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#1
50-38 +20.5
Bader +210 over Davis
Very similar fighters. Bader loses to superior strikers (Lyoto, Glover) while Phil loses to fighters who he can't take down (Rashad, Rumble). What's the difference? Phil has better striking defense while Bader has more power. In a fight that will be exclusively on the feet, this favors the guy that will have a more likely chance to stumble his opponent, and that's Ryan.
Not Mousasi inside distance -125 over Hendo
I fully expect this to be a Mousasi decision. But I appreciate the chance to bet on Hendo's durability and chance to land that H-Bomb at basically even odds against anyone not at the highest top 10 p4p fighters that ever lived.
Sultan Aliev -105 over Kenny Robertson
American wrestlers with limited striking abilities have the worst match-ups with strong strikers with good takedown defense. That's Aliev. If you're a striking based fighter from Russia, you don't make it to the UFC without great takedown defense, because Russia is better than us in wrestling.
Mirsad Bektic inside distance +110 over Paul Redmond
Mirsad is better in all areas, a better athlete and a stronger fighter. Bektic likes to finish and Redmond loses in the finish.
I may have a few more. Good luck!
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