also surprised how overwhelming Barnett support is. If Barnett is able to get Mir down and lay on top of him, which is VERY, possible he'll win a boring decision. I'm hoping Mir can keep the fight on the feet and get a TKO. One thing that sticks out for me is the competition they've faced. Mir has faced the best in the world for years. Barnett has been fighting plugs, and not many of them

Mendes/Guida - Guida's only chance to win any fight against any decent opponent is TDs and he won't be able to lay on top of Mendes

Varner/Tibau - I'm surprised how many are on Varner. I see this as a very similar match up, and likely a geasy split decision

Rothwell/Vera - if these guys are similarly sized, I'm on Vera. But Vera is not a HW. When he fought at HW he was flabby. Curious to see the weigh in.

Poirier/Koch - I would evaluate this as a pick em - should be exciting - Both guys very capable of finishing. I hope Poirier sneaks by